LSU at Missouri - 2023 Matchup Preview
LSU logo (#3)LSU Tigers at Missouri Tigers(#23)Missouri logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
LSU -6 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
LSU 49 - Missouri: 39  (SEC)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 46 - 28 (42 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 6th straight game
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: LSU -0.5   (SP+ LSU -1)

Projected Score: LSU: 33 - MIZ: 32 (65)
LSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 593 miles
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 LSU vs Florida State-2.056.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Grambling-56.561.5W 72 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-9.554.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Arkansas-17.555.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 LSU at Ole Miss-3.067.0L 49 - 55ON
Sat 10/7 LSU at Missouri-6.063.5W 49 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn-11.060.0W 48 - 18OY
Sat 10/21 LSU vs Army-33.060.0W 62 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+3.061.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Florida-14.068.5W 52 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 LSU vs Georgia State-32.573.5W 56 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-10.567.5W 42 - 30OY
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10ON
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49ON
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14OY
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#1 (.52)56% (2)45.558% (1)3.9 (1)19754% (3)3094.86 (8)#126 (.32)45% (105)2845% (92)45% (113)4.55 (126)48.20.51
MIZ#21 (.29)46% (26)32.545% (48)3.06 (82)17248% (13)2614.51 (22)#47 (.15)37% (19)20.835% (13)39% (30)3.93 (81)54.20.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1345.541.856.1%4.860.5245061973096.347%53%58%54%11%.52
MIZ Defense1320.822.136.8%3.931.5 - - - - - 46%54%35%39%19%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense132837.544.8%4.551 - - - - - 49%51%45%45%16%.32
MIZ Offense1332.532.946.1%4.510.7224331722614.554%46%45%48%13%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1326:3723.756%43%5.748.20.515.12129.2
Missouri1330:2421.543%73%7.254.20.71.56.12.8128.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1347% (95)58% (1)31.21976.332 (10).45 (1)3.9 (1)69% (103)6% (2)1.08 (27)
MIZ Defense1346% (18)35% (13) - - - - .08 (33)2.74 (17)71% (56)13% (11)1.06 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1349% (51)45% (92) - - - - .24 (113)3.22 (97)91% (132)10% (79)1.07 (99)
MIZ Offense1354% (40)45% (48)38.2171.84.525 (37).18 (50)3.06 (82)75% (52)9% (46)0.97 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1353% (38)54% (3)19.628.2308.61115.741 (2)4 (2).59 (4)1.7 (33)24% (4)45% (1).74 (1)5% (29)2.1 (40)
MIZ Defense1354% (118)39% (30) - - - - - - 9 (87).23 (46)1.6 (58)36% (21)25% (15).18 (12)6% (64)1.9 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1351% (86)45% (113) - - - - - - 10 (67).41 (123)1.7 (112)32% (64)34% (118).56 (132)6% (54)2.5 (132)
MIZ Offense1346% (93)48% (13)1928.9261.2913.723 (51)7 (21).44 (18)1.7 (42)31% (46)36% (21).46 (29)5% (16)2 (69)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07   Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7   Missouri: 17.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


LSU Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 33
Missouri 32


Total Points: 65

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Missouri39LSU49LSULSU -6LSU63.5Over
202010/10LSU41Missouri45MissouriLSU -14Missouri53.0Over
201610/01LSU42Missouri7LSULSU -14LSU51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri112 Overs
LSU221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#8) LSU Info
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30


LSU has lost 1 straight
LSU has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

LSU Highlights
LSU has Really Good Running Game (#116)
LSU offense is efficent (#103)
LSU offense is explosive (#75)
LSU has a top Offensive Line (#129)
LSU offense is good in red zone (#123)
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#122)

LSU has a great TO Margin (#82)

LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a bad defense (#60)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
LSU Does Not Stuff Runs (#93)
LSU has a bad red zone defense (#40)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIZLSU
OverallOver#15#9
OffenseOff#12#2
DefenseDef#41#45
Special TeamsST#53#80
PassingPass#17#2
RushingRush#38#1
Run BlockRBLK#5#7
Pass BlockPBLK#32#9
Route RunningWR Rt#17#11
TacklingTkl#62#15
Run DefenseR Def#67#43
Pass Rush DefPRush#30#26
Coverage DefCov#45#77

Rematch from Week 6
LSU 6.0 (63.5)
LSU won at Missouri this year (49-39)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Missouri in 2023 (49-39)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | MIZ
Depth Chart: LSU | MIZ
Rosters: LSU | MIZ
(#14) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60


Missouri has won 5 straight
Missouri has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Missouri Highlights
Missouri offense is efficent (#11)
Missouri offense is good in red zone (#12)
Missouri Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Missouri has a really good defense (#15)
Missouri has a good run defense (#18)
Missouri has a good pass defense (#26)
Missouri Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Missouri Defensive Line is very good (#34)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
Missouri Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#27)
Missouri gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#110)


  
LSU's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Daniels23632772%381240411.7
Garrett Nussmeier487862%592417.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Daniels1351134108.485
Logan Diggs (Tr)11965375.535
Josh Williams5528455.241
Noah Cain3718134.920
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Nabers8915691417.651
Brian Thomas Jr.6811771717.386
Kyren Lacy30558718.657
Mason Taylor3634819.725

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Matt House
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Major Burns904123
Greg Penn III897411
Andre Sam (Tr)821002
Harold Perkins7413664
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harold Perkins7413664
Mehki Wingo255500
Greg Penn III897411
Ovie Oghoufo (Tr)334321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zy Alexander (Tr)440007
Sage Ryan414005
Harold Perkins7413664

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook24336766%33022169.0
Sam Horn3650%54119.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cody Schrader2761617145.952
Brady Cook11331982.825
Nathaniel Peat7631734.219
Luther Burden III83804.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luther Burden III851205914.256
Theo Wease48661613.877
Mookie Cooper36447012.441
Marquis Johnson13383329.576

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Carlies645224
Joseph Charleston601034
Ty'Ron Hopper556363
Charles Hicks5311221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Robinson4314960
Johnny Walker4311690
Nyles Gaddy (Tr)224430
Ty'Ron Hopper556363
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kris Abrams-Draine5030112
Daylan Carnell516387
Jaylon Carlies645224