Arkansas at Ole Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -13 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 27 - Arkansas: 20  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (28 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
ARK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -13   (SP+ MISS -13)

Projected Score: ARK: 24 - MISS: 37 (61)
MISS Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ARK Travel: 287 miles
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34ON
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20ON
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49OY
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3UN
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7UN
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)26.643% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)27.941% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
MISS#30 (.28)44% (44)35.144% (54)2.94 (100)17645% (31)2864.72 (13)#68 (.18)42% (62)22.543% (74)41% (54)3.64 (55)59.10.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1226.627.839.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18
MISS Defense1322.520.641.6%3.641.4 - - - - - 50%49%43%41%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1227.930.339.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
MISS Offense1335.144.144.4%4.720.5234621762864.354%45%44%45%15%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Ole Miss1327:4323.537%69%7.259.10.51.45.92.6129
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)
MISS Defense1350% (62)43% (74) - - - - .14 (70)3.21 (96)86% (127)11% (30)0.98 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
MISS Offense1354% (37)44% (54)41.1176.54.329 (22).17 (60)2.94 (100)70% (95)11% (80)1.05 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)
MISS Defense1349% (70)41% (54) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (59)1.6 (79)32% (65)27% (26).23 (31)7% (43)2 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
MISS Offense1345% (97)45% (31)19.730.4285.69.414.526 (31)6 (14).45 (17)1.7 (21)32% (72)33% (55).43 (39)5% (22)2.2 (28)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28   Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7   Ole Miss: 16.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 37
Arkansas 24


Total Points: 61

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.1
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Ole Miss41Arkansas35Ole MissOle Miss -3.5Ole Miss60.5Over
202411/02Arkansas31Ole Miss63Ole MissOle Miss -8Ole Miss54.0Over
202310/07Ole Miss27Arkansas20Ole MissOle Miss -13Arkansas61.5Under
202211/19Arkansas42Ole Miss27ArkansasOle Miss -0.0Arkansas67.5Over
202110/09Ole Miss52Arkansas51Ole MissOle Miss -5Arkansas67.0Over
202010/17Arkansas33Ole Miss21ArkansasArkansas -1.0Arkansas77.5Under
201909/07Ole Miss31Arkansas17Ole MissOle Miss -5Ole Miss50.5Under
201810/13Arkansas33Ole Miss37Ole MissOle Miss -6.5Arkansas66.5Over
201710/28Ole Miss37Arkansas38ArkansasOle Miss -2.5Arkansas62.0Over
201610/15Arkansas34Ole Miss30ArkansasOle Miss -6.5Arkansas65.0Under
201511/07Ole Miss52Arkansas53ArkansasOle Miss -11Arkansas55.0Over
201411/22Arkansas30Ole Miss0ArkansasOle Miss -2Arkansas0
201311/09Ole Miss34Arkansas24Ole MissOle Miss -17Arkansas0
201210/27Arkansas27Ole Miss30Ole Miss
201110/22Ole Miss24Arkansas29Arkansas
201010/23Arkansas38Ole Miss24Arkansas
200910/24Ole Miss30Arkansas17Ole Miss
200810/25Arkansas21Ole Miss23Ole Miss
200710/20Ole Miss8Arkansas44Arkansas
200610/21Arkansas38Ole Miss3Arkansas
200511/12Ole Miss17Arkansas28Arkansas
200411/13Arkansas35Ole Miss3Arkansas
200310/25Ole Miss19Arkansas7Ole Miss
200210/26Arkansas48Ole Miss28Arkansas
200111/03Ole Miss56Arkansas58Arkansas
200011/03Arkansas24Ole Miss38Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss1237 Overs
Arkansas14104 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 117 - 64 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 71 - 35 - 4

(#47) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00


Arkansas has lost 3 straight
Arkansas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (4 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas has a good pass defense (#82)
Arkansas Front 7 is disruptive (#51)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas offense is really bad (#12)
Arkansas pass game is really bad (#13)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMISSARK
OverallOver#19#52
OffenseOff#16#66
DefenseDef#51#50
Special TeamsST#11#43
PassingPass#5#55
RushingRush#7#71
Run BlockRBLK#64#42
Pass BlockPBLK#75#86
Route RunningWR Rt#14#52
TacklingTkl#34#17
Run DefenseR Def#70#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#40
Coverage DefCov#59#38

Rematch from Week 6
Ole Miss -13.0 (61.5)
Ole Miss won vs Arkansas this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Arkansas last year (63-31)
Ole Miss beat Arkansas in 2023 (27-20)
Arkansas beat Ole Miss in 2022 (42-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | MISS
Depth Chart: ARK | MISS
Rosters: ARK | MISS
(#18) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Ole Miss has won 1 straight
Ole Miss has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss is Undefeated at Home

Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#67)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)


  
Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jefferson19029664%21071987.1
Jacolby Criswell172763%143305.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Jefferson16144722.826
AJ Green6731224.755
Rashod Dubinion8226013.215
Raheim Sanders6220923.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)56764513.648
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)34351210.336
Luke Hasz16253315.859
Jaedon Wilson15199213.365

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Chris Paul Jr.747211
Jayden Johnson612013
Al Walcott561002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4514721
Trajan Jeffcoat (Tr)169450
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Keivie Rose (Tr)154300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Braxton210008
Dwight McGlothern203006
Lorando Johnson (Tr)294105

Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxson Dart23335965%33642359.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)192966%278309.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins2711158154.340
Ulysses Bentley IV9554045.743
Jaxson Dart11939183.368
Matt Jones127926.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Harris (Tr)54985818.256
Dayton Wade55830415.158
Jordan Watkins53741314.068
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)30449415.037

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Washington832002
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)715310
John Saunders Jr.652014
Daijahn Anthony613008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Ivey4612642
Cedric Johnson4076123
Suntarine Perkins386411
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)305432
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daijahn Anthony613008
Zamari Walton (Tr)384006
Deantre Prince365105