Charlotte at Tulane - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Tulane -31.5 (52.5) (-100000) Open: -29.5 | 52.5
Tulane 27 - Charlotte: 0 (American Athletic)

49ers (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

CHAR 2nd straight Road Game
TULN is playing their 5th straight game
CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -32.5 (SP+ TULN -33)
Projected Score: CHAR: 9 - TULN: 42 (51)
TULN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
CHAR Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Green Wave (11 - 3) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
TULN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Charlotte vs App State	+8.5	53.5	L 11 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/6	Charlotte vs North Carolina	+16.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/13	Charlotte vs Monmouth	-3.0	66.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Thu 9/18	Charlotte vs Rice	+1.5	41.5	L 17 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	Charlotte at South Florida	+28.5	54.5	L 26 - 54	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Charlotte at Army	+17.5	45.5	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Charlotte vs Temple	+10.0	47.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Fri 10/24	Charlotte vs North Texas	+25.5	60.5	L 20 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Charlotte at East Carolina	+29.5	56.5	L 22 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Charlotte vs UTSA	+16.5	57.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/22	Charlotte at Georgia	+42.5	53.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Charlotte at Tulane	+31.5	52.5	L 0 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 3

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Tulane's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulane vs Northwestern	-6.5	47.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Tulane at South Alabama	-13.5	51.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/13	Tulane vs Duke	-1.5	52.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Tulane at Ole Miss	+12.5	61.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/27	Tulane at Tulsa	-14.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Tulane vs East Carolina	-7.0	53.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/18	Tulane vs Army	-10.0	44.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	Tulane at UTSA	-5.5	54.5	L 26 - 48	O	N
Fri 11/7	Tulane at Memphis	+3.0	53.5	W 38 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Tulane vs Florida Atlantic	-16.5	60.5	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Tulane at Temple	-7.5	54.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Tulane vs Charlotte	-31.5	52.5	W 27 - 0	U	N
Fri 12/5	Tulane vs North Texas	+1.5	66.5	W 34 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/20	Tulane at Ole Miss	+17.5	57.5	L 10 - 41	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)	14.3	39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)	36.3	48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)	27.7	45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)	23.9	38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	11.6	37.1%	3.9	1.8	17	343	119	224	3.7	47%	52%	39%	35%	17%	.1
TULN Defense	14	23.9	15.9	38.3%	3.53	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	39%	16%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	37.6	45.3%	3.87	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	48%	42%	15%	.25
TULN Offense	14	27.7	29	45.5%	4.5	1.1	21	406	197	209	4.9	60%	40%	45%	47%	11%	.27

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	28:37	17.3	30%	42%	7.8	65.3	1.8	1	4.9	1.2	1	26.1
Tulane	14	32:13	20.8	50%	45%	6.1	50.1	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.4	7	34.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	47% (88)	39% (110)	32.3	118.7	3.7	16 (90)	.09 (93)	2.75 (113)	68% (105)	11% (106)	1.1 (24)
TULN Defense	14	50% (62)	38% (14)	-	-	-	-	.07 (41)	2.97 (59)	76% (80)	11% (47)	1.05 (99)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56% (118)	48% (111)	-	-	-	-	.19 (104)	3.27 (106)	68% (35)	8% (114)	0.96 (57)
TULN Offense	14	60% (10)	45% (61)	40.1	196.6	4.9	32 (14)	.14 (65)	3.15 (47)	75% (57)	7% (14)	0.94 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	52% (46)	35% (120)	14.8	29.4	224.1	7.6	15.2	16 (87)	14 (115)	.12 (120)	1.9 (6)	35% (123)	29% (96)	.23 (103)	6% (57)	2.3 (3)
TULN Defense	14	50% (75)	39% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.07 (9)	1.5 (21)	32% (62)	28% (31)	.18 (20)	6% (85)	1.9 (28)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	44% (18)	42% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.34 (112)	1.8 (122)	31% (92)	33% (107)	.57 (132)	6% (51)	2.4 (133)
TULN Offense	14	40% (125)	47% (23)	14.8	23.5	209.4	8.9	14.2	25 (31)	9 (48)	.48 (4)	1.8 (12)	32% (76)	36% (22)	.49 (12)	4% (11)	2.1 (34)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -25.40 #135
Charlotte's Offense Rating: -0.08 #134
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 25.32 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7 #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5 #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -25.40 Tulane: 6.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -26.7 Tulane: 6.3

