Ole Miss at Georgia - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#6)Ole Miss Rebels at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Georgia -11.0 (59.0) (-440) Open: -19.5 | 58.5
Georgia 52 - Ole Miss: 17 (SEC)

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
UGA 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -14.5 (SP+ UGA -14)
Projected Score: MISS: 21 - UGA: 35 (56)
UGA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 353 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (43 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#30 (.28)	44% (44)	35.1	44% (54)	2.94 (100)	176	45% (31)	286	4.72 (13)	#68 (.18)	42% (62)	22.5	43% (74)	41% (54)	3.64 (55)	59.1	0.5	1.4
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	40.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	15.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	35.1	21.8	44.4%	4.72	0.5	23	462	176	286	4.3	54%	45%	44%	45%	15%	.28
UGA Defense	14	15.6	13.7	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	22.5	24.8	41.6%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	41%	18%	.18
UGA Offense	14	40.1	42.7	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	27:43	23.5	37%	69%	7.2	59.1	0.5	1.4	5.9	2.6	1	29
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	54% (37)	44% (54)	41.1	176.5	4.3	29 (22)	.17 (60)	2.94 (100)	70% (95)	11% (80)	1.05 (44)
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	50% (62)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.14 (70)	3.21 (96)	86% (127)	11% (30)	0.98 (58)
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	45% (97)	45% (31)	19.7	30.4	285.6	9.4	14.5	26 (31)	6 (14)	.45 (17)	1.7 (21)	32% (72)	33% (55)	.43 (39)	5% (22)	2.2 (28)
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	49% (70)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (59)	1.6 (79)	32% (65)	27% (26)	.23 (31)	7% (43)	2 (35)
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28 Georgia: 28.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0 Georgia: 29.5

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 35
Ole Miss 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 31
Ole Miss 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 32
Ole Miss 21

Total Points: 53

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	01/01	Georgia	34	Ole Miss	39	Georgia -6	Ole Miss	53.5	Over
2025	10/18	Georgia	43	Ole Miss	35	Georgia -7.5	Georgia	56.5	Over
2024	11/09	Ole Miss	28	Georgia	10	Georgia -1.5	Ole Miss	54.5	Under
2023	11/11	Georgia	52	Ole Miss	17	Georgia -11.0	Georgia	59.0	Over
2016	09/24	Ole Miss	45	Georgia	14	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	61.0	Under
2012	11/03	Georgia	37	Ole Miss	10
2011	09/24	Ole Miss	13	Georgia	27
2007	09/29	Georgia	45	Ole Miss	17
2006	09/30	Ole Miss	9	Georgia	14
2002	11/09	Georgia	31	Ole Miss	17
2001	11/17	Ole Miss	15	Georgia	35
2000	11/17	Georgia	32	Ole Miss	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	9	2	3 Overs
Ole Miss	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 8	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

(#18) MISS at (#4) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#18	#4
SP+SP+	#14	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#24	#3
OffenseOff	#18	#3
DefenseDef	#60	#14
Spec TeamsST	#11	#6
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#21	#3

Ole Miss Injury Report

Georgia Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#14
SuccessSuc	#44	#28
ExplosiveExp	#26	#49
PPAPPA	#30	#25
PowerPwr	#22	#27
SP+SP+	#21	#5
Pts POPPO	#13	#41
HavocHav	#60	#67

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#7	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#54	#86
Run ExplRExp	#44	#86
PPAExp	#60	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#29
TackleTak	-	#1

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#6	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#21	#37
PPAExp	#17	#6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#44
F7 HavocF7	#80	#94
DB HavocDB	#22	#35

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#60
SuccessSuc	#5	#62
ExplosiveExp	#91	#69
PPAPPA	#4	#68
PowerPwr	#4	#47
SP+SP+	#5	#21
Pts POPPO	#3	#55
HavocHav	#12	#33

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#13	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#74
Run ExplRExp	#46	#58
PPAExp	#5	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#105
TackleTak	-	#38

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#54
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#79
PPAExp	#7	#59
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#40
F7 HavocF7	#19	#30
DB HavocDB	#17	#43

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 49° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia -11.0 (59.0)
Georgia won vs Ole Miss this year (52-17)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Georgia last year (28-10)
Georgia beat Ole Miss in 2023 (52-17)

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	233	359	65%	3364	23	5	9.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)	19	29	66%	278	3	0	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	271	1158	15	4.3	40
Ulysses Bentley IV	95	540	4	5.7	43
Jaxson Dart	119	391	8	3.3	68
Matt Jones	12	79	2	6.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	54	985	8	18.2	56
Dayton Wade	55	830	4	15.1	58
Jordan Watkins	53	741	3	14.0	68
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)	30	449	4	15.0	37

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	83	2	0	0	2
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)	71	5	3	1	0
John Saunders Jr.	65	2	0	1	4
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	46	12	6	4	2
Cedric Johnson	40	7	6	12	3
Suntarine Perkins	38	6	4	1	1
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)	30	5	4	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	8
Zamari Walton (Tr)	38	4	0	6
Deantre Prince	36	5	1	5

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	302	417	72%	3941	24	6	9.5
Gunner Stockton	12	19	63%	148	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daijun Edwards	164	881	13	5.4	62
Kendall Milton	121	790	14	6.5	51
Roderick Robinson II	24	196	2	8.2	36
Cash Jones	22	161	1	7.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Bowers	56	714	6	12.8	49
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	54	613	4	11.4	55
Marcus Rosemy	34	535	4	15.7	50
Ladd McConkey	30	478	2	15.9	54

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2
Smael Mondon Jr.	68	5	2	2	1
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	0	5
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Walker	20	6	5	1	0
Mykel Williams	16	7	5	0	2
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	34	6	4	1	2
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kamari Lassiter	37	4	1	8
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	7
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	5