Tulane at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Thursday, October 30th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -5.5 (54.5) (-225)  Open: -5.5 | 55.5
UTSA 48 - Tulane: 26  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Game in Dome
TULN coming off BYE
UTSA coming off BYE
Our Line: Tulane -3  (SP+ TULN -5)

Projected Score: TULN: 30 - UTSA: 27 (57)
TULN Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
TULN Travel: 503 miles
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+12.561.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-14.552.5W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-7.053.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-10.044.5W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-5.554.5L 26 - 48ON
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+3.053.5W 38 - 32OY
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-16.560.5W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-7.554.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-31.552.5W 27 - 0UN
Fri 12/5 Tulane vs North Texas+1.566.5W 34 - 21UY
Sat 12/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17.557.5L 10 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.066.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-16.557.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+2.062.5W 58 - 24OY
Sat 11/29 UTSA vs Army-8.550.5L 24 - 27ON
Fri 12/26 UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#35 (.22)46% (34)27.744% (60)3.18 (27)16648% (16)2453.88 (54)#63 (.15)45% (113)23.944% (90)46% (121)3.69 (72)63.91.21.8
UTSA#33 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (49)2.81 (97)16047% (23)2254.23 (29)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.09 (108)58.50.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1427.726.445.5%3.881.2224121662454.553%45%44%48%13%.22
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.091.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1423.93245.1%3.691.8 - - - - - 46%52%44%46%17%.15
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.4%4.230.9203841602255.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1430:5121.942%52%6.963.91.21.85.62.6134.5
UTSA1329:2819.840%42%6.558.50.91.25.31.6231.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1453% (39)44% (60)36.7166.44.526 (49).11 (68)3.18 (27)78% (30)7% (15)0.89 (101)
UTSA Defense1350% (66)40% (44) - - - - .12 (83)2.86 (62)64% (21)11% (24)0.97 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1446% (18)44% (90) - - - - .09 (64)2.97 (86)71% (65)10% (47)0.9 (36)
UTSA Offense1346% (102)45% (49)31.1159.85.117 (49).19 (36)2.81 (97)73% (63)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1445% (96)48% (16)18.730.4245.18.113.118 (106)9 (7).38 (27)1.5 (75)29% (33)34% (25).39 (37)5% (48)1.9 (95)
UTSA Defense1349% (78)40% (49) - - - - - - 9 (75).29 (87)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (49).3 (70)7% (20)2.2 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1452% (113)46% (121) - - - - - - 15 (38).26 (75)1.4 (13)28% (124)33% (106).32 (83)6% (49)1.9 (36)
UTSA Offense1352% (38)47% (23)21.532224.5710.431 (33)7 (34).33 (42)1.5 (95)30% (46)36% (20).45 (20)6% (59)2.2 (12)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 3.37  #58
Tulane's Offense Rating: 13.46  #48
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.09  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.1 - 2.9
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #44
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.37   UTSA: 2.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.8   UTSA: 1.6




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.165  #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 30
UTSA 27


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 36
Tulane 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 34
Tulane 27

Total Points: 61
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/30UTSA48Tulane26Tulane -5.5UTSA54.5Over
202311/24Tulane29UTSA16Tulane -2.5Tulane51.5Under
201311/09UTSA10Tulane7UT San Antonio -7.5Tulane0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA211 Overs
Tulane121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#58) TULN at (#78) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNUTSA
Power RatePwr #58 #78
SP+SP+ #44 #65
Perf GradeGrade #44 #105
OffenseOff #41 #70
DefenseDef #75 #120
Spec TeamsST #34 #121
TalentTal #73 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #46
Tulane Notes
(12/9) Hired HC Will Hall? Fired from So Miss, was PGC?
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
Tulane Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report
Tulane on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerf #41 #120
SuccessSuc #34 #46
ExplosiveExp #105 #126
PPAPPA #35 #82
PowerPwr #48 #110
SP+SP+ #35 #95
Pts POPPO #54 #108
HavocHav #21 #18
Tulane Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #80 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #60 #44
Run ExplRExp #101 #72
PPAExp #68 #83
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #62
Stuff RateStuff #41 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Tulane Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #13 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #49
Pass ExplPExl #75 #131
PPAExp #27 #87
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #75
F7 HavocF7 #15 #24
DB HavocDB #48 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffTULN Def
Perf GradePerf #70 #75
SuccessSuc #35 #113
ExplosiveExp #24 #19
PPAPPA #33 #63
PowerPwr #49 #79
SP+SP+ #39 #67
Pts POPPO #29 #72
HavocHav #79 #50
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #51 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #90
Run ExplRExp #6 #36
PPAExp #36 #64
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #97 #86
Stuff RateStuff #107 #92
TackleTak -  #71
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #54 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #121
Pass ExplPExl #95 #13
PPAExp #42 #75
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112 #26
F7 HavocF7 #102 #47
DB HavocDB #59 #49
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 10
Tulane 5.5 (54.5)
UTSA won vs Tulane this year (48-26)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat UTSA in 2023 (29-16)

  
TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff24239162%31681578.1
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)193063%222227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff129634164.969
Jamauri McClure8354026.530
Javin Gordon12851654.025
Arnold Barnes5121704.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shazz Preston43723416.869
Anthony Brown41523212.854
Omari Hayes (Tr)39515113.242
Bryce Bohanon31417213.542

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Tchienchou802103
Chris Rodgers807321
Bailey Despanie512005
Sam Howard509420
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Jordan Norman (Tr)278620
Santana Hopper (Tr)259540
Kameron Hamilton305453
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
E'zaiah Shine352007
Javion White444006

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry151104596.976
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)4917733.614
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin65726811.252
AJ Wilson (Tr)30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Houston Thomas34347210.232

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks938222
Jimmy Wyrick621008
Tyan Milton513013
Kendrick Blackshire441101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu217541
Kenny Ozowalu166331
Chidera Otutu283300
Jonathan Jones158324
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick621008
KK Meier (Tr)250005
Jakevian Rodgers232004