Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
58.6%
NC State wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
NC State -42.5
O/U 61.5
Bovada
Campbell 2025 Schedule
Campbell's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/6 | Campbell at East Carolina | +30.0L3–56 | 56.0 | L3–56 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Campbell at NC State | +42.5L10–56 | 61.5 | L10–56 | O | N |
NC State 2025 Schedule
NC State's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5W24–17 | 58.5 | W24–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0W35–31 | 53.0 | W35–31 | O | Y |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5W34–24 | 52.5 | W34–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0L33–45 | 57.5 | L33–45 | O | N |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0L21–23 | 57.5 | L21–23 | U | N |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5W56–10 | 61.5 | W56–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5L7–36 | 59.5 | L7–36 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5L34–53 | 52.5 | L34–53 | O | N |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5W48–36 | 58.5 | W48–36 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +16.5L7–41 | 54.5 | L7–41 | U | N |
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +7.0W21–11 | 58.5 | W21–11 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -7.0W42–19 | 48.5 | W42–19 | O | Y |
| Fri 12/19 | NC State vs Memphis | -6.0W31–7 | 56.5 | W31–7 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Campbell Edge
Campbell +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
NC State Edge
NC State +9.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.6% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