Texas A&M at Ole Miss Game Matchup
Texas A&M logo Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -3.0 (52.5) (-160)  Open: -4.5 | 53.5
Ole Miss 38 - Texas A&M: 35  (SEC)

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ole Miss -1   (SP+ MISS -1)

Projected Score: TA&M: 26 - MISS: 27 (52)
MISS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 474 miles
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49OY
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3UN
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7UN
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1440%30.445%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%22.243%35%3.0449.11.51.9
MISS.2748%38.649%3.1125745%2404.04.1644%14.444%44%3.7263.21.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1230.43240.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14
MISS Defense1314.410.643.9%3.722.3 - - - - - 51%49%44%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1222.232.840%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
MISS Offense1338.639.647.5%4.041.5254962572405.460%40%49%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Ole Miss1326:2325.247%49%6.863.21.52.35.72.5027.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94
MISS Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.2274%10%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
MISS Offense1360%49%47.2256.55.433.273.1174%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2
MISS Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 8.241.529%30%.226%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
MISS Offense1340%45%18.429.7239.88.113.12211.31.629%36%.335%1.9

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95   Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4   Ole Miss: 16.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 27
Texas A&M 26


Projected Total Points: 52
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Ole Miss38Texas A&M35Ole MissOle Miss -3.0Push52.5Over
202210/29Texas A&M28Ole Miss31Ole MissOle Miss -3NA55.5Over
202111/13Ole Miss29Texas A&M19Ole MissTexas A&M -1Ole Miss57.5Under
201910/19Ole Miss17Texas A&M24Texas A&MTexas A&M -6Texas A&M54.5Under
201811/10Texas A&M38Ole Miss24Texas A&MTexas A&M -13Texas A&M68.0Under
201711/18Ole Miss24Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -3Texas A&M70.0Under
201611/12Texas A&M28Ole Miss29Ole MissTexas A&M -11Ole Miss62.0Under
201510/24Ole Miss23Texas A&M3Ole MissOle Miss -6Ole Miss65.5Under
201410/11Texas A&M20Ole Miss35Ole MissTexas A&M -1Ole Miss0
201310/12Ole Miss38Texas A&M41Texas A&MTexas A&M -4Ole Miss0
201210/06Ole Miss27Texas A&M30Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss652 Overs
Texas A&M536 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 74 - 42 - 22 - 2
Road Teams7 - 44 - 42 - 22 - 2

(#13) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40

Team Profile






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Texas A&M     Ratings Matchup     Ole Miss
Power #13
#18
Off #63
#22
Def #9
#47
Talent #3
#34
SP+ #15
#14
SP+ Off #20
#21
SP+ Def #15
#21

Rematch from Week 10
Ole Miss -3.0 (52.5)
Ole Miss won vs Texas A&M this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Texas A&M in 2023 (38-35)
Ole Miss beat Texas A&M in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | MISS
Depth Chart: TA&M | MISS
Rosters: TA&M | MISS
(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






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Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahdae Walker (Tr)31204.06
Max Johnson61011.716
Jordan Anthony (Tr)2703.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Jahdae Walker (Tr)29345211.940
Jordan Anthony (Tr)8111113.927
Moose Muhammad III65529.220

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jardin Gilbert522102
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Fadil Diggs4213731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs4213731
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Shemar Turner366211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon282006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Kent Robinson334204

Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxson Dart27639869%427929610.8
Caden Davis (Tr)010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins1941060145.586
Jaxson Dart12449534.035
Jamious Griffin7345046.233
Ulysses Bentley IV8441955.089
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Harris (Tr)611063717.470
Jordan Watkins49906918.575
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)56658411.844
JJ Henry42485411.566

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Hughes8310460
Trey Washington644027
John Saunders Jr.462005
Khari Coleman451040
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Ivey4110883
Reginald Hughes8310460
J.J. Pegues4214450
Joshua Harris (Tr)201100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Washington644027
John Saunders Jr.462005
Jared Ivey4110883