Bowling Green vs Minnesota Game Matchup

Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

Tuesday, December 26th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Minnesota -2.5 (45.0) (-180) Open: -6.0 | 37.5
Minnesota 30 - Bowling Green: 24 (Quick Lane Bowl)

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Minnesota -2 (SP+ MINN -5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 22 - MINN: 24 (46)
MINN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 543 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
BGSU Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.15	39%	27.1	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	21.6	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9
MINN	.24	48%	26.2	49%	3.3	207	48%	182	4.36	.12	37%	16.9	38%	36%	2.84	31.8	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15
MINN Defense	13	16.9	16.6	36.7%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	36%	13%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18
MINN Offense	13	26.2	29	47.8%	4.36	1	22	390	207	182	4.6	64%	35%	49%	48%	12%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1
Minnesota	13	34:28	21.5	52%	55%	3.5	31.8	1	1.6	3.3	1.5	1	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.99	76%	7%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1
MINN Offense	13	64%	49%	44.8	207.4	4.6	33	.22	3.3	85%	7%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2
MINN Defense	13	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.5	37%	25%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1
MINN Offense	13	35%	48%	13.2	21.6	182.2	8.4	13.8	12	9	.37	1.5	28%	40%	.45	5%	1.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52 Minnesota: -2.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9 Minnesota: -1.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -2.74 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 24
Bowling Green 22

Projected Total Points: 46

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/26	Minnesota	30	Bowling Green	24	Minnesota	Minnesota -2.5	Minnesota	45.0	Over
2021	09/25	Minnesota	10	Bowling Green	14	Bowling Green	Minnesota -30.5	Bowling Green	52.5	Under
2008	09/06	Bowling Green	17	Minnesota	42	Minnesota
2007	09/01	Minnesota	31	Bowling Green	32	Bowling Green

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	2	1	1 Overs
Bowling Green	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

Bowling Green Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Lane Bowl	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30
2022	Lane Bowl	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24

Minnesota Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24
2022	Pinstripe Bowl	Minnesota vs Syracuse	-10.5	45.0	W 28 - 20
2021	Rate Bowl	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6
2019	Outback Bowl	Minnesota vs Auburn	+7.0	54.0	W 31 - 24
2018	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 34 - 10

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Team Profile

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Bowling Green has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 3)
Bowling Green has played in 11 Bowls since 2000 (3 - 8)

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Minnesota

Power #85

#88

Off #91

#108

Def #36

#99

Talent #82

#30

SP+ #84

#69

SP+ Off #86

#105

SP+ Def #66

#37

Rematch from Week 1
Minnesota -2.5 (45.0)
Minnesota won vs Bowling Green this year (30-24)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Bowling Green in 2023 (30-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | MINN
Depth Chart: BGSU | MINN
Rosters: BGSU | MINN

(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.74 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Minnesota has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (6 - 0)
Minnesota has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (11 - 8)

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Harold Fannin	1	2	50%	9	0	0	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Taron Keith	78	419	8	5.4	42
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Harold Fannin	9	65	1	7.2	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36
Taron Keith	13	157	0	12.1	64
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim	14	121	0	8.6	20

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Canaan Williams	46	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0
Cashius Howell	40	9	4	8	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	40	9	4	8	7
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	0	7
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Athan Kaliakmanis	92	251	3	2.7	20
Zach Evans	9	58	0	6.4	40
Marquese Williams	6	13	0	2.2	7
Daniel Jackson	3	13	0	4.3	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	75	863	4	11.5	39
Elijah Spencer (Tr)	52	685	6	13.2	29
Nick Kallerup	9	117	0	13.0	44
Frank Bierman	1	13	0	13.0	13

View Minnesota's Full Roster

Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jack Henderson (Tr)	44	9	6	1	1
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	44	9	6	1	1
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6