Tulane at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -13.5 (51.5) (-390)  Open: -10.0 | 51.5
Tulane 33 - South Alabama: 31

 
Green Wave (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (29 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
USA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tulane -14.5  (SP+ TULN -18.5)

Projected Score: TULN: 34 - USA: 19 (53)
TULN Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TULN Travel: 134 miles
Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 6)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+12.561.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-14.552.5W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-7.053.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-10.044.5W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-5.554.5L 26 - 48ON
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+3.053.5W 38 - 32OY
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-16.560.5W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-7.554.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-31.552.5W 27 - 0UN
Fri 12/5 Tulane vs North Texas+1.566.5W 34 - 21UY
Sat 12/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17.556.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.551.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13.563.5L 22 - 36UN
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy-2.546.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-8.557.5L 14 - 15UN
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-5.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-3.552.5L 22 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-4.049.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss+2.553.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+9.562.5L 26 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#33 (.24)46% (33)29.145% (53)3.2 (24)17048% (18)2403.99 (46)#59 (.14)44% (103)22.644% (85)45% (112)3.55 (59)65.91.11.8
USA#81 (.16)42% (84)26.543% (78)3.03 (54)20140% (94)1814.01 (42)#114 (.24)43% (89)30.447% (117)40% (49)4.35 (127)54.911.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1329.129.245.7%3.991.1224111702404.654%45%45%48%12%.24
USA Defense1230.428.843.2%4.351.3 - - - - - 54%44%47%40%15%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1322.630.544.2%3.551.8 - - - - - 46%52%44%45%17%.14
USA Offense1226.527.841.5%4.011213822011814.660%38%43%40%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1330:5022.142%63%7.265.91.11.85.82.6135.4
South Alabama1231:0820.643%54%6.554.911.34.71028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1354% (38)45% (53)36.9170.34.626 (49).13 (64)3.2 (24)81% (10)7% (10)0.89 (101)
USA Defense1254% (120)47% (117) - - - - .18 (110)3.15 (108)91% (136)8% (106)0.92 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1346% (24)44% (85) - - - - .09 (61)2.99 (89)69% (53)10% (44)0.9 (43)
USA Offense1260% (10)43% (78)44.3201.24.630 (60).14 (59)3.03 (54)76% (40)9% (53)1.02 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1345% (99)48% (18)18.629.8240.58.112.917 (106)8 (7).4 (25)1.5 (73)29% (34)34% (29).4 (36)5% (34)1.9 (93)
USA Defense1244% (18)40% (49) - - - - - - 6 (100).34 (112)1.8 (130)33% (40)29% (61).37 (107)6% (60)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1352% (106)45% (112) - - - - - - 15 (38).24 (64)1.4 (20)29% (117)33% (107).32 (75)7% (35)1.9 (33)
USA Offense1238% (126)40% (94)17.725.8181.1710.313 (86)6 (34).23 (81)1.5 (78)31% (56)27% (101).28 (76)4% (19)2.1 (34)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 3.37  #58
Tulane's Offense Rating: 13.46  #48
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.09  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #44
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.37   South Alabama: -9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.8   South Alabama: -11.9




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.42  #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24  #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 34
South Alabama 19


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 27
Tulane 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 30
South Alabama 27

Total Points: 57
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06South Alabama31Tulane33Tulane -13.5South Alabama51.5Over
202309/02Tulane37South Alabama17Tulane -6Tulane51.0Over
202009/12South Alabama24Tulane27Tulane -11.5South Alabama51.5Under
201309/07Tulane39South Alabama41Tulane -7South Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama132 Overs
Tulane311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 33 - 11 - 12 - 0
Road Teams3 - 11 - 30 - 21 - 1

(#58) TULN at (#119) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNUSA
Power RatePwr #58 #119
SP+SP+ #44 #113
Perf GradeGrade #44 #101
OffenseOff #41 #88
DefenseDef #75 #96
Spec TeamsST #34 #61
TalentTal #73 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Tulane Notes
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
(7/27) DL may dominate the AAC. DT loaded w/ depth
Tulane Injury Report
South Alabama Notes
(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report
Tulane on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffUSA Def
Perf GradePerf #41 #96
SuccessSuc #33 #89
ExplosiveExp #107 #74
PPAPPA #33 #114
PowerPwr #48 #119
SP+SP+ #35 #126
Pts POPPO #46 #127
HavocHav #12 #89
Tulane Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #80 #112
Run SuccessRSuc #53 #117
Run ExplRExp #101 #52
PPAExp #64 #110
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #108
Stuff RateStuff #35 #101
TackleTak -  #129
Tulane Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #13 #31
Pass SuccessPSuc #18 #49
Pass ExplPExl #73 #130
PPAExp #25 #112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #130
F7 HavocF7 #10 #106
DB HavocDB #34 #60
South Alabama on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffTULN Def
Perf GradePerf #88 #75
SuccessSuc #84 #103
ExplosiveExp #93 #26
PPAPPA #81 #59
PowerPwr #89 #79
SP+SP+ #80 #67
Pts POPPO #42 #59
HavocHav #31 #40
South Alabama Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #10 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #85
Run ExplRExp #55 #43
PPAExp #59 #61
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #89
Stuff RateStuff #27 #100
TackleTak -  #71
South Alabama Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #107 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #94 #112
Pass ExplPExl #78 #20
PPAExp #81 #64
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #26
F7 HavocF7 #53 #44
DB HavocDB #19 #35
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Tulane 13.5 (51.5)
Tulane won at South Alabama this year (33-31)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat South Alabama in 2023 (37-17)

  
TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff22235662%28621468.0
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)192966%222227.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff118610165.269
Javin Gordon12250554.125
Jamauri McClure6845626.730
Arnold Barnes5121704.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shazz Preston38598415.769
Anthony Brown35466213.354
Omari Hayes (Tr)35463113.242
Bryce Bohanon31417213.542

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Rodgers757221
Jack Tchienchou742103
Bailey Despanie442005
Sam Howard449420
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Norman (Tr)238620
Harvey Dyson III309601
Santana Hopper (Tr)248540
Sam Howard449420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson341008
E'zaiah Shine322007
Javion White404006

USA's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport20029468%20721267.0
Jared Hollins121675%101106.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock2181085145.064
Keenan Phillips12662234.954
Bishop Davenport11632692.856
PJ Martin6032625.438
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin67775411.665
Jeremy Scott24417417.474
Anthony Eager4033918.548
Miller McCrumby (Tr)1512808.532

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick846033
Christopher Wallace Jr.734000
Darius McKenzie714111
Tirrell Johnson Jr.546131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Jennings132200
Tyler Thomas163220
Emmanuel Waller (Tr)143120
Achilles Woods122110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Ty Goodwill355007
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)272005