Tulane at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -14.5 (52.5) (-700)  Open: -14.5
Tulane 31 - Tulsa: 14  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
TULN 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
TULN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -11  (SP+ TULN -18)

Projected Score: TULN: 32 - TLSA: 21 (53)
TULN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
TULN Travel: 545 miles
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+12.561.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-14.552.5W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-7.053.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-10.044.5W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-5.554.5L 26 - 48ON
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+3.053.5W 38 - 32OY
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-16.560.5W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-7.554.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-31.552.5W 27 - 0UN
Fri 12/5 Tulane vs North Texas+1.566.5W 34 - 21UY
Sat 12/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+17.557.5L 10 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 7, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+10.554.5W 19 - 12UY
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+14.552.5L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+21.054.5L 7 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+16.554.5L 27 - 41OY
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+4.552.5L 37 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+4.560.5L 21 - 40ON
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State-1.550.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+10.043.5W 26 - 25OY
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-9.056.5L 24 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#35 (.22)46% (34)27.744% (60)3.18 (27)16648% (16)2453.88 (54)#63 (.15)45% (113)23.944% (90)46% (121)3.69 (72)63.91.21.8
TLSA#104 (.11)40% (97)23.242% (86)2.87 (81)17638% (104)2233.34 (104)#61 (.15)43% (82)28.942% (64)44% (99)3.78 (77)38.21.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1427.726.445.5%3.881.2224121662454.553%45%44%48%13%.22
TLSA Defense1228.927.242.5%3.780.9 - - - - - 56%43%42%44%13%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1423.93245.1%3.691.8 - - - - - 46%52%44%46%17%.15
TLSA Offense1223.227.340.4%3.341.6223991762234.451%47%42%38%17%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1430:5121.942%52%6.963.91.21.85.62.6134.5
Tulsa1228:3322.238%57%5.138.21.60.95.31.9027.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1453% (39)44% (60)36.7166.44.526 (49).11 (68)3.18 (27)78% (30)7% (15)0.89 (101)
TLSA Defense1256% (127)42% (64) - - - - .06 (48)2.92 (76)67% (36)9% (99)0.94 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1446% (18)44% (90) - - - - .09 (64)2.97 (86)71% (65)10% (47)0.9 (36)
TLSA Offense1251% (57)42% (86)40.41764.418 (107).05 (102)2.87 (81)60% (127)11% (112)1.03 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1445% (96)48% (16)18.730.4245.18.113.118 (106)9 (7).38 (27)1.5 (75)29% (33)34% (25).39 (37)5% (48)1.9 (95)
TLSA Defense1243% (14)44% (99) - - - - - - 7 (55).28 (86)1.5 (53)29% (115)31% (91).28 (67)4% (131)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1452% (113)46% (121) - - - - - - 15 (38).26 (75)1.4 (13)28% (124)33% (106).32 (83)6% (49)1.9 (36)
TLSA Offense1247% (82)38% (104)20.134.1222.56.511.115 (86)10 (108).15 (114)1.5 (104)32% (79)28% (88).26 (88)6% (78)1.9 (105)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 3.37  #58
Tulane's Offense Rating: 13.46  #48
Tulane's Defense Rating: 10.09  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 11.1 - 2.9
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #44
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 3.37   Tulsa: -5.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.8   Tulsa: -11.2




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -5.955  #90
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 2.30  #113
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 8.01  #69
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #110
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #108
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 32
Tulsa 21


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulsa 32
Tulane 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 27
Tulsa 27

Total Points: 54
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Tulsa14Tulane31Tulane -14.5Tulane52.5Under
202311/11Tulane24Tulsa22Tulane -24.5Tulsa52.5Under
202211/05Tulsa13Tulane27Tulane -6.5Tulane56.0Under
202111/13Tulane13Tulsa20Tulsa -3Tulsa55.5Under
202011/19Tulsa30Tulane24Tulsa -5.5Tulsa55.5Under
201911/02Tulane38Tulsa26Tulane -10Tulane59.5Over
201810/27Tulsa17Tulane24Tulane -1Tulane49.0Under
201710/07Tulane62Tulsa28Tulane -6Tulane54.0Over
201610/22Tulsa50Tulane27Tulsa -10Tulsa54.0Over
201511/27Tulane34Tulsa45Tulsa -3Tulsa58.5Over
201408/28Tulsa38Tulane31Tulsa -4.5Tulsa46.5Over
201310/26Tulane14Tulsa7Tulsa -3.5Tulane0
201209/08Tulsa45Tulane10
201109/10Tulane3Tulsa31
201010/16Tulsa52Tulane24
200909/04Tulane13Tulsa37
200811/22Tulsa56Tulane7
200711/03Tulane25Tulsa49
200611/24Tulsa38Tulane3
200511/19Tulane14Tulsa38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa1365 Overs
Tulane766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 96 - 65 - 11 - 5
Road Teams9 - 116 - 65 - 11 - 5

