Louisiana at Minnesota - 2023 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -9.5 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Minnesota 35 - Louisiana: 24

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 32 - 29 (28 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN is playing their 5th straight game
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -1.5 (SP+ ULL -1.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 25 - MINN: 26 (51)
MINN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ULL Travel: 1022 miles

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (21 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	32.2	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	28.6	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8
MINN	#118 (.09)	41% (87)	20.9	44% (53)	3.15 (61)	158	36% (116)	143	3.85 (73)	#93 (.22)	43% (75)	26.7	45% (90)	41% (63)	4.67 (129)	27.1	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)		44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)		36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	32.2	28.3	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22
MINN Defense	13	26.7	22.7	42.6%	4.67	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	45%	41%	11%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	28.6	30.3	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18
MINN Offense	13	20.9	21.4	40.5%	3.85	1.3	18	301	158	143	4.1	59%	40%	44%	36%	13%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3
Minnesota	13	31:49	18.2	35%	82%	3	27.1	1.3	1.5	3.2	1.6	0	29

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)
MINN Defense	13	47% (34)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.2 (102)	3.15 (79)	80% (109)	7% (132)	0.99 (63)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)
MINN Offense	13	59% (12)	44% (53)	38.8	157.5	4.1	13 (108)	.11 (92)	3.15 (61)	75% (52)	7% (13)	0.83 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)
MINN Defense	13	51% (94)	41% (63)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (83)	1.6 (73)	30% (106)	30% (71)	.42 (112)	5% (116)	2.2 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)
MINN Offense	13	40% (121)	36% (116)	12.6	24	143.4	6	11.4	16 (92)	11 (68)	.1 (123)	1.6 (53)	29% (26)	27% (99)	.16 (117)	6% (52)	1.9 (106)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -3.82 Minnesota: -0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 0.3 Minnesota: -1.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 26
Louisiana 25

Total Points: 51

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Minnesota	35	Louisiana	24	Minnesota	Minnesota -9.5	Minnesota	49.0	Over
2003	09/20	Minnesota	48	Louisiana	14	Minnesota
2002	09/07	Louisiana	11	Minnesota	35	Minnesota
2001	09/08	Minnesota	44	Louisiana	14	Minnesota

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	4	1	1 Overs
Louisiana	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#86) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Louisiana has won 2 straight
Louisiana has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	MINN	ULL
OverallOver	#56	#35
OffenseOff	#57	#26
DefenseDef	#69	#63
Special TeamsST	#75	#34
PassingPass	#91	#42
RushingRush	#30	#39
Run BlockRBLK	#30	#15
Pass BlockPBLK	#59	#24
Route RunningWR Rt	#93	#41
TacklingTkl	#96	#75
Run DefenseR Def	#94	#91
Pass Rush DefPRush	#27	#41
Coverage DefCov	#69	#43

Rematch from Week 5
Minnesota -9.5 (49.0)
Minnesota won vs Louisiana this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Louisiana in 2023 (35-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULL | MINN
Depth Chart: ULL | MINN
Rosters: ULL | MINN

(#88) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Minnesota has lost 2 straight
Minnesota has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota commits very few Penalties (#38)

Minnesota Deficiencies
Minnesota has a really bad Offense
Minnesota offense is not Explosive (#72)
Minnesota pass game is really bad (#31)
Minnesota has a bad red zone defense (#77)

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	102	153	67%	1222	11	5	8.0
Chandler Fields	96	143	67%	1069	7	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Kibodi	129	729	7	5.7	69
Dre'Lyn Washington	92	515	2	5.6	62
Zeon Chriss	73	492	6	6.7	80
Zylan Perry	54	213	2	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Bernard	39	476	1	12.2	43
Peter Leblanc	30	468	4	15.6	87
Robert Williams	31	385	4	12.4	60
Neal Johnson	30	383	5	12.8	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	95	5	1	3	0
Jasper Williams	78	5	2	0	0
Tyrone Lewis	74	1	1	0	3
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	44	9	8	3	0
Jordan Lawson	43	9	7	4	0
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3
Tyler Guidry	26	8	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keyon Martin	53	1	7
Caleb Anderson	23	1	5
Shadwell Nkuba II	13	0	5

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	156	294	53%	1838	14	9	6.3
Cole Kramer	8	17	47%	26	2	2	1.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	138	799	5	5.8	43
Jordan Nubin	127	559	3	4.4	21
Sean Tyler (Tr)	61	242	0	4.0	19
Zach Evans	52	230	1	4.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	59	831	8	14.1	39
Corey Crooms (Tr)	28	376	0	13.4	32
Brevyn Spann-Ford	25	239	2	9.6	31
Darius Taylor	11	92	0	8.4	25

View Minnesota's Full Roster

Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	52	4	0	0	1
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	0	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	0	3
Maverick Baranowski	48	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jah Joyner	18	8	8	2	0
Danny Striggow	42	6	6	2	0
Kyler Baugh	39	5	3	3	3
Jalen Logan-Redding	29	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Justin Walley	38	2	0	8
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	3