Army at LSU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -33 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
LSU 62 - Army: 0

Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (21 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 2nd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: LSU -29 (SP+ LSU -24)
Projected Score: ARMY: 11 - LSU: 40 (52)
LSU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 52%
ARMY Travel: 1222 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARMY Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Army's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Army at UL Monroe	-8.5	47.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Army vs Delaware State	-39.5	44.0	W 57 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Army at UTSA	+7.0	42.0	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Army at Syracuse	+13.0	50.5	L 16 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Army vs Boston College	-2.5	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Army vs Troy	+6.5	41.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/21	Army at LSU	+33.0	60.0	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/28	Army vs Massachusetts	-10.0	49.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	Army vs Air Force	+18.5	32.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Army vs Holy Cross	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	Army vs Coastal Carolina	+1.5	40.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Army vs Navy	-2.0	28.0	W 17 - 11	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	.27	45%	23.8	48%	3.33	289	28%	77	4.25	.22	48%	21.6	50%	47%	3.69	38.8	1	1.7
LSU	.33	51%	22.8	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	19.8	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Offense	12	23.8	20.8	44.5%	4.25	1	18	366	289	77	5.4	85%	14%	48%	28%	11%	.27
LSU Defense	14	19.8	16.9	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Defense	12	21.6	21.2	47.9%	3.69	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	50%	47%	13%	.22
LSU Offense	14	22.8	25.7	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Army	12	31:37	17.6	44%	53%	4.8	38.8	1	1.7	3.8	1.5	3	29.6
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense	12	85%	48%	53.8	288.9	5.4	38	.27	3.33	74%	8%	1.05
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense	12	61%	50%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	74%	8%	0.94
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense	12	14%	28%	3.5	8.7	77	8.9	22	5	4	.32	2.3	25%	23%	.34	3%	2.2
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense	12	37%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.33	1.5	26%	34%	.27	5%	1.9
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -12.25 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 20.00 #223
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -12.25 LSU: 20.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: -5.2 LSU: 18.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 20.385 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 899.31 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 40
Army 11

Projected Total Points: 52

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 12 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	LSU	62	Army	0	LSU -33	LSU	60.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	1	1	1 Overs
Army	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#125) ARMY at (#8) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARMY	LSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#125	#8
SP+SP+	#82	#10
Perf GradeGrade	#76	#11
OffenseOff	#100	#2
DefenseDef	#63	#53
Spec TeamsST	#12	#102
TalentTal	#223	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#7

Army Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Army on Offense


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	LSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#100	#53
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#111	#122
SP+SP+	#113	#55
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Army Run Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#117	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Army Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#111	#30
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARMY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#1	#93
SP+SP+	#2	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#1	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
LSU -33.0 (60.0)
LSU won vs Army this year (62-0)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Army in 2023 (62-0)

ARMY's OC Matt Drinkall (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	60	120	50%	913	7	6	7.6
Champ Harris	19	35	54%	260	0	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	214	902	7	4.2	62
Kanye Udoh	99	524	1	5.3	23
Hayden Reed	50	205	2	4.1	27
Tyrell Robinson	39	187	2	4.8	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Alston	9	266	2	29.6	70
Noah Short	18	252	2	14.0	80
Casey Reynolds	16	237	0	14.8	69
Tobi Olawole	7	101	0	14.4	43

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Kalib Fortner	55	3	2	1	0
Max DiDomenico	47	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Jack Latore	20	4	3	0	0
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Jimmy Ciarlo	47	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabari Moore	35	3	0	0	6
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Cameron Jones	34	3	1	1	2

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Daniels	236	327	72%	3812	40	4	11.7
Garrett Nussmeier	48	78	62%	592	4	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Daniels	135	1134	10	8.4	85
Logan Diggs (Tr)	119	653	7	5.5	35
Josh Williams	55	284	5	5.2	41
Noah Cain	37	181	3	4.9	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Nabers	89	1569	14	17.6	51
Brian Thomas Jr.	68	1177	17	17.3	86
Kyren Lacy	30	558	7	18.6	57
Mason Taylor	36	348	1	9.7	25

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Major Burns	90	4	1	2	3
Greg Penn III	89	7	4	1	1
Andre Sam (Tr)	82	1	0	0	2
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4
Mehki Wingo	25	5	5	0	0
Greg Penn III	89	7	4	1	1
Ovie Oghoufo (Tr)	33	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zy Alexander (Tr)	44	0	0	0	7
Sage Ryan	41	4	0	0	5
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4