Mercer at Ole Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview
Mercer logo Mercer Bears at Ole Miss Rebels(#6)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -35 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 73 - Mercer: 7

 
Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 73 (7 - 73 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: Ole Miss -16  (SP+ MISS -16)
MISS Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mercer's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Mercer at Ole Miss+35.059.5L 7 - 73ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mercer's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49OY
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3UN
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7UN
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%70%000%000%730%0%0000
MISS#30 (.28)44% (44)35.144% (54)2.94 (100)17645% (31)2864.72 (13)#68 (.18)42% (62)22.543% (74)41% (54)3.64 (55)59.10.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MISS Defense1322.520.641.6%3.641.4 - - - - - 50%49%43%41%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Defense173730%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MISS Offense1335.144.144.4%4.720.5234621762864.354%45%44%45%15%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mercer10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Ole Miss1327:4323.537%69%7.259.10.51.45.92.6129
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MISS Defense1350% (62)43% (74) - - - - .14 (70)3.21 (96)86% (127)11% (30)0.98 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MISS Offense1354% (37)44% (54)41.1176.54.329 (22).17 (60)2.94 (100)70% (95)11% (80)1.05 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MISS Defense1349% (70)41% (54) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (59)1.6 (79)32% (65)27% (26).23 (31)7% (43)2 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MISS Offense1345% (97)45% (31)19.730.4285.69.414.526 (31)6 (14).45 (17)1.7 (21)32% (72)33% (55).43 (39)5% (22)2.2 (28)

Mercer's Power Ratings
Mercer's Power Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #184
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mercer's 2023 Expected Record: -
Mercer's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Ole Miss: 16.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14  #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85  #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12  #47
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36  #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0  #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mercer Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 73 PPG
Defense on Road: 73

Mercer's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 39
Mercer 23

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 37
Mercer 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 56
Mercer 14

Total Points: 70
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.1
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Ole Miss73Mercer7Ole Miss -35Ole Miss59.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss111 Overs
Mercer000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) MER at (#18) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMERMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #18
SP+SP+NR #14
Perf GradeGradeNR #24
OffenseOffNR #18
DefenseDefNR #60
Spec TeamsSTNR #11
TalentTal #184 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #21
Mercer on Offense
CategoryCat
MER OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #60
SuccessSucNR #62
ExplosiveExpNR #69
PPAPPANR #68
PowerPwrNR #47
SP+SP+NR #21
Pts POPPONR #55
HavocHavNR #33
Mercer Run Game
CategoryCat
MER OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNR #82
Run SuccessRSucNR #74
Run ExplRExpNR #58
PPAExpNR #70
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #96
Stuff RateStuffNR #105
TackleTak -  #38
Mercer Pass Game
CategoryCat
MER OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNR #74
Pass SuccessPSucNR #54
Pass ExplPExlNR #79
PPAExpNR #59
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #40
F7 HavocF7NR #30
DB HavocDBNR #43
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffMER Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #18NR
SuccessSuc #44NR
ExplosiveExp #26NR
PPAPPA #30NR
PowerPwr #22NR
SP+SP+ #21NR
Pts POPPO #13NR
HavocHav #60NR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMER Def
Run GameRun #7NR
Run SuccessRSuc #54NR
Run ExplRExp #44NR
PPAExp #60NR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #100NR
Stuff RateStuff #123NR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffMER Def
Pass GamePass #6NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #31NR
Pass ExplPExl #21NR
PPAExp #17NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #87NR
F7 HavocF7 #80NR
DB HavocDB #22NR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MER 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.004
Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -35.0 (59.5)
Ole Miss won vs Mercer this year (73-7)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mercer in 2023 (73-7)

  
MER's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al Wooten II2100.51
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mercer's Full Roster

MER's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Savio Frazier245342
Ken Standley101000
TJ Moore90001
Cameron Sims80002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Savio Frazier245342
Ken Standley101000
TJ Moore90001
Cameron Sims80002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Savio Frazier245342
Cameron Sims80002
TJ Moore90001

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxson Dart23335965%33642359.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)192966%278309.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins2711158154.340
Ulysses Bentley IV9554045.743
Jaxson Dart11939183.368
Matt Jones127926.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Harris (Tr)54985818.256
Dayton Wade55830415.158
Jordan Watkins53741314.068
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)30449415.037

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Washington832002
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)715310
John Saunders Jr.652014
Daijahn Anthony613008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Ivey4612642
Cedric Johnson4076123
Suntarine Perkins386411
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)305432
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daijahn Anthony613008
Zamari Walton (Tr)384006
Deantre Prince365105