Ole Miss at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#20)Ole Miss Rebels at Tulane Green Wave

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -8 (64.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 37 - Tulane: 20

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TULN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ole Miss -8 (SP+ MISS -12)
Projected Score: MISS: 34 - TULN: 26 (61)
MISS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 307 miles

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
TULN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#30 (.28)	44% (44)	35.1	44% (54)	2.94 (100)	176	45% (31)	286	4.72 (13)	#68 (.18)	42% (62)	22.5	43% (74)	41% (54)	3.64 (55)	59.1	0.5	1.4
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	26.4	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	20.5	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)		45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)		38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	35.1	21.8	44.4%	4.72	0.5	23	462	176	286	4.3	54%	45%	44%	45%	15%	.28
TULN Defense	14	20.5	22	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	22.5	24.8	41.6%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	41%	18%	.18
TULN Offense	14	26.4	28.8	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	27:43	23.5	37%	69%	7.2	59.1	0.5	1.4	5.9	2.6	1	29
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	54% (37)	44% (54)	41.1	176.5	4.3	29 (22)	.17 (60)	2.94 (100)	70% (95)	11% (80)	1.05 (44)
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	50% (62)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.14 (70)	3.21 (96)	86% (127)	11% (30)	0.98 (58)
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	45% (97)	45% (31)	19.7	30.4	285.6	9.4	14.5	26 (31)	6 (14)	.45 (17)	1.7 (21)	32% (72)	33% (55)	.43 (39)	5% (22)	2.2 (28)
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	49% (70)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (59)	1.6 (79)	32% (65)	27% (26)	.23 (31)	7% (43)	2 (35)
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28 Tulane: 5.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0 Tulane: 4.1

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 34
Tulane 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulane 35
Ole Miss 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 26
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 51

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/20	Ole Miss	41	Tulane	10	Ole Miss -17.5	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2025	09/20	Ole Miss	45	Tulane	10	Ole Miss -12.5	Ole Miss	61.5	Under
2023	09/09	Tulane	20	Ole Miss	37	Ole Miss -8	Ole Miss	64.0	Under
2021	09/18	Ole Miss	61	Tulane	21	Ole Miss -14	Ole Miss	77.0	Over
2012	09/22	Tulane	0	Ole Miss	39
2010	09/11	Tulane	13	Ole Miss	27
2000	09/01	Ole Miss	49	Tulane	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulane	0	0	1 Overs
Ole Miss	7	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	3 - 1	3 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 3

(#18) MISS at (#52) TULN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	TULN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#18	#52
SP+SP+	#14	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#24	#33
OffenseOff	#18	#47
DefenseDef	#60	#27
Spec TeamsST	#11	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#21	#75

Ole Miss Injury Report

Tulane Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TULN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#27
SuccessSuc	#44	#55
ExplosiveExp	#26	#43
PPAPPA	#30	#56
PowerPwr	#22	#29
SP+SP+	#21	#40
Pts POPPO	#13	#61
HavocHav	#60	#29

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#7	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#54	#42
Run ExplRExp	#44	#75
PPAExp	#60	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#67
TackleTak	-	#112

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#6	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#21	#13
PPAExp	#17	#54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#37
F7 HavocF7	#80	#46
DB HavocDB	#22	#24

Tulane on Offense


CategoryCat	TULN Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#60
SuccessSuc	#61	#62
ExplosiveExp	#112	#69
PPAPPA	#70	#68
PowerPwr	#86	#47
SP+SP+	#63	#21
Pts POPPO	#91	#55
HavocHav	#32	#33

Tulane Run Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#78	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#74
Run ExplRExp	#121	#58
PPAExp	#104	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#105
TackleTak	-	#38

Tulane Pass Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#54
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#79
PPAExp	#40	#59
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#40
F7 HavocF7	#36	#30
DB HavocDB	#57	#43

Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 89° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Ole Miss 8.0 (64.0)
Ole Miss won at Tulane this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Tulane in 2023 (37-20)

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	233	359	65%	3364	23	5	9.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)	19	29	66%	278	3	0	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	271	1158	15	4.3	40
Ulysses Bentley IV	95	540	4	5.7	43
Jaxson Dart	119	391	8	3.3	68
Matt Jones	12	79	2	6.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	54	985	8	18.2	56
Dayton Wade	55	830	4	15.1	58
Jordan Watkins	53	741	3	14.0	68
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)	30	449	4	15.0	37

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	83	2	0	0	2
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)	71	5	3	1	0
John Saunders Jr.	65	2	0	1	4
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	46	12	6	4	2
Cedric Johnson	40	7	6	12	3
Suntarine Perkins	38	6	4	1	1
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)	30	5	4	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	8
Zamari Walton (Tr)	38	4	0	6
Deantre Prince	36	5	1	5

TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Pratt	185	283	65%	2406	22	5	8.5
Kai Horton	44	82	54%	604	3	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	258	1378	7	5.3	58
Michael Pratt	98	286	5	2.9	26
Ashaad Clayton	41	150	0	3.7	17
Arnold Barnes	23	138	0	6.0	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	44	711	5	16.2	47
Lawrence Keys III	33	599	7	18.2	57
Jha'Quan Jackson	26	439	4	16.9	48
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	33	391	2	11.8	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jesus Machado	98	3	0	1	1
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	85	8	3	1	1
Bailey Despanie	67	6	0	0	2
Jared Small	60	6	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Hodges	25	10	8	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	35	12	6	2	0
Keith Cooper Jr.	32	9	5	3	2
Kameron Hamilton	25	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kam Pedescleaux	56	4	0	2	12
Jarius Monroe	48	4	1	1	10
Lance Robinson	43	0	0	0	7