Minnesota at Iowa - 2023 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -3.0 (30.5) (-175) Open: -4.0 | 32.0
Minnesota 12 - Iowa: 10 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN coming off BYE
IOWA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -9.5 (SP+ IOWA -9)
Projected Score: MINN: 14 - IOWA: 24 (38)
IOWA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 244 miles

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.24	48%	23	49%	3.3	207	48%	182	4.36	.12	37%	22.9	38%	36%	2.84	31.8	1	1.6
IOWA		36%	29.3	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	16.1	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	23	8.3	47.8%	4.36	1	22	390	207	182	4.6	64%	35%	49%	48%	12%	.24
IOWA Defense	13	16.1	13.7	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	22.9	38	36.7%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	36%	13%	.12
IOWA Offense	13	29.3	28.3	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	34:28	21.5	52%	55%	3.5	31.8	1	1.6	3.3	1.5	1	29.6
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	64%	49%	44.8	207.4	4.6	33	.22	3.3	85%	7%	0.9
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.99	76%	7%	0.99
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	35%	48%	13.2	21.6	182.2	8.4	13.8	12	9	.37	1.5	28%	40%	.45	5%	1.7
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.5	37%	25%	.21	6%	1.8
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 640.46 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -4.18 Iowa: 6.51

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -1.3 Iowa: 8.1

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 6.51 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 692.62 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 24
Minnesota 14

Projected Total Points: 38

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Iowa	41	Minnesota	3	Iowa -7.5	Iowa	39.5	Over
2024	09/21	Minnesota	14	Iowa	31	Iowa -3	Iowa	34.5	Over
2023	10/21	Iowa	10	Minnesota	12	Iowa -3.0	Minnesota	30.5	Under
2022	11/19	Minnesota	10	Iowa	13	Minnesota -2	Iowa	31.5	Under
2021	11/13	Iowa	27	Minnesota	22	Iowa -4	Iowa	37.5	Over
2020	11/13	Minnesota	7	Iowa	35	Iowa -3	Iowa	58.0	Under
2019	11/16	Iowa	23	Minnesota	19	Iowa -3	Iowa	44.5	Under
2018	10/06	Minnesota	31	Iowa	48	Iowa -7	Iowa	41.5	Over
2017	10/28	Iowa	17	Minnesota	10	Iowa -7	Push	43.0	Under
2016	10/08	Minnesota	7	Iowa	14	Iowa -1.5	Iowa	50.0	Under
2015	11/14	Iowa	40	Minnesota	35	Iowa -11	Minnesota	47.0	Over
2014	11/08	Minnesota	51	Iowa	14	Minnesota -1	Minnesota	0
2013	09/28	Minnesota	7	Iowa	23	Minnesota -3.5	Iowa	0
2012	09/29	Iowa	31	Minnesota	13
2011	10/29	Minnesota	22	Iowa	21
2010	11/27	Minnesota	27	Iowa	24
2009	11/21	Iowa	12	Minnesota	0
2008	11/22	Minnesota	0	Iowa	55
2007	11/10	Iowa	21	Minnesota	16
2006	11/18	Minnesota	34	Iowa	24
2005	11/19	Iowa	52	Minnesota	28
2004	11/13	Minnesota	27	Iowa	29
2003	11/15	Iowa	40	Minnesota	22
2002	11/16	Minnesota	21	Iowa	45
2001	11/17	Iowa	42	Minnesota	24
2000	11/17	Minnesota	27	Iowa	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	20	9	5 Overs
Minnesota	6	3	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	4 - 8	4 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 16	8 - 4	4 - 0	4 - 4

(#88) MINN at (#61) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#88	#61
SP+SP+	#69	#36
Perf GradeGrade	#70	#53
OffenseOff	#61	#134
DefenseDef	#91	#4
Spec TeamsST	#96	#5
TalentTal	#57	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#38

Minnesota Injury Report

Iowa Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#108	#3
SP+SP+	#105	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#44	#1
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#91
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#133	#99
SP+SP+	#127	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#134	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#98	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Iowa -3.0 (30.5)
Minnesota won at Iowa this year (12-10)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Minnesota last year (41-3)
Iowa beat Minnesota in 2024 (31-14)
Minnesota beat Iowa in 2023 (12-10)

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	156	294	53%	1838	14	9	6.3
Cole Kramer	8	17	47%	26	2	2	1.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	138	799	5	5.8	43
Jordan Nubin	127	559	3	4.4	21
Sean Tyler (Tr)	61	242	0	4.0	19
Zach Evans	52	230	1	4.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	59	831	8	14.1	39
Corey Crooms (Tr)	28	376	0	13.4	32
Brevyn Spann-Ford	25	239	2	9.6	31
Darius Taylor	11	92	0	8.4	25

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Nick Monroe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	52	4	0	0	1
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	0	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	0	3
Maverick Baranowski	48	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jah Joyner	18	8	8	2	0
Danny Striggow	42	6	6	2	0
Kyler Baugh	39	5	3	3	3
Jalen Logan-Redding	29	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Justin Walley	38	2	0	8
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	3

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deacon Hill (Tr)	122	251	49%	1152	5	8	4.6
Cade McNamara (Tr)	46	90	51%	505	4	3	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Leshon Williams	170	821	1	4.8	82
Kaleb Johnson	117	463	3	4.0	67
Jaziun Patterson	58	206	2	3.6	59
Kamari Moulton	27	93	2	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Erick All (Tr)	21	299	3	14.2	34
Nico Ragaini	31	255	0	8.2	29
Kaleb Brown	22	215	1	9.8	31
Addison Ostrenga	31	192	2	6.2	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	171	5	2	3	3
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Quinn Schulte	65	3	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Yahya Black	50	5	4	2	4
Logan Lee	55	6	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermari Harris	42	1	0	0	8
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5