Ole Miss at Georgia Game Matchup

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Georgia -11.0 (59.0) (-440) Open: -19.5 | 58.5
Georgia 52 - Ole Miss: 17 (SEC)

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (35 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
UGA 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -14.5 (SP+ UGA -14)
Projected Score: MISS: 22 - UGA: 36 (53)
UGA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 353 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.27	48%	38.6	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	14.4	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3
UGA	.37	53%	31.5	51%	3.22	205	55%	296	4.72	.06	36%	20.6	35%	37%	3.12	44.9	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	38.6	34.6	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27
UGA Defense	15	20.6	21.2	35.9%	3.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	35%	37%	16%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	14.4	18.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16
UGA Offense	15	31.5	42.3	52.7%	4.72	1.1	25	501	205	296	5.5	51%	49%	51%	55%	10%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3
Georgia	15	33:34	24.7	51%	87%	4.4	44.9	1.1	1.5	5.4	2.3	0	31.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1
UGA Defense	15	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.54	68%	11%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86
UGA Offense	15	51%	51%	37.1	205.3	5.5	44	.26	3.22	69%	6%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9
UGA Defense	15	61%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.11	1.5	34%	24%	.11	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8
UGA Offense	15	49%	55%	22.4	32.8	295.8	9	13.2	31	7	.49	1.4	24%	45%	.66	4%	2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28 Georgia: 28.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0 Georgia: 29.5

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 1370.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 36
Ole Miss 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Ole Miss	28	Georgia	10	Ole Miss	Georgia -1.5	Ole Miss	54.5	Under
2023	11/11	Georgia	52	Ole Miss	17	Georgia	Georgia -11.0	Georgia	59.0	Over
2016	09/24	Ole Miss	45	Georgia	14	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	61.0	Under
2012	11/03	Georgia	37	Ole Miss	10	Georgia
2011	09/24	Ole Miss	13	Georgia	27	Georgia
2007	09/29	Georgia	45	Ole Miss	17	Georgia
2006	09/30	Ole Miss	9	Georgia	14	Georgia
2002	11/09	Georgia	31	Ole Miss	17	Georgia
2001	11/17	Ole Miss	15	Georgia	35	Georgia
2000	11/17	Georgia	32	Ole Miss	14	Georgia

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	8	1	1 Overs
Ole Miss	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 3	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 7	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2

(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Ole Miss Ratings Matchup Georgia

Power #18

Off #22

Def #47

#27

Talent #34

SP+ #14

SP+ Off #21

SP+ Def #21

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia -11.0 (59.0)
Georgia won vs Ole Miss this year (52-17)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Georgia last year (28-10)
Georgia beat Ole Miss in 2023 (52-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 49° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.012

Team Information
Injuries: MISS | UGA
Depth Chart: MISS | UGA
Rosters: MISS | UGA

(#4) Georgia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5
Talent Rating: 1370.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

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Ole Miss's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Caden Davis (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	194	1060	14	5.5	86
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Jamious Griffin	73	450	4	6.2	33
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
JJ Henry	42	485	4	11.5	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Khari Coleman	45	1	0	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
J.J. Pegues	42	14	4	5	0
Joshua Harris (Tr)	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brock Vandagriff	125	218	57%	1593	10	8	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sevaughn Clark	62	209	0	3.4	26
Andrew Paul	38	166	4	4.4	28
Brock Vandagriff	90	131	0	1.5	22
Arian Smith	5	54	0	10.8	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	59	607	6	10.3	38
Mekhi Mews	29	253	1	8.7	57

View Georgia's Full Roster

Georgia's DC Will Muschamp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr.	99	10	2	3	1
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	67	7	4	1	0
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Marvin Jones Jr.	25	6	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
A.J. Harris	41	3	0	5
Nyland Green	23	2	2	5
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	3