Tulane at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
at H. A. Chapman Stadium - Tulsa, OK  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (33 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
TULN 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
TULN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -13   (SP+ TULN -18.5)

Projected Score: TULN: 34 - TLSA: 21 (54)
TULN Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TULN Travel: 545 miles
Golden Hurricane (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
 
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-13.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-1.5
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+13.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-15.5
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-3.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+13.555.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+13
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+29
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+6
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+7
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#71 (.2)44% (63)3043% (80)3.03 (64)22245% (58)1964.2 (57)#61 (.11)43% (96)20.347% (109)41% (71)3.21 (59)80.70.72.7
TLSA#99 (.11)41% (88)2437% (111)2.61 (103)18347% (49)2203.82 (79)#68 (.13)44% (102)23.343% (90)45% (103)3.83 (83)40.71.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense3303344%4.20.7234182221965.358%42%43%45%12%.2
TLSA Defense323.324.544.3%3.831.7 - - - - - 56%43%43%45%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense320.33143.2%3.212.7 - - - - - 44%55%47%41%15%.11
TLSA Offense3242941.4%3.821.3244031832204.950%49%37%47%13%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane333:4222.744%75%880.70.72.73.71.3035.7
Tulsa328:5724.338%67%6.740.71.31.76.72.7026.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense358% (25)43% (80)41.72225.38 (26).15 (66)3.03 (64)64% (99)8% (63)1.09 (43)
TLSA Defense356% (111)43% (90) - - - - .04 (59)2.62 (51)68% (61)10% (72)0.94 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense344% (33)47% (109) - - - - .1 (82)3.19 (110)69% (66)7% (106)0.87 (53)
TLSA Offense350% (71)37% (111)37.71834.95 (62).04 (97)2.61 (103)59% (108)6% (27)1.2 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense342% (110)45% (58)1728195.7711.52 (102)0 (1).27 (74)1.3 (114)33% (99)36% (38).31 (75)3% (33)1.5 (118)
TLSA Defense343% (25)45% (103) - - - - - - 3 (28).22 (72)1.3 (28)31% (91)36% (114).42 (102)4% (110)2 (73)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense355% (105)41% (71) - - - - - - 5 (6).17 (55)1.5 (52)27% (124)27% (52).28 (74)8% (24)2.1 (85)
TLSA Offense349% (69)47% (49)23.73722069.34 (72)3 (92).2 (89)1.1 (132)32% (85)26% (105).14 (110)7% (104)2 (61)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.38 #77
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Tulane's Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.38   Tulsa: -8.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 7.6   Tulsa: -11.1




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.54 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 34
Tulsa 21


Total Points: 54

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Tulane24Tulsa22TulaneTulane -24.5Tulsa52.5Under
202211/05Tulsa13Tulane27TulaneTulane -6.5Tulane56.0Under
202111/13Tulane13Tulsa20TulsaTulsa -3Tulsa55.5Under
202011/19Tulsa30Tulane24TulsaTulsa -5.5Tulsa55.5Under
201911/02Tulane38Tulsa26TulaneTulane -10Tulane59.5Over
201810/27Tulsa17Tulane24TulaneTulane -1Tulane49.0Under
201710/07Tulane62Tulsa28TulaneTulane -6Tulane54.0Over
201610/22Tulsa50Tulane27TulsaTulsa -10Tulsa54.0Over
201511/27Tulane34Tulsa45TulsaTulsa -3Tulsa58.5Over
201408/28Tulsa38Tulane31TulsaTulsa -4.5Tulsa46.5Over
201310/26Tulane14Tulsa7TulaneTulsa -3.5Tulane0
201209/08Tulsa45Tulane10Tulsa
201109/10Tulane3Tulsa31Tulsa
201010/16Tulsa52Tulane24Tulsa
200909/04Tulane13Tulsa37Tulsa
200811/22Tulsa56Tulane7Tulsa
200711/03Tulane25Tulsa49Tulsa
200611/24Tulsa38Tulane3Tulsa
200511/19Tulane14Tulsa38Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa1365 Overs
Tulane655 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 86 - 55 - 11 - 4
Road Teams8 - 115 - 64 - 11 - 5

(#77) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 1.38 #77
Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has lost 1 straight
Tulane has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
(7/27) DL may dominate the AAC. DT loaded w/ depth
(7/21) QBs Sullivan (IA), Retzlaff (BYU) post spring adds
(7/21) QB battle Sullivan, Semonza, Retzlaff in fall
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.

Tulane Highlights
Tulane in Undefeated

Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane has a great TO Margin (#28)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Tulane Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#109)
Tulane Does Not Stuff Runs (#129)
Tulane has a bad defensive line (#110)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTLSATULN
OverallOver#43#64
OffenseOff#83#78
DefenseDef#5#57
Special TeamsST#65#74
PassingPass#81#44
RushingRush#40#54
Run BlockRBLK#99#100
Pass BlockPBLK#68#81
Route RunningWR Rt#83#79
TacklingTkl#31#74
Run DefenseR Def#5#96
Pass Rush DefPRush#2#31
Coverage DefCov#63#15

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Tulsa in 2023 (24-22)
Tulane beat Tulsa in 2022 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | TLSA
Depth Chart: TULN | TLSA
Rosters: TULN | TLSA
(#107) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -8.54 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa has lost 3 straight
Tulsa has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff467859%522206.7
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)55100%650013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff4028867.269
Javin Gordon2712204.522
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)2110725.128
Maurice Turner (Tr)148606.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)13143011.026
Shazz Preston5113022.663
Bryce Bohanon890011.320
Justyn Reid (Tr)452113.033

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dickson Agu262001
Jack Tchienchou222101
Bailey Despanie151000
Chris Rodgers141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Santana Hopper (Tr)72100
Kameron Hamilton21110
Jack Tchienchou222101
Gerrod Henderson81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson70004
E'zaiah Shine110002
Dickson Agu262001

Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)365467%324226.0
Kirk Francis335461%318215.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)5329625.657
Ajay Allen (Tr)1811016.140
Braylin Presley149907.128
Baylor Hayes (Tr)122722.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Booker (Tr)2321419.336
Micah Tease (Tr)7119017.027
Mekhi Miller (Tr)95806.48
Brody Foley (Tr)352217.322

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Zach Williams200001
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)151000
Tim Hardiman (Tr)140020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)74410
Nahki Johnson (Tr)123100
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Green130002
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401