Troy at Jacksonville State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans vs Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State logo
Tuesday, December 16th 2025 (9:00 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -3.0 (47.5) (160)  Open: -4.0 | 46.5
Jacksonville State 17 - Troy: 13  (IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl)

 
Trojans (8 - 6) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+5.543.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama+2.546.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+7.553.5W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-4.545.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-7.047.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-7.552.5L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9.553.5L 0 - 33UN
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-9.551.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+6.550.5W 28 - 18UY
Fri 12/5 Troy at James Madison+24.547.5L 14 - 31UY
Tue 12/16 Troy vs Jacksonville State+3.047.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Jacksonville State at UCF+16.553.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+6.050.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/13 Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern+3.059.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Jacksonville State vs Murray State-35.560.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 9/27 Jacksonville State at Southern Miss+4.555.5L 25 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston-7.053.5W 29 - 27ON
Wed 10/15 Jacksonville State vs Delaware+3.055.5W 38 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee-4.554.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/8 Jacksonville State at UTEP-1.546.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State+3.556.5W 35 - 26OY
Sat 11/22 Jacksonville State at Florida International+2.555.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+1.556.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 12/5 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State+3.062.5L 15 - 19UN
Tue 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Troy-3.047.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#111 (.1)38% (114)23.539% (113)2.82 (91)9838% (105)2093.67 (74)#54 (.12)40% (53)23.941% (60)39% (42)3.17 (31)52.11.31.3
JVST#54 (.19)44% (51)28.147% (34)3.15 (32)24839% (98)1623.73 (65)#67 (.16)42% (74)25.242% (67)42% (69)3.78 (79)56.30.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1423.523.438.2%3.671.317307982092.847%51%39%38%20%.1
JVST Defense1425.22342.1%3.781.7 - - - - - 51%47%42%42%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1423.925.940%3.171.3 - - - - - 54%44%41%39%16%.12
JVST Offense1428.13443.9%3.730.9214092481625.463%35%47%39%14%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1429:5517.339%47%5.652.11.31.36.12.6331
Jacksonville State1430:2621.239%53%5.756.30.91.75.42128.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1447% (85)39% (113)35.1982.817 (88).02 (117)2.82 (91)78% (26)12% (126)0.87 (114)
JVST Defense1451% (83)42% (67) - - - - .11 (76)2.71 (29)79% (119)10% (47)1.06 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1454% (115)41% (60) - - - - .1 (67)3.01 (96)66% (32)11% (39)0.95 (63)
JVST Offense1463% (8)47% (34)46.2247.65.432 (9).21 (26)3.15 (32)68% (95)10% (77)1.1 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1451% (55)38% (105)17.930.9209.26.811.720 (42)12 (88).17 (110)1.7 (25)34% (114)28% (97).28 (77)7% (116)2.2 (23)
JVST Defense1447% (45)42% (69) - - - - - - 14 (100).24 (65)1.6 (73)33% (46)30% (80).32 (80)7% (37)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1444% (20)39% (42) - - - - - - 10 (75).17 (39)1.7 (120)34% (29)28% (43).23 (45)6% (76)2.1 (102)
JVST Offense1435% (129)39% (98)13.923.4161.86.911.613 (128)6 (34).19 (102)1.5 (79)29% (27)31% (59).31 (66)4% (21)2 (75)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.83  #93
Troy's Offense Rating: 2.52  #111
Troy's Defense Rating: 9.35  #77
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #83
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.83   Jacksonville State: -7.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -3.2   Jacksonville State: -5.1




Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -7.755  #111
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 9.79  #63
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 20.20  #131
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00  #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #88
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #56
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 26
Jacksonville State 23


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 27
Troy 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Jacksonville State 28
Troy 24

Total Points: 52
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/16Jacksonville State17Troy13Jacksonville State -3.0Jacksonville State47.5Under
200111/17Troy21Jacksonville State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Jacksonville State110 Overs
Troy101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

Troy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Veterans Bowl Troy vs Jacksonville State+3.047.5L 13 - 17
2023Birmingham Bowl Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17
2022Cure Bowl Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12
Jacksonville State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Veterans Bowl Jacksonville State vs Troy-3.047.5W 17 - 13
2024Cure Bowl Jacksonville State vs Ohio+6.557.5L 27 - 30
2023Orleans Bowl Jacksonville State vs Louisiana-3.558.5W 34 - 31
  