(#58) TULN at (#90) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNTLSA
Power RatePwr #58 #90
SP+SP+ #44 #110
Perf GradeGrade #44 #57
OffenseOff #41 #99
DefenseDef #75 #16
Spec TeamsST #34 #71
TalentTal #73 #87
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Tulane Notes
(12/9) Hired HC Will Hall? Fired from So Miss, was PGC?
(12/6) AAC Champs after beating North Texas
(11/29) 4th straight W to finish 10-2 and in the AAC title game
(10/31) Overrated, bad in last 3 games. Could be 4-4
(10/30) Def, esp tackling absolutely atrocious vs UTSA
(10/7) By far best Field Position team in CFB
(9/20) Mauled by Ole Miss. Off was worse than awful
(9/15) Huge W over Duke, Off methodical but effective
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
Tulane Injury Report
Tulsa Notes
(11/22) Great fight & finish beating Oregon St & Army
(9/19) Physically dominating Ok St up front both sides
(9/19) Aggressive 4th down Off, QB2 Hayes can play
(9/19) Big program win over OK St. Lamb great job
(9/19) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs OK St (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Injury Report
Tulane on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffTLSA Def
Perf GradePerf #41 #16
SuccessSuc #34 #82
ExplosiveExp #105 #41
PPAPPA #35 #61
PowerPwr #48 #69
SP+SP+ #35 #107
Pts POPPO #54 #77
HavocHav #21 #121
Tulane Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #80 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #60 #64
Run ExplRExp #101 #58
PPAExp #68 #48
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #76
Stuff RateStuff #41 #79
TackleTak -  #4
Tulane Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
TULN OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #13 #36
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #99
Pass ExplPExl #75 #53
PPAExp #27 #86
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #37
F7 HavocF7 #15 #99
DB HavocDB #48 #131
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatTLSA OffTULN Def
Perf GradePerf #99 #75
SuccessSuc #97 #113
ExplosiveExp #60 #19
PPAPPA #104 #63
PowerPwr #113 #79
SP+SP+ #108 #67
Pts POPPO #104 #72
HavocHav #104 #50
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #37 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #86 #90
Run ExplRExp #47 #36
PPAExp #102 #64
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #81 #86
Stuff RateStuff #125 #92
TackleTak -  #71
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatTLSA OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #112 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #104 #121
Pass ExplPExl #104 #13
PPAExp #114 #75
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103 #26
F7 HavocF7 #112 #47
DB HavocDB #78 #49
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 87°
Rematch from Week 5
Tulane 14.5 (52.5)
Tulane won at Tulsa this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Tulsa in 2023 (24-22)
Tulane beat Tulsa in 2022 (27-13)

  
TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff24239162%31681578.1
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)193063%222227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff129634164.969
Jamauri McClure8354026.530
Javin Gordon12851654.025
Arnold Barnes5121704.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shazz Preston43723416.869
Anthony Brown41523212.854
Omari Hayes (Tr)39515113.242
Bryce Bohanon31417213.542

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Tchienchou802103
Chris Rodgers807321
Bailey Despanie512005
Sam Howard509420
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Jordan Norman (Tr)278620
Santana Hopper (Tr)259540
Kameron Hamilton305453
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
E'zaiah Shine352007
Javion White444006

TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)18631659%21591266.8
Kirk Francis538860%493345.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)212106555.057
Ajay Allen (Tr)9749755.140
Braylin Presley3221516.728
Baylor Hayes (Tr)9518832.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brody Foley (Tr)36521714.572
Zion Booker (Tr)4641829.140
Grayson Tempest22272112.451
Zion Steptoe21272013.042

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)1287242
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)792004
Zach Williams731007
William Alexander661010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)2810711
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)147511
Ty Cooper (Tr)257311
Nahki Johnson (Tr)277300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Williams731007
Elijah Green592007
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)792004