Northwestern at Tulane - 2025 Matchup Preview
Northwestern logo Northwestern Wildcats at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -6.5 (47.5) (-245)  Open: -6.5 | 47.5
Tulane 23 - Northwestern: 3

 
Wildcats (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (3 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: Tulane -7.5   (SP+ TULN -12)
Projected Score: NW: 18 - TULN: 26 (44)
TULN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NW Travel: 848 miles
Green Wave (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (29 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-8.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-22.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-6.5
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+28.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+20.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+23.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-13.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-1.5
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+13.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-15.5
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-3.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#124 (.03)44% (69)19.747% (53)2.79 (88)17844% (70)1800.3 (135)#53 (.08)38% (55)21.347% (103)28% (15)2 (15)33.32.70.7
TULN#71 (.2)44% (63)3043% (80)3.03 (64)22245% (58)1964.2 (57)#61 (.11)43% (96)20.347% (109)41% (71)3.21 (59)80.70.72.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense319.7343.7%0.32.7193591781805.143%54%47%44%19%.03
TULN Defense320.31543.2%3.212.7 - - - - - 44%55%47%41%15%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense321.32337.5%20.7 - - - - - 52%47%47%28%15%.08
TULN Offense33028.544%4.20.7234182221965.358%42%43%45%12%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern331:3719.341%43%4.733.32.70.73.31026.5
Tulane333:4222.744%75%880.70.72.73.71.3035.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense343% (109)47% (53)35178.35.14 (79).06 (92)2.79 (88)71% (67)10% (88)0.87 (93)
TULN Defense344% (33)47% (109) - - - - .1 (82)3.19 (110)69% (66)7% (106)0.87 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense352% (89)47% (103) - - - - .28 (123)3.6 (133)75% (80)5% (131)1.1 (99)
TULN Offense358% (25)43% (80)41.72225.38 (26).15 (66)3.03 (64)64% (99)8% (63)1.09 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense354% (41)44% (70)1729180.36.210.63 (90)6 (132).14 (104)1.2 (120)25% (26)20% (124).12 (113)9% (131)1.6 (116)
TULN Defense355% (105)41% (71) - - - - - - 5 (6).17 (55)1.5 (52)27% (124)27% (52).28 (74)8% (24)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense347% (46)28% (15) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.03 (18)1.4 (42)33% (66)32% (91).33 (85)11% (6)1.9 (61)
TULN Offense342% (110)45% (58)1728195.7711.52 (102)0 (1).27 (74)1.3 (114)33% (99)36% (38).31 (75)3% (33)1.5 (118)

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 3.76 #69
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Northwestern's Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 3.76   Tulane: 6.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -4.3   Tulane: 7.6




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.99 #77
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Tulane's Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 26
Northwestern 18


Total Points: 44

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Tulane23Northwestern3TulaneTulane -6.5Tulane47.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane110 Overs
Northwestern001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#69) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: 3.76 #69
Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 0.3 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Northwestern Notes
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense is really good in red zone (#15)
Northwestern has a good pass defense (#15)
Northwestern Secondary is very good (#6)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Northwestern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern does not Sack the QB (#112)
Northwestern Does Not Stuff Runs (#130)
Northwestern has a bad defensive line (#133)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTULNNW
OverallOver#64#72
OffenseOff#78#45
DefenseDef#57#97
Special TeamsST#74#98
PassingPass#44#111
RushingRush#54#29
Run BlockRBLK#100#2
Pass BlockPBLK#81#62
Route RunningWR Rt#79#84
TacklingTkl#74#115
Run DefenseR Def#96#101
Pass Rush DefPRush#31#56
Coverage DefCov#15#82

Rematch from Week 1
Tulane -6.5 (47.5)
Tulane won vs Northwestern this year (23-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NW | TULN
Depth Chart: NW | TULN
Rosters: NW | TULN
(#77) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 6.99 #77
Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulane Notes
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
(7/27) DL may dominate the AAC. DT loaded w/ depth
(7/21) QBs Sullivan (IA), Retzlaff (BYU) post spring adds
(7/21) QB battle Sullivan, Semonza, Retzlaff in fall
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.

Tulane Highlights
Tulane in Undefeated
Tulane is Undefeated at Home
Tulane is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane has a great TO Margin (#28)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Tulane Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#109)
Tulane Does Not Stuff Runs (#129)
Tulane has a bad defensive line (#110)


  
Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)518659%541366.3
Frank Covey IV010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe3615014.224
Joseph Himon II2813704.916
Cam Porter1813717.643
Dashun Reeder492123.079
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)15213014.246
Ricky Ahumaraeze473018.321
Joseph Himon II75908.414
Hunter Welcing555111.028

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Mac Uihlein212000
Braydon Brus120002
Garner Wallace90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmine Bastone92201
Aidan Hubbard92120
Michael Kilbane72110
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell40004
Fred Davis II (Tr)60003
Braydon Brus120002

Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff467859%522206.7
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)55100%650013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff4028867.269
Javin Gordon2712204.522
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)2110725.128
Maurice Turner (Tr)148606.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)13143011.026
Shazz Preston5113022.663
Bryce Bohanon890011.320
Justyn Reid (Tr)452113.033

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dickson Agu262001
Jack Tchienchou222101
Bailey Despanie151000
Chris Rodgers141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Santana Hopper (Tr)72100
Kameron Hamilton21110
Jack Tchienchou222101
Gerrod Henderson81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson70004
E'zaiah Shine110002
Dickson Agu262001