Eastern Michigan at Minnesota - 2023 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -19.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Minnesota 25 - Eastern Michigan: 6

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Minnesota -8.5 (SP+ MINN -8)
Projected Score: EMU: 19 - MINN: 27 (46)
MINN Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
EMU Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (21 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	19.5	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	26.7	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4
MINN	#118 (.09)	41% (87)	20.9	44% (53)	3.15 (61)	158	36% (116)	143	3.85 (73)	#93 (.22)	43% (75)	26.7	45% (90)	41% (63)	4.67 (129)	27.1	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)		44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)		36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	13	19.5	14.8	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07
MINN Defense	13	26.7	22.7	42.6%	4.67	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	45%	41%	11%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	13	26.7	25.3	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19
MINN Offense	13	20.9	21.4	40.5%	3.85	1.3	18	301	158	143	4.1	59%	40%	44%	36%	13%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1
Minnesota	13	31:49	18.2	35%	82%	3	27.1	1.3	1.5	3.2	1.6	0	29

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)
MINN Defense	13	47% (34)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.2 (102)	3.15 (79)	80% (109)	7% (132)	0.99 (63)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)
MINN Offense	13	59% (12)	44% (53)	38.8	157.5	4.1	13 (108)	.11 (92)	3.15 (61)	75% (52)	7% (13)	0.83 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)
MINN Defense	13	51% (94)	41% (63)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (83)	1.6 (73)	30% (106)	30% (71)	.42 (112)	5% (116)	2.2 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)
MINN Offense	13	40% (121)	36% (116)	12.6	24	143.4	6	11.4	16 (92)	11 (68)	.1 (123)	1.6 (53)	29% (26)	27% (99)	.16 (117)	6% (52)	1.9 (106)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.52 Minnesota: -0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.6 Minnesota: -1.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 27
Eastern Michigan 19

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Eastern Michigan 22
Minnesota 21

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 24
Eastern Michigan 21

Total Points: 45

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Minnesota	25	Eastern Michigan	6	Minnesota -19.5	Eastern Michigan	48.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	1	0	0 Overs
Eastern Michigan	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#105) EMU at (#88) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#88
SP+SP+	#103	#69
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#70
OffenseOff	#117	#61
DefenseDef	#48	#91
Spec TeamsST	#23	#96
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#43

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#91
SuccessSuc	#127	#75
ExplosiveExp	#127	#75
PPAPPA	#123	#93
PowerPwr	#110	#99
SP+SP+	#130	#37
Pts POPPO	#74	#129
HavocHav	#112	#131

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#120	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#90
Run ExplRExp	#104	#63
PPAExp	#109	#102
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#79
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#91
TackleTak	-	#113

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#63
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#73
PPAExp	#122	#83
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#31
F7 HavocF7	#97	#132
DB HavocDB	#115	#116

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#48
SuccessSuc	#87	#74
ExplosiveExp	#128	#48
PPAPPA	#118	#73
PowerPwr	#108	#53
SP+SP+	#105	#53
Pts POPPO	#73	#58
HavocHav	#14	#99

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#44	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#106
Run ExplRExp	#127	#33
PPAExp	#92	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	#61	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#40	#116
TackleTak	-	#55

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#116	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#108
PPAExp	#123	#62
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#61
F7 HavocF7	#13	#102
DB HavocDB	#52	#76

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.008

Rematch from Week 2
Minnesota -19.5 (48.0)
Minnesota won vs Eastern Michigan this year (25-6)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (25-6)

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Smith	171	298	57%	1775	9	7	6.0
Ike Udengwu III	13	31	42%	100	0	2	3.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samson Evans	142	635	12	4.5	61
Jaylon Jackson	136	576	2	4.2	55
Austin Smith	101	134	2	1.3	41
Cam'Ron McCoy	15	63	1	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Knue	50	479	3	9.6	39
J.B. Mitchell	35	398	1	11.4	50
Hamze Elzayat	27	360	2	13.3	50
Jaylon Jackson	24	234	2	9.8	68

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Chase Kline	124	4	2	9	3
Quentavius Scandrett	58	0	0	0	1
Kempton Shine	57	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikah Coleman	39	7	4	8	1
Peyton Price	48	5	4	7	0
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Justin Jefferson	48	7	3	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daiquan White	19	1	12
Kempton Shine	57	3	8
Bennett Walker	25	0	4

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	156	294	53%	1838	14	9	6.3
Cole Kramer	8	17	47%	26	2	2	1.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	138	799	5	5.8	43
Jordan Nubin	127	559	3	4.4	21
Sean Tyler (Tr)	61	242	0	4.0	19
Zach Evans	52	230	1	4.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	59	831	8	14.1	39
Corey Crooms (Tr)	28	376	0	13.4	32
Brevyn Spann-Ford	25	239	2	9.6	31
Darius Taylor	11	92	0	8.4	25

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Nick Monroe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	52	4	0	0	1
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	0	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	0	3
Maverick Baranowski	48	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jah Joyner	18	8	8	2	0
Danny Striggow	42	6	6	2	0
Kyler Baugh	39	5	3	3	3
Jalen Logan-Redding	29	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Justin Walley	38	2	0	8
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	3