Georgia Tech at Ole Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Ole Miss Rebels(#17)

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -17 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 48 - Georgia Tech: 23

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ole Miss -16 (SP+ MISS -17)
Projected Score: GT: 22 - MISS: 38 (61)
MISS Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
GT Travel: 297 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Georgia Tech vs Louisville	+7.0	49.5	L 34 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State	-44.0	53.5	W 48 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia Tech at Ole Miss	+17.0	61.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Tech at Wake Forest	+3.5	58.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green	-21.0	49.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia Tech at Miami	+19.0	57.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	-5.5	57.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+12.0	65.5	W 46 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+2.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+17.5	55.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Tech vs Syracuse	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+23.0	59.5	L 23 - 31	U	Y
Fri 12/22	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	31.1	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	29.5	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9
MISS	#30 (.28)	44% (44)	35.1	44% (54)	2.94 (100)	176	45% (31)	286	4.72 (13)	#68 (.18)	42% (62)	22.5	43% (74)	41% (54)	3.64 (55)	59.1	0.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)		45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)		41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	13	31.1	28.4	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28
MISS Defense	13	22.5	20.6	41.6%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	41%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	13	29.5	28.6	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23
MISS Offense	13	35.1	44.1	44.4%	4.72	0.5	23	462	176	286	4.3	54%	45%	44%	45%	15%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2
Ole Miss	13	27:43	23.5	37%	69%	7.2	59.1	0.5	1.4	5.9	2.6	1	29

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)
MISS Defense	13	50% (62)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.14 (70)	3.21 (96)	86% (127)	11% (30)	0.98 (58)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)
MISS Offense	13	54% (37)	44% (54)	41.1	176.5	4.3	29 (22)	.17 (60)	2.94 (100)	70% (95)	11% (80)	1.05 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)
MISS Defense	13	49% (70)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (59)	1.6 (79)	32% (65)	27% (26)	.23 (31)	7% (43)	2 (35)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)
MISS Offense	13	45% (97)	45% (31)	19.7	30.4	285.6	9.4	14.5	26 (31)	6 (14)	.45 (17)	1.7 (21)	32% (72)	33% (55)	.43 (39)	5% (22)	2.2 (28)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.93 Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -1.3 Ole Miss: 16.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 38
Georgia Tech 22

Total Points: 61

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.1
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Ole Miss	48	Georgia Tech	23	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -17	Ole Miss	61.5	Over
2022	09/17	Georgia Tech	0	Ole Miss	42	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -17	Ole Miss	63.0	Under
2013	12/30	Georgia Tech	17	Ole Miss	25	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -2.5	Ole Miss	56.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	3	3	1 Overs
Georgia Tech	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1

(#50) Georgia Tech Info
Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Georgia Tech has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Tech Highlights
Georgia Tech has Really Good Running Game (#17)
Georgia Tech offense is explosive (#106)
Georgia Tech has a top Offensive Line (#26)
Georgia Tech does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#23)

Georgia Tech defense does not give up big plays (#39)
Georgia Tech Secondary is very good (#120)
Georgia Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Georgia Tech Deficiencies
Georgia Tech throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Georgia Tech has a bad defense (#73)
Georgia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#112)
Georgia Tech has a bad defensive line (#92)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	MISS	GT
OverallOver	#19	#55
OffenseOff	#16	#48
DefenseDef	#51	#72
Special TeamsST	#11	#52
PassingPass	#5	#44
RushingRush	#7	#15
Run BlockRBLK	#64	#52
Pass BlockPBLK	#75	#61
Route RunningWR Rt	#14	#58
TacklingTkl	#34	#41
Run DefenseR Def	#70	#97
Pass Rush DefPRush	#34	#63
Coverage DefCov	#59	#32

Rematch from Week 3
Ole Miss -17.0 (61.5)
Ole Miss won vs Georgia Tech this year (48-23)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Georgia Tech in 2023 (48-23)
Ole Miss beat Georgia Tech in 2022 (42-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GT | MISS
Depth Chart: GT | MISS
Rosters: GT | MISS

(#18) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Ole Miss has won 2 straight
Ole Miss has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss is Undefeated at Home

Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#67)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King (Tr)	226	367	62%	2842	27	16	7.7
Zach Pyron	4	8	50%	21	0	1	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	174	1059	7	6.1	67
Haynes King (Tr)	120	737	10	6.1	71
Dontae Smith	100	504	4	5.0	70
Trevion Cooley (Tr)	64	274	3	4.3	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	44	664	5	15.1	58
Malik Rutherford	46	502	4	10.9	55
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)	21	337	2	16.0	53
Christian Leary (Tr)	25	309	2	12.4	44

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

Georgia Tech's DC Kevin Sherrer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	76	1	1	2	0
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6
Clayton Powell-Lee	62	1	0	0	2
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard	49	11	6	1	0
Paul Moala	57	10	3	4	2
Andre White	21	3	3	0	0
D'Quan Douse	32	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9
KJ Wallace	39	2	1	1	7
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6

Ole Miss's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	233	359	65%	3364	23	5	9.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)	19	29	66%	278	3	0	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	271	1158	15	4.3	40
Ulysses Bentley IV	95	540	4	5.7	43
Jaxson Dart	119	391	8	3.3	68
Matt Jones	12	79	2	6.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	54	985	8	18.2	56
Dayton Wade	55	830	4	15.1	58
Jordan Watkins	53	741	3	14.0	68
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)	30	449	4	15.0	37

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	83	2	0	0	2
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)	71	5	3	1	0
John Saunders Jr.	65	2	0	1	4
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	46	12	6	4	2
Cedric Johnson	40	7	6	12	3
Suntarine Perkins	38	6	4	1	1
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)	30	5	4	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Daijahn Anthony	61	3	0	8
Zamari Walton (Tr)	38	4	0	6
Deantre Prince	36	5	1	5