(#93) TROY at (#111) JVST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYJVST
Power RatePwr #93 #111
SP+SP+ #83 #88
Perf GradeGrade #98 #81
OffenseOff #96 #86
DefenseDef #81 #58
Spec TeamsST #67 #82
TalentTal #100 #128
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #101
Troy Notes
(11/29) Two bounce back wins to get to the SBC Title game
(11/29) Parker & staff incredible job in their 2nd season
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/11) Incredible comeback vs Tx St. 3 game win streak
(10/11) 3 straight wins as underdogs, real SBC threat?
(10/11) QB Kilcrease 415 yds, doubled season total vs Tx St
(9/23) DT Luis Medina huge game vs Buffalo
(9/20) Huge comeback W @ Buf, Def played great
(9/20) BU QB Kilcrease not good, QB3 Ale neither
(9/17) QB Crowder out multiple weeks (shoulder)
(8/30) QB Crowder meh, Run Off good vs Nicholls
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
Troy Injury Report
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/5) Creel is a RB taking snaps. Just an awful QB
(12/3) Have significant injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat WKU to finish 7-1 in conf, play Kenn St in title game
(10/16) HC Kelly has been so much better than I thought
(10/16) RB Cam Cook a beast and criminally underrated
(10/14) QB1 now Caden Creel, Wimsatt (benched) now QB2
(10/10) OG'd SHSU 500-280, had 370 rush, needed GW FG
(10/8) Fr QB Caden Creel replaced Wimsatt in S Miss game
(10/8) QB1 Competition now, Fr Creel mobile but TO issues
(9/22) Off is 4th in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/11) RB Cam Cook (Tr TCU) has been great so far
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
Jacksonville State Injury Report
Troy on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffJVST Def
Perf GradePerf #96 #58
SuccessSuc #114 #74
ExplosiveExp #39 #103
PPAPPA #111 #67
PowerPwr #111 #131
SP+SP+ #82 #113
Pts POPPO #74 #79
HavocHav #128 #42
Troy Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffJVST Def
Run GameRun #129 #42
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #67
Run ExplRExp #114 #114
PPAExp #117 #76
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLY #91 #29
Stuff RateStuff #126 #47
TackleTak -  #25
Troy Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffJVST Def
Pass GamePass #76 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #69
Pass ExplPExl #25 #73
PPAExp #110 #65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #108 #48
F7 HavocF7 #126 #47
DB HavocDB #116 #37
Jacksonville State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCatJVST OffTROY Def
Perf GradePerf #86 #81
SuccessSuc #51 #53
ExplosiveExp #65 #86
PPAPPA #54 #54
PowerPwr #63 #77
SP+SP+ #56 #81
Pts POPPO #65 #31
HavocHav #48 #55
Jacksonville State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #39 #70
Run SuccessRSuc #34 #60
Run ExplRExp #17 #63
PPAExp #26 #67
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLY #32 #96
Stuff RateStuff #61 #59
TackleTak -  #113
Jacksonville State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCatJVST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #103 #70
Pass SuccessPSuc #98 #42
Pass ExplPExl #79 #120
PPAExp #102 #39
Pass Block/RushP Blk #56 #75
F7 HavocF7 #77 #39
DB HavocDB #21 #76
Program Comparison
JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cramton Bowl
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 35°
Rematch from Week 1
Jacksonville State -3.0 (47.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Troy this year (17-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Kilcrease13022259%1537966.9
Will Crowder11519659%13271156.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows15969564.447
Jordan Lovett8933923.822
Tucker Kilcrease11612651.134
Jarris Williams195713.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rara Thomas (Tr)39629516.175
Tray Taylor (Tr)31513316.560
DJ Epps46498510.848
Ethan Conner31397312.839

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Dontae Wright (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer12312314
Devin Lafayette1133105
Justin Powe751001
Jaquez White6741111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith44141172
Jah-Mal Williams466543
Jamel Fils-Aime244310
Elijah Davis (Tr)446320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquez White6741111
Devin Lafayette1133105
Kaleno Levine (Tr)454005

JVST's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Creel13021162%1514947.2
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)6311256%731426.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)2961666165.673
Caden Creel182107575.973
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)5226345.144
Khristian Lando5120113.917
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deondre Johnson (Tr)30724624.177
Brock Rechsteiner36383510.656
Pearson Baldwin26302211.652
Cam Cook (Tr)3028609.554

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Sanders8312252
Walker O'Steen786361
Trevor Woods (Tr)641004
Caleb Nix (Tr)634003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Darrell Prater214400
Malcolm Jones515310
Isaac Walker (Tr)316331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Quon Fegans (Tr)362009
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Jaheim Jenkins (Tr)210005