Florida at LSU Game Matchup
Florida logo Florida Gators at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
LSU -14 (68.5) (-850)  Open: -16.5
LSU 52 - Florida: 35  (SEC)

 
Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: LSU -13.5   (SP+ LSU -13)
Projected Score: FLA: 24 - LSU: 37 (53)
LSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Florida at Utah+5.544.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Florida vs McNeese-48.555.5W 49 - 7ON
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee+5.057.0W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/23 Florida vs Charlotte-28.048.5W 22 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Florida at Kentucky+1.044.0L 14 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-18.051.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Florida at South Carolina-1.050.0W 41 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 20 - 43ON
Sat 11/4 Florida vs Arkansas-4.550.0L 36 - 39ON
Sat 11/11 Florida at LSU+14.068.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Florida at Missouri+12.556.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+6.051.0L 15 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
LSU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 LSU vs Florida State-2.056.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Grambling-56.561.5W 72 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-9.554.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Arkansas-17.555.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 LSU at Ole Miss-3.067.0L 49 - 55ON
Sat 10/7 LSU at Missouri-6.063.5W 49 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn-11.060.0W 48 - 18OY
Sat 10/21 LSU vs Army-33.060.0W 62 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+3.061.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Florida-14.068.5W 52 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 LSU vs Georgia State-32.573.5W 56 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-10.567.5W 42 - 30OY
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.2640%28.341%3.1720039%2243.65.2345%23.147%44%4.3650.11.12
LSU.3351%30.555%3.6318448%2694.6.1641%24.345%37%3.3452.11.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1328.327.539.8%3.651.1204242002245.554%46%41%39%13%.26
LSU Defense1424.321.440.8%3.342 - - - - - 49%51%45%37%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1323.127.845.3%4.362 - - - - - 55%44%47%44%14%.23
LSU Offense1430.531.951.3%4.61.425453184269547%53%55%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1329:022040%47%6.850.11.125.41.8228.3
LSU1431:0124.649%50%652.11.424.81.9227.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354%41%36.3200.25.529.263.1780%8%1.29
LSU Defense1449%45% - - - - .142.974%10%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1355%47% - - - - .213.1773%10%1.05
LSU Offense1447%55%37183.8539.353.6380%9%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346%39%15.328.2223.8814.6189.31.835%30%.435%2.3
LSU Defense1451%37% - - - - - - 9.171.732%32%.385%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1344%44% - - - - - - 9.281.631%39%.464%2
LSU Offense1453%48%2334.3269.37.911.7237.321.427%35%.434%2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25   LSU: 20.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9   LSU: 18.7




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 20.385 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 37
Florida 24

Projected Total Points: 53
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Florida27LSU16FloridaLSU -3Florida57.0Under
202311/11LSU52Florida35LSULSU -14LSU68.5Over
202210/15Florida35LSU45LSUFlorida -2LSU51.5Over
202110/16LSU49Florida42LSUFlorida -12.5LSU61.0Over
202012/12Florida34LSU37LSUFlorida -23LSU65.5Over
201910/12LSU42Florida28LSULSU -14Push55.5Over
201810/06Florida27LSU19FloridaLSU -1Florida44.0Over
201710/07Florida16LSU17LSULSU -1.5Florida44.0Under
201611/19LSU10Florida16FloridaLSU -10.5Florida38.0Under
201510/17LSU35Florida28LSULSU -6.5LSU43.5Over
201410/11Florida27LSU30LSULSU -1LSU0
201310/12LSU17Florida6LSULSU -5LSU0
201210/06Florida14LSU6Florida
201110/08LSU41Florida11LSU
201010/09Florida29LSU33LSU
200910/10LSU3Florida13Florida
200810/11Florida51LSU21Florida
200710/06LSU28Florida24LSU
200610/07Florida23LSU10Florida
200510/15LSU21Florida17LSU
200410/09Florida21LSU24LSU
200310/11LSU7Florida19Florida
200210/12Florida7LSU36LSU
200110/06LSU15Florida44Florida
200010/06Florida41LSU9Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1577 Overs
Florida1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 43 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 144 - 71 - 43 - 3

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Florida     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #26
#8
Off #19
#1
Def #90
#122
Talent #14
#6
SP+ #42
#10
SP+ Off #42
#2
SP+ Def #64
#55

Rematch from Week 11
LSU -14.0 (68.5)
LSU won vs Florida this year (52-35)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat LSU last year (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)
LSU beat Florida in 2022 (45-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | LSU
Depth Chart: FLA | LSU
Rosters: FLA | LSU
(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.385 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Team Profile






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Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)729477%791628.4
Max Brown439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trevor Etienne12260995.048
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Max Brown338502.620
Graham Mertz (Tr)185613.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Trevor Etienne3219406.114
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman1512518.333
Montrell Johnson136404.912

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shemar James644223
Scooby Williams438024
Chris McClellan396332
CamRon Jackson375212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princely Umanmielen371411130
Chris McClellan396332
Shemar James644223
CamRon Jackson375212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scooby Williams438024
Jason Marshall Jr.202034
Shemar James644223

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Williams11748264.123
Armoni Goodwin148806.326
Emery Jones01700.017
Logan Diggs (Tr)115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
Josh Williams3126308.523
Jalen Brown87509.421

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Matt House
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Greg Penn III835280
Darian Chestnut604115
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)5713983
Major Burns495222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)5713983
Savion Jones407482
Paris Shand (Tr)256311
Greg Penn III835280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Laterrance Welch190017
Darian Chestnut604115
Zy Alexander (Tr)333104