Mercer at Ole Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview

Mercer Bears at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -35 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 73 - Mercer: 7

Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 62 (17 - 62 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ole Miss -16 (SP+ MISS -16)
MISS Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MER Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mercer's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Mercer at Ole Miss	+35.0	59.5	L 7 - 73	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mercer's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MER		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	62	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS	.27	48%	36.9	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	21.1	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MER		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MER Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MER Defense	1	62	62	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mercer	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MER Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MER Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MER Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MER Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9

Mercer's Power Ratings
Mercer's Power Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 73.53 #184
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mercer's 2023 Expected Record: -
Mercer's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 85.99
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Mercer: Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mercer: Ole Miss: 16.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 756.04 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Mercer Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 62 PPG
Defense on Road: 62

Mercer's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 40
Mercer 24

Projected Total Points: 64

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Ole Miss	73	Mercer	7	Ole Miss -35	Ole Miss	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	1	1	1 Overs
Mercer	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) MER at (#18) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MER	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#18
SP+SP+	NR	#14
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#24
OffenseOff	NR	#18
DefenseDef	NR	#60
Spec TeamsST	NR	#11
TalentTal	#184	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#21

Mercer Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Mercer on Offense


CategoryCat	MER Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	#47
SP+SP+	NR	#21
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mercer Run Game


CategoryCat	MER Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

Mercer Pass Game


CategoryCat	MER Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#40
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MER Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#22	NR
SP+SP+	#21	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MER Def
Run GameRun	#7	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MER Def
Pass GamePass	#6	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#87	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MER 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -35.0 (59.5)
Ole Miss won vs Mercer this year (73-7)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mercer in 2023 (73-7)

MER's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carter Peevy	200	338	59%	2234	17	7	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Al Wooten II	120	427	4	3.6	27
Carter Peevy	83	328	9	4.0	62
Micah Bell (Tr)	46	218	0	4.7	24
Tyrell Coard	33	168	0	5.1	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brayden Smith	61	734	7	12.0	75
Owen Dupree	26	310	4	11.9	25
Travion Solomon	13	141	0	10.8	21
Sam Albee	9	131	2	14.6	64

View Mercer's Full Roster

MER's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Dainsus Miller	25	3	5
Drew Clare	7	1	0
Tommy Bliss	7	1	0
Chris Joines	6	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Isaac Prince	5	3	1	0
Dainsus Miller	25	3	0	5
Drew Clare	7	1	0	0
Tommy Bliss	7	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dainsus Miller	25	3	5
Donovan Watkins	2	0	1
Drew Clare	7	1	0

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	233	359	65%	3364	23	5	9.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)	19	29	66%	278	3	0	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	271	1158	15	4.3	40
Ulysses Bentley IV	95	540	4	5.7	43
Jaxson Dart	119	391	8	3.3	68
Matt Jones	12	79	2	6.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	54	985	8	18.2	56
Dayton Wade	55	830	4	15.1	58
Jordan Watkins	53	741	3	14.0	68
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)	30	449	4	15.0	37

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	83	2	0	0	2
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)	71	5	3	1	0
John Saunders Jr.	65	2	0	1	4
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	46	12	6	4	2
Cedric Johnson	40	7	6	12	3
Suntarine Perkins	38	6	4	1	1
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)	30	5	4	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	8
Zamari Walton (Tr)	38	4	0	6
Deantre Prince	36	5	1	5