Texas A&M at LSU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
LSU -10.5 (67.5) (-440) Open: -9.5
LSU 42 - Texas A&M: 30 (SEC)

Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (28 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 3rd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
TA&M is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: LSU -5 (SP+ LSU -3)
Projected Score: TA&M: 31 - LSU: 36 (68)
LSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TA&M Travel: 307 miles

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 46 - 28 (52 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-37.5	48.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas A&M at Miami	-3.0	50.5	L 33 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/16	Texas A&M vs UL Monroe	-36.5	53.5	W 47 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-9.5	51.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/14	Texas A&M at Tennessee	+3.0	54.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-17.0	51.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	+3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-16.5	40.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian	-40.5	54.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	Texas A&M at LSU	+10.5	67.5	L 30 - 42	O	N
Wed 12/27	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	+4.0	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#42 (.24)	43% (54)	33.3	44% (58)	3.02 (85)	136	43% (58)	271	4.15 (44)	#21 (.1)	37% (20)	22.1	34% (7)	40% (46)	2.76 (6)	45.5	1.1	1
LSU	#1 (.52)	56% (2)	45.5	58% (1)	3.9 (1)	197	54% (3)	309	4.86 (8)	#126 (.32)	45% (105)	28	45% (92)	45% (113)	4.55 (126)	48.2	0.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	13	33.3	27.8	43.2%	4.15	1.1	22	407	136	271	3.9	48%	51%	44%	43%	14%	.24
LSU Defense	13	28	19.7	44.8%	4.55	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	45%	16%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	13	22.1	37	37%	2.76	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	34%	40%	22%	.1
LSU Offense	13	45.5	52.3	56.1%	4.86	0.5	24	506	197	309	6.3	47%	53%	58%	54%	11%	.52

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	13	31:24	22.1	43%	60%	5.9	45.5	1.1	1	7.4	3.2	2	35.5
LSU	13	26:37	23.7	56%	43%	5.7	48.2	0.5	1	5.1	2	1	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	13	48% (84)	44% (58)	35.1	136.2	3.9	23 (46)	.14 (76)	3.02 (85)	78% (33)	9% (50)	0.94 (97)
LSU Defense	13	49% (51)	45% (92)	-	-	-	-	.24 (113)	3.22 (97)	91% (132)	10% (79)	1.07 (99)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	34% (7)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (9)	2.46 (6)	61% (13)	15% (4)	0.99 (67)
LSU Offense	13	47% (95)	58% (1)	31.2	197	6.3	32 (10)	.45 (1)	3.9 (1)	69% (103)	6% (2)	1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	13	51% (48)	43% (58)	21.1	32.7	270.8	8.3	12.9	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (41)	1.7 (23)	31% (60)	33% (46)	.46 (26)	5% (31)	2.3 (17)
LSU Defense	13	51% (86)	45% (113)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.41 (123)	1.7 (112)	32% (64)	34% (118)	.56 (132)	6% (54)	2.5 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	13	52% (99)	40% (46)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.28 (77)	1.7 (98)	38% (3)	26% (22)	.18 (11)	7% (33)	2.2 (118)
LSU Offense	13	53% (38)	54% (3)	19.6	28.2	308.6	11	15.7	41 (2)	4 (2)	.59 (4)	1.7 (33)	24% (4)	45% (1)	.74 (1)	5% (29)	2.1 (40)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95 LSU: 20.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4 LSU: 18.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 20.385 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 36
Texas A&M 31

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 41
Texas A&M 28

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
LSU 39
Texas A&M 27

Total Points: 66

LSU Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 12 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	LSU	25	Texas A&M	49	Texas A&M -1.5	Texas A&M	50.5	Over
2024	10/26	Texas A&M	38	LSU	23	Texas A&M -2	Texas A&M	54.5	Over
2023	11/25	LSU	42	Texas A&M	30	LSU -10.5	LSU	67.5	Over
2022	11/26	Texas A&M	38	LSU	23	LSU -10	Texas A&M	47.5	Over
2021	11/27	LSU	27	Texas A&M	24	Texas A&M -6	LSU	47.0	Over
2020	11/28	Texas A&M	20	LSU	7	Texas A&M -16	LSU	60.5	Under
2019	11/30	LSU	50	Texas A&M	7	LSU -17	LSU	63.0	Under
2018	11/24	Texas A&M	74	LSU	72	Texas A&M -3	LSU	46.5	Over
2017	11/25	LSU	45	Texas A&M	21	LSU -11	LSU	50.5	Over
2016	11/24	Texas A&M	39	LSU	54	LSU -4	LSU	48.5	Over
2015	11/28	LSU	19	Texas A&M	7	LSU -4	LSU	55.0	Under
2014	11/27	Texas A&M	17	LSU	23	LSU -2	LSU	0
2013	11/23	LSU	34	Texas A&M	10	LSU -4	LSU	0
2012	10/20	Texas A&M	19	LSU	24
2010	01/07	Texas A&M	24	LSU	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	10	10	8 Overs
Texas A&M	5	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 5	8 - 5	6 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 10	5 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 6