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.415 #61
Tulane's Offense Rating: 16.29 #51
Tulane's Defense Rating: 14.76 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.1 - 2.9
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #45
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 42
Charlotte 9

Projected Total Points: 51

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Tulane	27	Charlotte	0	Tulane -31.5	Charlotte	52.5	Under
2024	10/31	Charlotte	3	Tulane	34	Tulane -14.5	Tulane	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulane	2	1	0 Overs
Charlotte	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#135) CHAR at (#61) TULN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	TULN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#135	#61
SP+SP+	#134	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#129	#55
OffenseOff	#113	#46
DefenseDef	#132	#86
Spec TeamsST	#129	#35
TalentTal	#97	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#101

Charlotte Notes(10/19) Team is awful, Off is bad but Def is worse.
(10/4) QB1 is now Zach Wilcke, played OK in USF blowout
(10/4) Off is still really bad, can't run. 3 QBs thru wk 6
(10/2) QB1 Connor Harrell out for season (knee), Loftis QB1
(9/18) WR E. Jai Mason a baller to watch. QB meh
(9/18) Run Off awful, Run Def bad. Not much hope
(9/18) Tim Albin very good coach but roster is bad
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
Charlotte Injury Report

Tulane Notes(12/9) Hired HC Will Hall? Fired from So Miss, was PGC?
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
Tulane Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	TULN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#86
SuccessSuc	#122	#29
ExplosiveExp	#2	#60
PPAPPA	#116	#14
PowerPwr	#134	#75
SP+SP+	#132	#71
Pts POPPO	#70	#42
HavocHav	#92	#63

Charlotte Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#136	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#14
Run ExplRExp	#24	#99
PPAExp	#93	#41
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#59
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#57
TackleTak	-	#82

Charlotte Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#120	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#21
PPAExp	#120	#9
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#126	#16
F7 HavocF7	#106	#47
DB HavocDB	#57	#85

Tulane on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#132
SuccessSuc	#32	#107
ExplosiveExp	#62	#85
PPAPPA	#20	#113
PowerPwr	#51	#132
SP+SP+	#35	#132
Pts POPPO	#18	#81
HavocHav	#5	#87

Tulane Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#85	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	#61	#111
Run ExplRExp	#80	#57
PPAExp	#65	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#106
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#100
TackleTak	-	#129

Tulane Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#26	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	#23	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#12	#122
PPAExp	#4	#112
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#30	#121
F7 HavocF7	#14	#114
DB HavocDB	#11	#51

Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Tulane -31.5 (52.5)
Tulane won vs Charlotte this year (27-0)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Charlotte last year (27-0)
Tulane beat Charlotte in 2024 (34-3)

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson Loftis (Tr)	128	232	55%	1415	8	8	6.1
Conner Harrell (Tr)	64	96	67%	737	4	2	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rod Gainey Jr.	74	260	1	3.5	37
Cameren Smith (Tr)	62	220	0	3.5	13
Jariel Cobb (Tr)	51	190	0	3.7	21
C.J. Stokes	48	149	1	3.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)	60	740	5	12.3	64
Sean Brown	36	508	1	14.1	46
E. Jai Mason	31	423	4	13.6	62
Miles Burris	14	134	0	9.6	18

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	4	2	0
Kadin Schmitz (Tr)	65	1	0	3	2
Ja'Qurious Conley	64	0	0	0	2
Shay Taylor (Tr)	62	6	2	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	4	2	0
Curtis Simpson (Tr)	31	5	3	4	1
Shay Taylor (Tr)	62	6	2	6	0
Yamil Talib	28	4	2	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)	20	0	4
Ja'Qurious Conley	64	0	2
Derrick Edwards	19	1	2

TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	242	391	62%	3168	15	7	8.1
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	19	30	63%	222	2	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jake Retzlaff	129	634	16	4.9	69
Jamauri McClure	83	540	2	6.5	30
Javin Gordon	128	516	5	4.0	25
Arnold Barnes	51	217	0	4.3	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shazz Preston	43	723	4	16.8	69
Anthony Brown	41	523	2	12.8	54
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Bryce Bohanon	31	417	2	13.5	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	0	3
Chris Rodgers	80	7	3	2	1
Bailey Despanie	52	2	0	0	5
Sam Howard	50	9	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harvey Dyson III	31	10	7	0	1
Jordan Norman (Tr)	27	8	6	2	0
Santana Hopper (Tr)	25	9	5	4	0
Kameron Hamilton	30	5	4	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaheim Johnson	38	1	9
E'zaiah Shine	35	2	7
Javion White	44	4	6