East Carolina at Tulane Game Matchup
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Thursday, October 9th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Benson Field at Yulman Stadium - New Orleans, LA  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
ECU coming off BYE
TULN coming off BYE
Our Line: Tulane -13.5   (SP+ TULN -10)

Projected Score: ECU: 22 - TULN: 36 (57)
TULN Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ECU Travel: 837 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Green Wave (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 East Carolina at NC State+12.50.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-16
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-1.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+15.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+13.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-8.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-15.5
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+7
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+10.5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tulane vs Northwestern-7.00.0
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-4
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-0
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-18.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-13.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-9.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-0.5
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+1
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-19.5
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-19.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense13322943.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22
TULN Defense1420.615.738.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1327.334.739.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
TULN Offense1435.137.345.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.24 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -8.24   Tulane: 6.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -6.6   Tulane: 3.3




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.045 #57
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.72 #64
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.93 #45
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #48
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 36
East Carolina 22


Projected Total Points: 57
Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04East Carolina10Tulane13TulaneTulane -17East Carolina46.0Under
202210/08Tulane24East Carolina9TulaneTulane -2.5Tulane56.0Under
202110/02East Carolina52Tulane29East CarolinaTulane -3East Carolina65.0Over
202011/07East Carolina21Tulane38TulaneTulane -3.5Tulane63.5Under
201811/10Tulane24East Carolina18TulaneTulane -10.5East Carolina53.0Under
201711/11East Carolina24Tulane31TulaneTulane -6.5Tulane64.0Under
201411/22East Carolina34Tulane6East CarolinaEast Carolina -17.5East Carolina0
201310/12Tulane36East Carolina33TulaneEast Carolina -9Tulane0
201211/17Tulane23East Carolina28East Carolina
201110/29East Carolina34Tulane13East Carolina
200809/13Tulane24East Carolina28East Carolina
200711/24East Carolina35Tulane12East Carolina
200410/09East Carolina27Tulane25East Carolina
200311/22Tulane28East Carolina18Tulane
200209/14East Carolina24Tulane20East Carolina
200109/08Tulane24East Carolina51East Carolina
200009/15East Carolina37Tulane17East Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane741 Overs
East Carolina1045 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 65 - 32 - 13 - 2
Road Teams6 - 113 - 52 - 31 - 2

(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Tulane
Power #88
#57
Off #79
#64
Def #100
#45
Talent #82
#74
SP+ #90
#48
SP+ Off #65
#34
SP+ Def #106
#66

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat East Carolina in 2023 (13-10)
Tulane beat East Carolina in 2022 (24-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | TULN
Depth Chart: ECU | TULN
Rosters: ECU | TULN
(#57) Tulane Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.045 #57
Offense Rating: 14.72 #64
Defense Rating: 10.93 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Talent Rating: 686.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulane Notes
(5/29) Added QB Sullivan (Iowa) post spring, QB1 battle
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.
(5/29) Def decent LY, returns good prod. 10 DL portals
(4/20) Defense dominated spring. Front 7 looks good
(4/20) QBs Semonza(BSU)/Leary(Ill) split spring reps
(3/23) RB rebuild. Mobley/Turner portals, Barnes exp
(3/23) Sumrall decent 1st year, but 0-3 finish brutal


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)234310
Ryheem Craig496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Samuel Dankah347312

Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kadin Semonza (Tr)27542764%290025106.8
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)9147145.272
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson4024366.150
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)39590315.171
Justyn Reid (Tr)7145020.759
Tre Shackelford (Tr)10144114.439
Bryce Bohanon10121012.131

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Howard564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou471000
Maurice Westmoreland (Tr)459861
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland (Tr)459861
Kameron Hamilton216540
Santana Hopper (Tr)308400
Gerrod Henderson204300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LJ Green (Tr)272016
Javion White92003
Jaheim Johnson40002