(#13) TA&M at (#8) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	LSU
Power RatePwr	#13	#8
SP+SP+	#15	#10
Perf GradeGrade	#18	#11
OffenseOff	#32	#2
DefenseDef	#21	#53
Spec TeamsST	#27	#102
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#4	#7

Texas A&M Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	LSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#32	#53
SuccessSuc	#54	#105
ExplosiveExp	#36	#116
PPAPPA	#42	#126
PowerPwr	#63	#122
SP+SP+	#20	#55
Pts POPPO	#44	#126
HavocHav	#36	#69

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#93	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#92
Run ExplRExp	#97	#99
PPAExp	#76	#113
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#85	#97
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#103
TackleTak	-	#17

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#113
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#112
PPAExp	#41	#123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#30
F7 HavocF7	#50	#79
DB HavocDB	#31	#54

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	TA&M Def
Perf GradePerf	#2	#21
SuccessSuc	#2	#20
ExplosiveExp	#11	#110
PPAPPA	#1	#21
PowerPwr	#1	#9
SP+SP+	#2	#15
Pts POPPO	#8	#6
HavocHav	#5	#5

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#1	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#7
Run ExplRExp	#27	#67
PPAExp	#1	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	#1	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#10
TackleTak	-	#98

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#46
Pass ExplPExl	#33	#98
PPAExp	#4	#77
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#25
F7 HavocF7	#2	#4
DB HavocDB	#29	#33

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 13
LSU -10.5 (67.5)
LSU won vs Texas A&M this year (42-30)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat LSU last year (38-23)
LSU beat Texas A&M in 2023 (42-30)
Texas A&M beat LSU in 2022 (38-23)

TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Johnson	118	190	62%	1452	9	5	7.6
Conner Weigman	82	119	69%	979	8	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amari Daniels	105	532	6	5.1	79
Le'Veon Moss	96	484	5	5.0	36
Rueben Owens	101	385	3	3.8	28
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)	41	104	2	2.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ainias Smith	53	795	2	15.0	42
Jahdae Walker (Tr)	35	590	2	16.9	40
Evan Stewart	38	514	4	13.5	44
Noah Thomas	29	359	5	12.4	34

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edgerrin Cooper	83	19	10	9	2
Taurean York	74	9	3	5	0
Demani Richardson	59	3	1	4	3
Bryce Anderson	56	8	3	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edgerrin Cooper	83	19	10	9	2
Shemar Turner	31	9	5	3	0
Fadil Diggs	36	11	4	6	2
Walter Nolen	36	8	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deuce Harmon	18	1	0	0	7
Josh DeBerry (Tr)	39	5	1	1	7
Tyreek Chappell	21	1	0	0	6

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Daniels	236	327	72%	3812	40	4	11.7
Garrett Nussmeier	48	78	62%	592	4	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Daniels	135	1134	10	8.4	85
Logan Diggs (Tr)	119	653	7	5.5	35
Josh Williams	55	284	5	5.2	41
Noah Cain	37	181	3	4.9	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Nabers	89	1569	14	17.6	51
Brian Thomas Jr.	68	1177	17	17.3	86
Kyren Lacy	30	558	7	18.6	57
Mason Taylor	36	348	1	9.7	25

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Major Burns	90	4	1	2	3
Greg Penn III	89	7	4	1	1
Andre Sam (Tr)	82	1	0	0	2
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4
Mehki Wingo	25	5	5	0	0
Greg Penn III	89	7	4	1	1
Ovie Oghoufo (Tr)	33	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zy Alexander (Tr)	44	0	0	0	7
Sage Ryan	41	4	0	0	5
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4