Illinois at Minnesota Game Matchup
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -1.5 (43.0) (-142)  Open: -3.5
Illinois 27 - Minnesota: 26  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
ILL coming off BYE
Our Line: Minnesota -1   (SP+ MINN -1)
Projected Score: ILL: 22 - MINN: 23 (47)
MINN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ILL Travel: 422 miles
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28ON
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34UN
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44ON
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.543.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan-19.548.0W 25 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Minnesota at North Carolina+7.051.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-11.539.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 9/30 Minnesota vs Louisiana-9.549.0W 35 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Minnesota vs Michigan+18.546.0L 10 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Minnesota at Iowa+3.030.5W 12 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Minnesota vs Michigan State-6.541.5W 27 - 12UY
Sat 11/4 Minnesota vs Illinois-1.543.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/11 Minnesota at Purdue-1.548.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Minnesota at Ohio State+27.551.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/25 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+1.542.0L 14 - 28UN
Tue 12/26 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-2.545.0W 30 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.1544%28.343%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%21.730%36%2.259.11.22.5
MINN.2448%26.249%3.320748%1824.36.1237%16.938%36%2.8431.811.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1328.321.343.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15
MINN Defense1316.916.636.7%2.841.6 - - - - - 47%52%38%36%13%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1321.728.532.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
MINN Offense1326.22947.8%4.361223902071824.664%35%49%48%12%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Minnesota1334:2821.552%55%3.531.811.63.31.5129.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85
MINN Defense1347%38% - - - - .092.9976%7%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
MINN Offense1364%49%44.8207.44.633.223.385%7%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7
MINN Defense1352%36% - - - - - - 14.171.537%25%.216%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
MINN Offense1335%48%13.221.6182.28.413.8129.371.528%40%.455%1.7

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -0.29   Minnesota: -0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -2.6   Minnesota: -1.3




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 23
Illinois 22

Projected Total Points: 47
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Illinois17Minnesota25MinnesotaMinnesota -2.5Minnesota47.0Under
202311/04Minnesota26Illinois27IllinoisMinnesota -1.5Illinois43.0Over
202210/15Illinois26Minnesota14IllinoisMinnesota -4.5Illinois40.0Push
202111/06Minnesota6Illinois14IllinoisMinnesota -14.5Illinois44.5Under
202011/07Illinois14Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -7.5Minnesota64.5Under
201910/05Minnesota40Illinois17MinnesotaMinnesota -14Minnesota58.0Under
201811/03Illinois55Minnesota31IllinoisMinnesota -8.5Illinois61.5Over
201710/21Minnesota24Illinois17MinnesotaMinnesota -14.5Illinois48.5Under
201610/29Illinois17Minnesota40MinnesotaMinnesota -10Minnesota46.5Over
201511/21Minnesota32Illinois23MinnesotaMinnesota -4.5Minnesota47.0Over
201410/25Illinois28Minnesota24IllinoisMinnesota -6.5Illinois0
201211/10Illinois3Minnesota17Minnesota
201111/26Minnesota27Illinois7Minnesota
201011/13Illinois34Minnesota38Minnesota
200911/07Minnesota32Illinois35Illinois
200810/11Illinois20Minnesota27Minnesota
200711/03Minnesota17Illinois44Illinois
200410/23Minnesota45Illinois0Minnesota
200310/25Illinois10Minnesota36Minnesota
200210/03Minnesota31Illinois10Minnesota
200110/06Illinois25Minnesota14Illinois
200009/29Minnesota44Illinois10Minnesota
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1454 Overs
Illinois865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams11 - 116 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile






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Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Minnesota
Power #63
#88
Off #47
#108
Def #104
#99
Talent #62
#30
SP+ #75
#69
SP+ Off #90
#105
SP+ Def #49
#37

Rematch from Week 10
Minnesota -1.5 (43.0)
Illinois won at Minnesota this year (27-26)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois last year (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2022 (26-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 49° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ILL | MINN
Depth Chart: ILL | MINN
Rosters: ILL | MINN
(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Team Profile






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Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Reggie Love III8337224.522
Patrick Bryant51402.87
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Eian Pugh53707.414
Reggie Love III72103.06
Owen Anderson21316.511

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Ryan Meed501011
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Tahveon Nicholson323001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Dylan Davis192110
Christian Lorenzo171131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Zachary Tobe172003
Ryan Meed501011

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Athan Kaliakmanis9225132.720
Zach Evans95806.440
Marquese Williams61302.27
Daniel Jackson31304.35
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer (Tr)52685613.229
Nick Kallerup9117013.044
Frank Bierman113013.013

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Danny Striggow526561
Jack Henderson (Tr)449611
Justin Walley4221110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Henderson (Tr)449611
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Cody Lindenberg945136
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Jah Joyner326597
Cody Lindenberg945136