East Carolina at Tulane - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Thursday, October 9th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -7 (53.5) (-270)  Open: -7.0
Tulane 26 - East Carolina: 19  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
ECU coming off BYE
TULN coming off BYE
Our Line: Tulane -3  (SP+ ECU -1.5)

Projected Score: ECU: 24 - TULN: 27 (52)
TULN Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 837 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Green Wave (11 - 3) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+6.549.5L 13 - 34UN
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-3.552.5W 28 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+7.053.5L 19 - 26UY
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-16.554.5W 41 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-5.558.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-29.556.5W 48 - 22ON
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-3.056.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA-2.062.5L 24 - 58ON
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-6.566.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 12/27 East Carolina vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5W 23 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+12.561.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-14.552.5W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-7.053.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-10.044.5W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-5.554.5L 26 - 48ON
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+3.053.5W 38 - 32OY
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-16.560.5W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-7.554.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-31.552.5W 27 - 0UN
Fri 12/5 Tulane vs North Texas+1.566.5W 34 - 21UY
Sat 12/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17.557.5L 10 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)32.744% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)20.137% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)27.745% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)23.938% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.843.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22
TULN Defense1423.915.938.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.839.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
TULN Offense1427.72945.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -1.04  #69
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 14.81  #58
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 15.85  #86
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.04   Tulane: 6.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.0   Tulane: 6.3




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.415  #61
Tulane's Offense Rating: 16.29  #51
Tulane's Defense Rating: 14.76  #74
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.1 - 2.9
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #45
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 27
East Carolina 24


Projected Total Points: 52
Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/09Tulane26East Carolina19Tulane -7Push53.5Under
202311/04East Carolina10Tulane13Tulane -17East Carolina46.0Under
202210/08Tulane24East Carolina9Tulane -2.5Tulane56.0Under
202110/02East Carolina52Tulane29Tulane -3East Carolina65.0Over
202011/07East Carolina21Tulane38Tulane -3.5Tulane63.5Under
201811/10Tulane24East Carolina18Tulane -10.5East Carolina53.0Under
201711/11East Carolina24Tulane31Tulane -6.5Tulane64.0Under
201411/22East Carolina34Tulane6East Carolina -17.5East Carolina0
201310/12Tulane36East Carolina33East Carolina -9Tulane0
201211/17Tulane23East Carolina28
201110/29East Carolina34Tulane13
200809/13Tulane24East Carolina28
200711/24East Carolina35Tulane12
200410/09East Carolina27Tulane25
200311/22Tulane28East Carolina18
200209/14East Carolina24Tulane20
200109/08Tulane24East Carolina51
200009/15East Carolina37Tulane17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane841 Overs
East Carolina1046 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 65 - 32 - 13 - 2
Road Teams6 - 123 - 52 - 31 - 2

(#69) ECU at (#61) TULN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUTULN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #69 #61
SP+SP+ #38 #45
Perf GradeGrade #69 #55
OffenseOff #67 #46
DefenseDef #66 #86
Spec TeamsST #69 #35
TalentTal #78 #73
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
East Carolina Notes
(12/17) Hired OC Jordan Davis (N Tex). Incredible hire
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Injury Report
Tulane Notes
(12/9) Hired HC Will Hall? Fired from So Miss, was PGC?
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
Tulane Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffTULN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #86
SuccessSuc #62 #29
ExplosiveExp #18 #60
PPAPPA #49 #14
PowerPwr #58 #74
SP+SP+ #33 #71
Pts POPPO #83 #42
HavocHav #50 #63
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #37 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #71 #14
Run ExplRExp #48 #99
PPAExp #47 #41
Run BlockR Blk #124 -
OL YdsOLY #57 #59
Stuff RateStuff #65 #57
TackleTak -  #82
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #18 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #45
Pass ExplPExl #24 #21
PPAExp #54 #9
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #101 #16
F7 HavocF7 #42 #47
DB HavocDB #92 #85
Tulane on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatTULN OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #46 #66
SuccessSuc #32 #40
ExplosiveExp #62 #100
PPAPPA #20 #64
PowerPwr #51 #86
SP+SP+ #35 #51
Pts POPPO #18 #76
HavocHav #5 #69
Tulane Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffECU Def
Run GameRun #85 #52
Run SuccessRSuc #61 #11
Run ExplRExp #80 #84
PPAExp #65 #22
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #47 #14
Stuff RateStuff #32 #11
TackleTak -  #127
Tulane Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatTULN OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #26 #57
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #86
Pass ExplPExl #12 #98
PPAExp #4 #105
Pass Block/RushP Blk #30 #90
F7 HavocF7 #14 #48
DB HavocDB #11 #104
Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85°
Rematch from Week 7
Tulane -7.0 (53.5)
Tulane won vs East Carolina this year (26-19)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat East Carolina last year (26-19)
Tulane beat East Carolina in 2023 (13-10)

  
ECU's OC John David Baker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser26940866%33001968.1
Chaston Ditta122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery15674274.851
Marlon Gunn11258265.250
TJ Engleman5930615.223
Parker Jenkins (Tr)7525623.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith641053716.572
Yannick Smith44583513.359
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Desirrio Riles28362212.942

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Samuel Dankah587213
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Wilson4210641
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)115411
Rion Roseborough (Tr)166310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
Jordy Lowery (Tr)272004

TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff24239162%31681578.1
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)193063%222227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff129634164.969
Jamauri McClure8354026.530
Javin Gordon12851654.025
Arnold Barnes5121704.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shazz Preston43723416.869
Anthony Brown41523212.854
Omari Hayes (Tr)39515113.242
Bryce Bohanon31417213.542

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Tchienchou802103
Chris Rodgers807321
Bailey Despanie522005
Sam Howard509420
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Jordan Norman (Tr)278620
Santana Hopper (Tr)259540
Kameron Hamilton305453
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
E'zaiah Shine352007
Javion White444006