Arkansas at LSU Game Matchup
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
LSU -17.5 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
LSU 34 - Arkansas: 31  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: LSU -17.5   (SP+ LSU -16)

Projected Score: ARK: 19 - LSU: 37 (56)
LSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ARK Travel: 427 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34ON
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20ON
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
LSU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 LSU vs Florida State-2.056.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Grambling-56.561.5W 72 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-9.554.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Arkansas-17.555.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 LSU at Ole Miss-3.067.0L 49 - 55ON
Sat 10/7 LSU at Missouri-6.063.5W 49 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn-11.060.0W 48 - 18OY
Sat 10/21 LSU vs Army-33.060.0W 62 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+3.061.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Florida-14.068.5W 52 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 LSU vs Georgia State-32.573.5W 56 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-10.567.5W 42 - 30OY
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK.2646%30.948%3.2323743%2344.18.2543%2545%41%3.6555.61.41.7
LSU.3351%30.555%3.6318448%2694.6.1641%24.345%37%3.3452.11.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1330.933.545.6%4.181.4244712372345.160%40%48%43%15%.26
LSU Defense1424.321.440.8%3.342 - - - - - 49%51%45%37%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense132526.542.5%3.651.7 - - - - - 48%52%45%41%16%.25
LSU Offense1430.531.951.3%4.61.425453184269547%53%55%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1330:2223.946%45%6.455.61.41.75.63131.8
LSU1431:0124.649%50%652.11.424.81.9227.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1360%48%46.6237.35.127.143.2371%11%0.98
LSU Defense1449%45% - - - - .142.974%10%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1348%45% - - - - .223.0476%10%1.08
LSU Offense1447%55%37183.8539.353.6380%9%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1340%43%17.727.4233.98.513.2267.461.930%36%.515%2.1
LSU Defense1451%37% - - - - - - 9.171.732%32%.385%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 9.321.834%34%.56%2.3
LSU Offense1453%48%2334.3269.37.911.7237.321.427%35%.434%2

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28   LSU: 20.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7   LSU: 18.7




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 20.385 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 37
Arkansas 19


Projected Total Points: 56
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Arkansas10LSU34LSULSU -3LSU57.0Under
202309/23LSU34Arkansas31LSULSU -17.5Arkansas55.0Over
202211/12Arkansas10LSU13LSULSU -5Arkansas59.0Under
202111/13LSU13Arkansas16ArkansasArkansas -3NA59.5Under
202011/21Arkansas24LSU27LSULSU -1.5LSU64.5Under
201911/23LSU56Arkansas20LSULSU -42Arkansas69.5Over
201811/10Arkansas17LSU24LSULSU -12.5Arkansas49.5Under
201711/11LSU33Arkansas10LSULSU -19LSU54.5Under
201611/12Arkansas10LSU38LSULSU -7LSU46.5Over
201511/14LSU14Arkansas31ArkansasLSU -9Arkansas54.0Under
201411/15Arkansas17LSU0ArkansasArkansas -1.5Arkansas0
201311/29LSU31Arkansas27LSULSU -24.5Arkansas0
201211/23Arkansas13LSU20LSU
201111/25LSU41Arkansas17LSU
201011/27Arkansas31LSU23Arkansas
200911/28LSU33Arkansas30LSU
200811/28Arkansas31LSU30Arkansas
200711/23LSU48Arkansas50Arkansas
200611/24Arkansas26LSU31LSU
200511/25LSU19Arkansas17LSU
200411/26Arkansas14LSU43LSU
200311/28LSU55Arkansas24LSU
200111/23LSU41Arkansas38LSU
200011/23Arkansas14LSU3Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1743 Overs
Arkansas777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 114 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams11 - 137 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Team Profile






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Arkansas     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #47
#8
Off #65
#1
Def #55
#122
Talent #28
#6
SP+ #58
#10
SP+ Off #57
#2
SP+ Def #69
#55

Rematch from Week 4
LSU -17.5 (55.0)
LSU won vs Arkansas this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 87° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ARK | LSU
Depth Chart: ARK | LSU
Rosters: ARK | LSU
(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.385 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Team Profile






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Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell18632058%24591567.7
KJ Jefferson6410859%1012749.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raheim Sanders183881114.866
Isaiah Augustave8538444.537
KJ Jefferson6119323.223
Jacolby Criswell7110331.520
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)781140114.643
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)28545319.575
Raheim Sanders27316211.743
Tyrone Broden Jr.15197113.122

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Paul Jr.8712494
Mani Powell589440
Jordan Crook574002
Jayden Johnson554105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4910793
Chris Paul Jr.8712494
Mani Powell589440
Eric Gregory435351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)1310010
Jayden Johnson554105
Jaylen Lewis432005

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Williams11748264.123
Armoni Goodwin148806.326
Emery Jones01700.017
Logan Diggs (Tr)115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
Josh Williams3126308.523
Jalen Brown87509.421

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Matt House
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Greg Penn III835280
Darian Chestnut604115
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)5713983
Major Burns495222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)5713983
Savion Jones407482
Paris Shand (Tr)256311
Greg Penn III835280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Laterrance Welch190017
Darian Chestnut604115
Zy Alexander (Tr)333104