Tulane at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -13.5 (51.5) (-390)  Open: -10.0 | 51.5
Tulane 33 - South Alabama: 31

 
Green Wave (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (33 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
USA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tulane -7.5   (SP+ TULN -11)

Projected Score: TULN: 31 - USA: 24 (55)
TULN Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TULN Travel: 134 miles
Jaguars (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 6)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-13.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-1.5
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+13.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-15.5
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-3.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.550.5
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-12.5
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-12.5
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-12
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-2
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#71 (.2)44% (63)3043% (80)3.03 (64)22245% (58)1964.2 (57)#61 (.11)43% (96)20.347% (109)41% (71)3.21 (59)80.70.72.7
USA#64 (.22)44% (61)2844% (69)3.29 (37)17444% (64)1924.3 (52)#109 (.23)47% (117)28.351% (122)41% (76)5.38 (130)31.71.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense3303344%4.20.7234182221965.358%42%43%45%12%.2
USA Defense328.32746.9%5.381.7 - - - - - 60%40%51%41%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense320.33143.2%3.212.7 - - - - - 44%55%47%41%15%.11
USA Offense32834.544.2%4.31.7213661741924.264%36%44%44%13%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane333:4222.744%75%880.70.72.73.71.3035.7
South Alabama327:4620.736%60%531.71.71.75.71.7029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense358% (25)43% (80)41.72225.38 (26).15 (66)3.03 (64)64% (99)8% (63)1.09 (43)
USA Defense360% (122)51% (122) - - - - .21 (111)3.12 (105)94% (125)10% (61)0.92 (68)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense344% (33)47% (109) - - - - .1 (82)3.19 (110)69% (66)7% (106)0.87 (53)
USA Offense364% (9)44% (69)41.3174.34.25 (62).13 (71)3.29 (37)78% (41)10% (93)0.91 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense342% (110)45% (58)1728195.7711.52 (102)0 (1).27 (74)1.3 (114)33% (99)36% (38).31 (75)3% (33)1.5 (118)
USA Defense340% (15)41% (76) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (88)1.4 (39)30% (92)32% (90).27 (70)6% (66)1.7 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense355% (105)41% (71) - - - - - - 5 (6).17 (55)1.5 (52)27% (124)27% (52).28 (74)8% (24)2.1 (85)
USA Offense336% (127)44% (64)1621.7191.78.9126 (34)1 (23).37 (53)1.7 (23)26% (32)30% (81).28 (83)3% (31)2.1 (54)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.38 #77
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Tulane's Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.38   South Alabama: -3.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 7.6   South Alabama: -3.3




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.03 #101
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 31
South Alabama 24


Total Points: 55

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06South Alabama31Tulane33TulaneTulane -13.5South Alabama51.5Over
202309/02Tulane37South Alabama17TulaneTulane -6Tulane51.0Over
202009/12South Alabama24Tulane27TulaneTulane -11.5South Alabama51.5Under
201309/07Tulane39South Alabama41South AlabamaTulane -7South Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama132 Overs
Tulane311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 33 - 11 - 12 - 0
Road Teams3 - 11 - 30 - 21 - 1

(#77) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 1.38 #77
Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
(7/27) DL may dominate the AAC. DT loaded w/ depth
(7/21) QBs Sullivan (IA), Retzlaff (BYU) post spring adds
(7/21) QB battle Sullivan, Semonza, Retzlaff in fall
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.

Tulane Highlights
Tulane in Undefeated

Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane has a great TO Margin (#28)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Tulane Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#109)
Tulane Does Not Stuff Runs (#129)
Tulane has a bad defensive line (#110)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSATULN
OverallOver#82#64
OffenseOff#72#78
DefenseDef#90#57
Special TeamsST#61#74
PassingPass#69#44
RushingRush#32#54
Run BlockRBLK#97#100
Pass BlockPBLK#105#81
Route RunningWR Rt#33#79
TacklingTkl#117#74
Run DefenseR Def#104#96
Pass Rush DefPRush#89#31
Coverage DefCov#48#15

Rematch from Week 2
Tulane 13.5 (51.5)
Tulane won at South Alabama this year (33-31)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat South Alabama in 2023 (37-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | USA
Depth Chart: TULN | USA
Rosters: TULN | USA
(#101) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: -3.03 #101
Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Alabama has won 1 straight
South Alabama has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

South Alabama Notes
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Running more of a balanced, pro style offense
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama defense does not give up big plays (#28)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama has a bad TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama Fumbles a Lot (#128)
South Alabama has a bad defense (#117)
South Alabama has a bad defensive line (#105)
South Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#130)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff467859%522206.7
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)55100%650013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff4028867.269
Javin Gordon2712204.522
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)2110725.128
Maurice Turner (Tr)148606.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)13143011.026
Shazz Preston5113022.663
Bryce Bohanon890011.320
Justyn Reid (Tr)452113.033

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dickson Agu262001
Jack Tchienchou222101
Bailey Despanie151000
Chris Rodgers141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Santana Hopper (Tr)72100
Kameron Hamilton21110
Jack Tchienchou222101
Gerrod Henderson81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson70004
E'zaiah Shine110002
Dickson Agu262001

South Alabama's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport476473%567618.9
Jared Hollins11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock6329134.620
PJ Martin228814.016
Bishop Davenport227913.616
Keenan Phillips155803.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin19266414.065
Anthony Eager1211519.634
Jeremy Scott574114.834
Miller McCrumby (Tr)561012.232

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Dozier (Tr)200000
Darius McKenzie190000
Christopher Wallace Jr.173000
Wesley Miller170001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Jennings22200
Tirrell Johnson Jr.114100
Dominic Wiseman31100
E'Mauri Smiley51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Goodwill142005
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)70003
Wesley Miller170001