Texas A&M at LSU - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo   Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
LSU -10.5 (67.5) (-440)  Open: -9.5
LSU 42 - Texas A&M: 30  (SEC)

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU 3rd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
TA&M is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: LSU -5  (SP+ LSU -3)
Projected Score: TA&M: 27 - LSU: 32 (60)
LSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TA&M Travel: 307 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
LSU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 LSU vs Florida State-2.056.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Grambling-56.561.5W 72 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-9.554.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Arkansas-17.555.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 LSU at Ole Miss-3.067.0L 49 - 55ON
Sat 10/7 LSU at Missouri-6.063.5W 49 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn-11.060.0W 48 - 18OY
Sat 10/21 LSU vs Army-33.060.0W 62 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+3.061.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Florida-14.068.5W 52 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 LSU vs Georgia State-32.573.5W 56 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-10.567.5W 42 - 30OY
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1440%33.845%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%2143%35%3.0449.11.51.9
LSU.3351%22.855%3.6318448%2694.6.1641%19.845%37%3.3452.11.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1233.83840.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14
LSU Defense1419.816.940.8%3.342 - - - - - 49%51%45%37%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense122130.240%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
LSU Offense1422.825.751.3%4.61.425453184269547%53%55%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
LSU1431:0124.649%50%652.11.424.81.9227.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94
LSU Defense1449%45% - - - - .142.974%10%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
LSU Offense1447%55%37183.8539.353.6380%9%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2
LSU Defense1451%37% - - - - - - 9.171.732%32%.385%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
LSU Offense1453%48%2334.3269.37.911.7237.321.427%35%.434%2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95  #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69  #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57  #9
2023 Talent Rating: 925.92  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 75%  #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95   LSU: 20.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4   LSU: 18.7




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 20.385  #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07  #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64  #122
2023 Talent Rating: 899.31  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 70  #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7  #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1  #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 32
Texas A&M 27

Projected Total Points: 60
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 12 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25LSU25Texas A&M49Texas A&M -1.5Texas A&M50.5Over
202410/26Texas A&M38LSU23Texas A&M -2Texas A&M54.5Over
202311/25LSU42Texas A&M30LSU -10.5LSU67.5Over
202211/26Texas A&M38LSU23LSU -10Texas A&M47.5Over
202111/27LSU27Texas A&M24Texas A&M -6LSU47.0Over
202011/28Texas A&M20LSU7Texas A&M -16LSU60.5Under
201911/30LSU50Texas A&M7LSU -17LSU63.0Under
201811/24Texas A&M74LSU72Texas A&M -3LSU46.5Over
201711/25LSU45Texas A&M21LSU -11LSU50.5Over
201611/24Texas A&M39LSU54LSU -4LSU48.5Over
201511/28LSU19Texas A&M7LSU -4LSU55.0Under
201411/27Texas A&M17LSU23LSU -2LSU0
201311/23LSU34Texas A&M10LSU -4LSU0
201210/20Texas A&M19LSU24
201001/07Texas A&M24LSU41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU10108 Overs
Texas A&M533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 58 - 56 - 22 - 3
Road Teams5 - 105 - 83 - 22 - 6

(#13) TA&M at (#8) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #13 #8
SP+SP+ #15 #10
Perf GradeGrade #18 #11
OffenseOff #32 #2
DefenseDef #21 #53
Spec TeamsST #27 #102
TalentTal #4 #7
Blue ChipsBC% #4 #7
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #53
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #63 #122
SP+SP+ #20 #55
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #93 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #17
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #16 #95
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #30
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #1 #9
SP+SP+ #2 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #1 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #2 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #25
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
LSU -10.5 (67.5)
LSU won vs Texas A&M this year (42-30)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat LSU last year (49-25)
Texas A&M beat LSU in 2024 (38-23)
LSU beat Texas A&M in 2023 (42-30)

  
TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Daniels23632772%381240411.7
Garrett Nussmeier487862%592417.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Daniels1351134108.485
Logan Diggs (Tr)11965375.535
Josh Williams5528455.241
Noah Cain3718134.920
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Nabers8915691417.651
Brian Thomas Jr.6811771717.386
Kyren Lacy30558718.657
Mason Taylor3634819.725

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Major Burns904123
Greg Penn III897411
Andre Sam (Tr)821002
Harold Perkins7413664
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harold Perkins7413664
Mehki Wingo255500
Greg Penn III897411
Ovie Oghoufo (Tr)334321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zy Alexander (Tr)440007
Sage Ryan414005
Harold Perkins7413664