Tulane at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Thursday, October 30th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (33 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
TULN coming off BYE
UTSA coming off BYE
Our Line: Tulane -1.5   (SP+ TULN -6.5)

Projected Score: TULN: 33 - UTSA: 32 (65)
TULN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TULN Travel: 503 miles
Roadrunners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (42 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-13.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-1.5
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+13.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-15.5
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-3.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.559.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple+0.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+7
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+1.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+6
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-14.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-1
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#71 (.2)44% (63)3043% (80)3.03 (64)22245% (58)1964.2 (57)#61 (.11)43% (96)20.347% (109)41% (71)3.21 (59)80.70.72.7
UTSA#34 (.32)43% (74)3644% (72)3.17 (48)22842% (81)2094.8 (37)#118 (.28)41% (77)3537% (54)45% (101)6 (135)51.301.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense3303344%4.20.7234182221965.358%42%43%45%12%.2
UTSA Defense33531.540.7%61.7 - - - - - 49%51%37%45%17%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense320.33143.2%3.212.7 - - - - - 44%55%47%41%15%.11
UTSA Offense3364242.9%4.80214372282096.844%56%44%42%17%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane333:4222.744%75%880.70.72.73.71.3035.7
UTSA332:4521.336%38%5.351.301.75.71.7029
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense358% (25)43% (80)41.72225.38 (26).15 (66)3.03 (64)64% (99)8% (63)1.09 (43)
UTSA Defense349% (59)37% (54) - - - - .07 (68)2.17 (19)50% (19)10% (74)1.05 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense344% (33)47% (109) - - - - .1 (82)3.19 (110)69% (66)7% (106)0.87 (53)
UTSA Offense344% (100)44% (72)33.7228.36.87 (38).38 (15)3.17 (48)75% (52)12% (117)1.61 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense342% (110)45% (58)1728195.7711.52 (102)0 (1).27 (74)1.3 (114)33% (99)36% (38).31 (75)3% (33)1.5 (118)
UTSA Defense351% (80)45% (101) - - - - - - 3 (28).49 (119)2 (132)36% (38)33% (94).53 (115)7% (41)2.3 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense355% (105)41% (71) - - - - - - 5 (6).17 (55)1.5 (52)27% (124)27% (52).28 (74)8% (24)2.1 (85)
UTSA Offense356% (32)42% (81)24.337.32095.68.67 (23)0 (1).28 (71)1.5 (87)35% (114)39% (28).69 (19)5% (57)2.4 (18)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.38 #77
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Tulane's Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.38   UTSA: 2.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 7.6   UTSA: 1.2




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.855 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 33
UTSA 32


Total Points: 65

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/24Tulane29UTSA16TulaneTulane -2.5Tulane51.5Under
201311/09UTSA10Tulane7UTSAUT San Antonio -7.5Tulane0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA100 Overs
Tulane121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#77) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 1.38 #77
Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has lost 4 straight
Tulane has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
(7/27) DL may dominate the AAC. DT loaded w/ depth
(7/21) QBs Sullivan (IA), Retzlaff (BYU) post spring adds
(7/21) QB battle Sullivan, Semonza, Retzlaff in fall
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.

Tulane Highlights
Tulane in Undefeated

Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane has a great TO Margin (#28)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Tulane Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#109)
Tulane Does Not Stuff Runs (#129)
Tulane has a bad defensive line (#110)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTSATULN
OverallOver#88#64
OffenseOff#77#78
DefenseDef#101#57
Special TeamsST#111#74
PassingPass#42#44
RushingRush#33#54
Run BlockRBLK#106#100
Pass BlockPBLK#88#81
Route RunningWR Rt#70#79
TacklingTkl#104#74
Run DefenseR Def#94#96
Pass Rush DefPRush#97#31
Coverage DefCov#94#15

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat UTSA in 2023 (29-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | UTSA
Depth Chart: TULN | UTSA
Rosters: TULN | UTSA
(#80) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 2.855 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UTSA has lost 4 straight
UTSA has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff467859%522206.7
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)55100%650013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff4028867.269
Javin Gordon2712204.522
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)2110725.128
Maurice Turner (Tr)148606.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)13143011.026
Shazz Preston5113022.663
Bryce Bohanon890011.320
Justyn Reid (Tr)452113.033

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dickson Agu262001
Jack Tchienchou222101
Bailey Despanie151000
Chris Rodgers141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Santana Hopper (Tr)72100
Kameron Hamilton21110
Jack Tchienchou222101
Gerrod Henderson81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson70004
E'zaiah Shine110002
Dickson Agu262001

UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown7111065%578605.3
Brandon Tennison22100%491024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry47480610.275
Will Henderson III239404.123
Owen McCown115705.222
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)133612.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin1816729.342
AJ Wilson (Tr)6151225.277
Houston Thomas98409.321
David Amador570014.022

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks212000
Jimmy Wyrick150000
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Brandon Tucker Jr.100010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Ozowalu54211
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Daemian Wimberly53100
Jonathan Jones43111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers70002
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Johnny Bowens III00011