LSU at Ole Miss Game Matchup

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
LSU -3 (67.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 55 - LSU: 49 (SEC)

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS is playing their 5th straight game
LSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: LSU -1.5 (SP+ LSU -2.5)
Projected Score: LSU: 31 - MISS: 30 (55)
LSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
LSU Travel: 289 miles

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.33	51%	30.5	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	24.3	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2
MISS	.27	48%	38.6	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	14.4	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	14	30.5	27.3	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33
MISS Defense	13	14.4	10.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	14	24.3	27	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16
MISS Offense	13	38.6	39.6	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07 Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7 Ole Miss: 16.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 31
Ole Miss 30

Projected Total Points: 55

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	LSU	29	Ole Miss	26	LSU	Ole Miss -3.5	LSU	64.5	Under
2023	09/30	Ole Miss	55	LSU	49	Ole Miss	LSU -3	Ole Miss	67.0	Over
2022	10/22	LSU	45	Ole Miss	20	LSU	Ole Miss -0.0	LSU	64.0	Over
2021	10/23	Ole Miss	31	LSU	17	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -9.0	Ole Miss	76.5	Under
2020	12/19	LSU	53	Ole Miss	48	LSU	Ole Miss -0.0	LSU	74.5	Over
2019	11/16	Ole Miss	37	LSU	58	LSU	LSU -21	NA	66.0	Over
2018	09/29	LSU	45	Ole Miss	16	LSU	LSU -10.5	LSU	61.0	Push
2017	10/21	Ole Miss	24	LSU	40	LSU	LSU -6.5	LSU	59.0	Over
2016	10/22	LSU	38	Ole Miss	21	LSU	LSU -4.5	LSU	59.0	Push
2015	11/21	Ole Miss	38	LSU	17	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -4.5	Ole Miss	58.5	Under
2014	10/25	LSU	10	Ole Miss	7	LSU	Ole Miss -3	LSU	0
2013	10/19	Ole Miss	27	LSU	24	Ole Miss	LSU -8	Ole Miss	0
2012	11/17	LSU	41	Ole Miss	35	LSU
2011	11/19	Ole Miss	3	LSU	52	LSU
2010	11/20	LSU	43	Ole Miss	36	LSU
2009	11/21	Ole Miss	25	LSU	23	Ole Miss
2008	11/22	LSU	13	Ole Miss	31	Ole Miss
2007	11/17	Ole Miss	24	LSU	41	LSU
2006	11/18	LSU	23	Ole Miss	20	LSU
2005	11/19	Ole Miss	7	LSU	40	LSU
2004	11/20	LSU	27	Ole Miss	24	LSU
2003	11/22	Ole Miss	14	LSU	17	LSU
2001	10/27	LSU	24	Ole Miss	35	Ole Miss
2000	11/10	Ole Miss	9	LSU	20	LSU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	7	4	5 Overs
LSU	17	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	10 - 1	6 - 0	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 15	1 - 10	1 - 4	0 - 6

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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LSU Ratings Matchup Ole Miss

Power #8

#18

Off #1

#22

Def #122

#47

Talent #6

#34

SP+ #10

#14

SP+ Off #2

#21

SP+ Def #55

#21

Rematch from Week 5
LSU 3.0 (67.0)
Ole Miss won vs LSU this year (55-49)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Ole Miss last year (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2022 (45-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | MISS
Depth Chart: LSU | MISS
Rosters: LSU | MISS

(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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LSU's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Armoni Goodwin	14	88	0	6.3	26
Emery Jones	0	17	0	0.0	17
Logan Diggs (Tr)	1	15	0	15.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
Josh Williams	31	263	0	8.5	23
Jalen Brown	8	75	0	9.4	21

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Major Burns	49	5	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Paris Shand (Tr)	25	6	3	1	1
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laterrance Welch	19	0	0	1	7
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Zy Alexander (Tr)	33	3	1	0	4

Ole Miss's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Caden Davis (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	194	1060	14	5.5	86
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Jamious Griffin	73	450	4	6.2	33
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
JJ Henry	42	485	4	11.5	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Khari Coleman	45	1	0	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
J.J. Pegues	42	14	4	5	0
Joshua Harris (Tr)	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3