NC State at Arizona State - 2017 Matchup Preview

NC State Wolfpack vs Arizona State Sun Devils

Friday, December 29th 2017 (3:25 PM EST)
NC State -5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 52 - Arizona State: 31

Wolfpack (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (23 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -6 (SP+ NCST -12)
Projected Score: NCST: 34 - ASU: 26 (60)
NCST Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
NCST Travel: 1614 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Sun Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 33 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
NCST Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	NC State vs South Carolina	+7.5	50.0	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/9	NC State vs Marshall	-21.0	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/16	NC State vs Furman	-37.0
Sat 9/23	NC State at Florida State	+11.5	50.0	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/30	NC State vs Syracuse	-14.0	62.0	W 33 - 25	U	N
Thu 10/5	NC State vs Louisville	+3.5	67.0	W 39 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/14	NC State at Pittsburgh	-11.0	55.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	NC State at Notre Dame	+7.0	61.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/11	NC State at Boston College	-3.0	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	NC State at Wake Forest	+3.0	62.0	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/25	NC State vs North Carolina	-14.5	57.0	W 33 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/29	NC State vs Arizona State	-5.0	62.5	W 52 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Arizona State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs New Mexico State	-24.0	69.0	W 37 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs San Diego State	-3.0	54.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+7.0	74.0	L 45 - 52	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs Oregon	+14.5	76.5	W 37 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at Stanford	+17.0	60.5	L 24 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Arizona State vs Washington	+18.0	60.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Utah	+10.0	54.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs USC	+4.5	58.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/4	Arizona State vs Colorado	-6.5	58.5	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+3.0	66.0	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona State at Oregon State	-7.5	59.0	W 40 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+2.0	76.0	W 42 - 30	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Arizona State vs NC State	+5.0	62.5	L 31 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.22	45%	32.2	43%	2.78	177	46%	275	3.63	.13	41%	25.2	41%	40%	3.54	54.8	1	1.6
ASU	.2	44%	31.8	43%	2.93	175	42%	256	4.13	.21	45%	32.8	47%	41%	3.94	37.5	1.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	32.2	23.4	44.9%	3.63	1	23	452	177	275	4.6	48%	51%	43%	46%	15%	.22
ASU Defense	13	32.8	30.1	45%	3.94	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	47%	41%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	25.2	23.4	41.2%	3.54	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	41%	40%	18%	.13
ASU Offense	13	31.8	29.6	43.6%	4.13	1.2	22	431	175	256	4	52%	46%	43%	42%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	32:45	23.2	45%	56%	6	54.8	1	1.6	6.5	2.3	4	33.7
Arizona State	13	31:24	21.7	44%	56%	3.8	37.5	1.2	1.3	6.2	2.8	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	48%	43%	38.2	176.7	4.6	35	.11	2.78	76%	10%	1.05
ASU Defense	13	46%	47%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.93	77%	10%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.59	70%	10%	0.95
ASU Offense	13	52%	43%	43.5	175.1	4	27	.14	2.93	78%	9%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	51%	46%	24.2	37.2	275.1	7.4	11.4	17	6	.34	1.5	32%	38%	.44	6%	2
ASU Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.22	1.5	32%	33%	.36	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.18	1.6	34%	32%	.22	7%	1.8
ASU Offense	13	46%	42%	20.3	32	255.7	8	12.6	21	9	.28	1.7	31%	35%	.35	5%	1.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2017 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9 #24
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #15
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: Arizona State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 12.9 Arizona State: 1.0

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #68
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #35
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #98

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.4

NC State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 34
Arizona State 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 39
Arizona State 25

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
NC State 30
Arizona State 28

Total Points: 58

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Arizona State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	12/29	Arizona State	31	NC State	52	NC State -5	NC State	62.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	0	0	1 Overs
NC State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

NC State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	N/A	NC State vs Arizona State	-5.0	62.5	W 52 - 31
2016	Independence Bowl	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17
2015	N/A	NC State vs Mississippi State	+7.0		L 28 - 51
2014	Petersburg Bowl	NC State vs UCF	+2.0	47.5	W 34 - 27
2012	City Bowl	NC State vs Vanderbilt			L 24 - 38
2011	Belk Bowl	NC State vs Louisville			W 31 - 24

Arizona State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	N/A	Arizona State vs NC State	+5.0	62.5	L 31 - 52
2015	Cactus Bowl	Arizona State vs West Virginia	-1.5		L 42 - 43
2014	Sun Bowl	Arizona State vs Duke	-7.5	65.0	W 36 - 31
2013	Holiday Bowl	Arizona State vs Texas Tech	-17.0	72.0	L 23 - 37
2012	Hunger Bowl	Arizona State vs Navy			W 62 - 28
2011	Maaco Bowl	Arizona State vs Boise State			L 24 - 56

(#) NCST at (#) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#68
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#44	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
NC State 5.0 (62.5)
NC State won at Arizona State this year (52-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ASU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD