Virginia Tech at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Tulane Green Wave(#20)

Wednesday, December 27th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -13.5 (43.5) (-285) Open: -6.0 | 47.0
Virginia Tech 41 - Tulane: 20 (Military Bowl Presented by GoBowling.com)

Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Virginia Tech -0 (SP+ VT -0.5)
Projected Score: VT: 24 - TULN: 24 (49)
VT Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
VT Travel: 750 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
VT Players
TULN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-16.0	48.0	W 36 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Virginia Tech vs Purdue	-1.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia Tech at Rutgers	+6.5	37.5	L 16 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Virginia Tech at Marshall	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	40.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	52.5	L 17 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-1.5	48.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-2.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/11	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-2.5	48.5	W 48 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia Tech vs NC State	-2.5	40.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/25	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-2.5	52.5	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#59 (.21)	43% (55)	29.5	47% (32)	3.2 (51)	190	39% (91)	201	4.32 (30)	#49 (.16)	38% (23)	23.9	39% (36)	36% (13)	4.49 (124)	57.8	1.2	1.2
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	26.4	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	20.5	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)		44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)		42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)		45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)		38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	13	29.5	26	43.1%	4.32	1.2	20	391	190	201	5	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.21
TULN Defense	14	20.5	22	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	13	23.9	28.5	37.6%	4.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	36%	17%	.16
TULN Offense	14	26.4	28.8	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	13	31:09	19.8	35%	65%	6.3	57.8	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.9	2	30.7
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	47% (32)	38.4	189.9	5	20 (61)	.16 (63)	3.2 (51)	79% (24)	10% (74)	0.98 (77)
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	13	53% (110)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.15 (75)	2.89 (32)	70% (51)	12% (17)	1.1 (111)
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	13	45% (99)	39% (91)	15.7	27.4	201.5	7.4	12.8	23 (51)	5 (6)	.28 (70)	1.7 (27)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.25 (92)	5% (18)	1.9 (113)
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	13	46% (26)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.19 (24)	1.6 (81)	34% (37)	24% (8)	.19 (14)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 1.51 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 1.51 Tulane: 2.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 4.7 Tulane: 4.1

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 2.975 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 24
Tulane 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulane 33
Virginia Tech 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 27
Virginia Tech 25

Total Points: 52

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/27	Tulane	20	Virginia Tech	41	Virginia Tech -13.5	Virginia Tech	43.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulane	0	0	1 Overs
Virginia Tech	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Virginia Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Military Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20
2021	Pinstripe Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54
2019	N/A	Virginia Tech vs Kentucky	-2.0	47.0	L 30 - 37
2018	N/A	Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati	+5.5	48.5	L 31 - 35
2017	World Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Oklahoma State	+6.0	60.0	L 21 - 30

Tulane Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Military Bowl	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41
2022	Cotton Bowl	Tulane vs USC	+1.5	67.0	W 46 - 45
2020	Potato Bowl	Tulane vs Nevada	-1.5	56.5	L 27 - 38
2019	Forces Bowl	Tulane vs Southern Miss	-7.5	58.0	W 30 - 13
2018	Cure Bowl	Tulane vs Louisiana	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 24

(#54) VT at (#52) TULN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	TULN
Power RatePwr	#54	#52
SP+SP+	#46	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#74	#33
OffenseOff	#92	#47
DefenseDef	#76	#27
Spec TeamsST	#45	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#57	#75

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Tulane Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	TULN Def
Perf GradePerf	#92	#27
SuccessSuc	#55	#55
ExplosiveExp	#74	#43
PPAPPA	#59	#56
PowerPwr	#58	#29
SP+SP+	#65	#40
Pts POPPO	#30	#61
HavocHav	#55	#29

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#49	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#42
Run ExplRExp	#77	#75
PPAExp	#63	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#85	#67
TackleTak	-	#112

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#13
PPAExp	#70	#54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#37
F7 HavocF7	#74	#46
DB HavocDB	#18	#24

Tulane on Offense


CategoryCat	TULN Off	VT Def
Perf GradePerf	#47	#76
SuccessSuc	#61	#23
ExplosiveExp	#112	#92
PPAPPA	#70	#49
PowerPwr	#86	#61
SP+SP+	#63	#44
Pts POPPO	#91	#124
HavocHav	#32	#47

Tulane Run Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#78	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#36
Run ExplRExp	#121	#111
PPAExp	#104	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#34
TackleTak	-	#94

Tulane Pass Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#81
PPAExp	#40	#24
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#9
F7 HavocF7	#36	#17
DB HavocDB	#57	#108

Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 55° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.031

Rematch from Week 1
Virginia Tech 13.5 (43.5)
Virginia Tech won at Tulane this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Tulane in 2023 (41-20)

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	285	58%	2084	17	3	7.3
Grant Wells	37	68	54%	519	5	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)	173	863	10	5.0	49
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	818	5	4.9	59
Malachi Thomas	83	381	2	4.6	35
Grant Wells	17	75	1	4.4	60

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)	38	667	8	17.6	84
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	41	538	6	13.1	75
Dae'Quan Wright	28	366	0	13.1	39
Stephen Gosnell	22	347	3	15.8	44

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Alan Tisdale	71	4	2	2	2
Jalen Stroman	55	2	0	1	2
Mansoor Delane	52	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	38	14	10	6	0
Cole Nelson	27	8	5	1	0
Pheldarius Payne	28	9	4	5	1
Norell Pollard	23	8	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Strong	24	1	0	0	8
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	34	2	0	0	5

TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Pratt	185	283	65%	2406	22	5	8.5
Kai Horton	44	82	54%	604	3	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	258	1378	7	5.3	58
Michael Pratt	98	286	5	2.9	26
Ashaad Clayton	41	150	0	3.7	17
Arnold Barnes	23	138	0	6.0	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	44	711	5	16.2	47
Lawrence Keys III	33	599	7	18.2	57
Jha'Quan Jackson	26	439	4	16.9	48
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	33	391	2	11.8	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jesus Machado	98	3	0	1	1
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	85	8	3	1	1
Bailey Despanie	67	6	0	0	2
Jared Small	60	6	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Hodges	25	10	8	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	35	12	6	2	0
Keith Cooper Jr.	32	9	5	3	2
Kameron Hamilton	25	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kam Pedescleaux	56	4	0	2	12
Jarius Monroe	48	4	1	1	10
Lance Robinson	43	0	0	0	7