Tulane at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL

 
Green Wave (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#27)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
USA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tulane -4   (SP+ TULN -6.5)
Projected Score: TULN: 33 - USA: 29 (58)
TULN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TULN Travel: 134 miles
Jaguars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-4
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-0.5
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-18.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-13.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-9.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-0
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+0.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-20
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-19.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-20.5
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+4
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+22.5
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-11
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas-2.5
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-11
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-11.5
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-9.5
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-8.5
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)34.453% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)25.239% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1435.13745.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27
USA Defense1325.227.840.9%3.661.5 - - - - - 48%52%39%43%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.623.138.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
USA Offense1334.44449.8%4.660.9224421992435.851%49%53%47%14%.34

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
South Alabama1329:2021.539%68%8.270.80.91.55.61.6429.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)
USA Defense1348% (38)39% (28) - - - - .09 (53)2.78 (32)71% (51)10% (78)1.05 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
USA Offense1351% (67)53% (4)34.1199.25.832 (14).33 (3)3.57 (6)82% (12)10% (79)1.06 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)
USA Defense1352% (98)43% (96) - - - - - - 16 (10).24 (73)1.5 (32)32% (69)30% (55).15 (8)6% (59)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
USA Offense1349% (68)47% (18)19.530243.28.112.521 (51)6 (10).36 (27)1.5 (101)29% (27)33% (49).48 (15)4% (14)2.2 (14)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 3.79 #56
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.72 #61
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.93 #45
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #48
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.79   South Alabama: -0.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.3   South Alabama: -3.4




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -0.315 #68
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 16.39 #49
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 534.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 33
South Alabama 29

Projected Total Points: 58
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Tulane37South Alabama17TulaneTulane -6Tulane51.0Over
202009/12South Alabama24Tulane27TulaneTulane -11.5South Alabama51.5Under
201309/07Tulane39South Alabama41South AlabamaTulane -7South Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama121 Overs
Tulane211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#56) Tulane Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.79 #56
Offense Rating: 14.72 #61
Defense Rating: 10.93 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Talent Rating: 686.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulane Notes
(5/29) Added QB Sullivan (Iowa) post spring, QB1 battle
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.
(5/29) Def decent LY, returns good prod. 10 DL portals
(4/20) Defense dominated spring. Front 7 looks good
(4/20) QBs Semonza(BSU)/Leary(Ill) split spring reps
(3/23) RB rebuild. Mobley/Turner portals, Barnes exp
(3/23) Sumrall decent 1st year, but 0-3 finish brutal
Tulane     Ratings Matchup     South Alabama
Power #56
#68
Off #61
#49
Def #45
#94
Talent #72
#100
SP+ #48
#76
SP+ Off #34
#74
SP+ Def #66
#81

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat South Alabama in 2023 (37-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | USA
Depth Chart: TULN | USA
Rosters: TULN | USA
(#68) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.315 #68
Offense Rating: 16.39 #49
Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 534.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


South Alabama Notes
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(7/12) Decimated by portal, net loss of talent
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 4 portals. Looks good
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kadin Semonza (Tr)27542764%290025106.8
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)9147145.272
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson4024366.150
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)39590315.171
Justyn Reid (Tr)7145020.759
Tre Shackelford (Tr)10144114.439
Bryce Bohanon10121012.131

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Howard564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou471000
Maurice Westmoreland (Tr)459861
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland (Tr)459861
Kameron Hamilton216540
Santana Hopper (Tr)308400
Gerrod Henderson204300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LJ Green (Tr)272016
Javion White92003
Jaheim Johnson40002

South Alabama's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Zach Pyron (Tr)356554%409236.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Zach Pyron (Tr)3611543.220
PJ Martin139817.545
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Kentrel Bullock15153110.228
Anthony Eager10133213.338
Miller McCrumby (Tr)117907.213

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Darius McKenzie724104
Wesley Miller592004
Ed Smith IV234230
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Thomas194300
Parker Shattuck113301
Blayne Myrick1018232
Ed Smith IV234230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Miller592004
Darius McKenzie724104
Blayne Myrick1018232