LSU at Missouri Game Matchup

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
LSU -6 (63.5) (0) Open: 0.0
LSU 49 - Missouri: 39 (SEC)

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 6th straight game
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: LSU -0.5 (SP+ LSU -1)
Projected Score: LSU: 29 - MIZ: 29 (53)
LSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 593 miles

Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Missouri's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Missouri vs South Dakota	-27.0	44.5	W 35 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/9	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-21.0	47.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/16	Missouri vs Kansas State	+3.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Missouri vs Memphis	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-14.0	53.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Missouri vs LSU	+6.0	63.5	L 39 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/14	Missouri at Kentucky	+1.5	50.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Missouri vs South Carolina	-7.5	57.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Missouri at Georgia	+15.0	56.5	L 21 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Missouri vs Tennessee	+1.0	58.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Missouri vs Florida	-12.5	56.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Missouri at Arkansas	-9.5	53.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Missouri vs Ohio State	+4.0	51.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.33	51%	30.5	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	24.3	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2
MIZ	.16	41%	28.9	41%	2.89	156	41%	213	4.26	.15	38%	20.4	37%	39%	3.8	63.7	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	14	30.5	27.3	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	15.6	37.7%	3.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	37%	39%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	14	24.3	27	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	32.1	40.6%	4.26	1.5	19	370	156	213	4.1	51%	48%	41%	41%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8
Missouri	13	31:05	18.5	40%	50%	7.8	63.7	1.5	1.8	7	2.7	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99
MIZ Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	67%	14%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93
MIZ Offense	13	51%	41%	37.9	156.5	4.1	21	.11	2.89	70%	13%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2
MIZ Defense	13	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.22	1.6	34%	28%	.22	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2
MIZ Offense	13	48%	41%	19	30.1	213.2	7.1	11.2	13	9	.25	1.6	34%	33%	.34	4%	2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07 Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7 Missouri: 17.8

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 29
Missouri 29

Projected Total Points: 53

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Missouri	39	LSU	49	LSU	LSU -6	LSU	63.5	Over
2020	10/10	LSU	41	Missouri	45	Missouri	LSU -14	Missouri	53.0	Over
2016	10/01	LSU	42	Missouri	7	LSU	LSU -14	LSU	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	1	1	2 Overs
LSU	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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LSU Ratings Matchup Missouri

Power #8

#14

Off #1

#15

Def #122

#38

Talent #6

#37

SP+ #10

#12

SP+ Off #2

#11

SP+ Def #55

#23

Rematch from Week 6
LSU 6.0 (63.5)
LSU won at Missouri this year (49-39)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Missouri in 2023 (49-39)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | MIZ
Depth Chart: LSU | MIZ
Rosters: LSU | MIZ

(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile

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LSU's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Armoni Goodwin	14	88	0	6.3	26
Emery Jones	0	17	0	0.0	17
Logan Diggs (Tr)	1	15	0	15.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
Josh Williams	31	263	0	8.5	23
Jalen Brown	8	75	0	9.4	21

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Major Burns	49	5	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Paris Shand (Tr)	25	6	3	1	1
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laterrance Welch	19	0	0	1	7
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Zy Alexander (Tr)	33	3	1	0	4

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Luther Burden III	10	125	2	12.5	61
Gabarri Johnson	26	106	1	4.1	23
Jake Garcia (Tr)	40	46	2	1.2	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Mookie Cooper	12	235	0	19.6	78
Dannis Jackson	11	210	0	19.1	47

View Missouri's Full Roster

Missouri's DC Blake Baker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass	75	4	1	3	0
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	0	4
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1
Serigne Tounkara	5	2	2	2	0
Kristian Williams	30	2	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	4
Dameon Wilson	25	3	1	2
Sidney Williams (Tr)	30	1	0	2