Troy at Southern Miss Game Matchup

Troy Trojans at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
M. M. Roberts Stadium - Hattiesburg, MS (Sun Belt)

Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Troy -2 (SP+ TROY -11.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 28 - USM: 26 (54)
TROY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TROY Travel: 202 miles

Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Troy vs Nicholls	-19
Sat 9/6	Troy at Clemson	+32.5
Sat 9/13	Troy vs Memphis	+4
Sat 9/20	Troy at Buffalo	-0.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Troy vs South Alabama	-1
Sat 10/11	Troy at Texas State	+2
Sat 10/18	Troy at UL Monroe	-8
Sat 10/25	Troy vs Louisiana	-5
Sat 11/1	Troy vs Arkansas State	-9
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13	Troy at Old Dominion	-3.5
Sat 11/22	Troy vs Georgia State	-14.5
Sat 11/29	Troy at Southern Miss	-2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-15
Sat 9/13	Southern Miss vs App State	-8
Sat 9/20	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	-5
Sat 9/27	Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State	-13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Southern Miss at Georgia Southern	+7.5
Sat 10/18	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+4.5
Sat 10/25	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	+0
Sat 11/15	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+1.5
Sat 11/22	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+8.5
Sat 11/29	Southern Miss vs Troy	+2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)	26	42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)	28.4	45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)	15.3	40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)	37.8	45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	12	26	22.7	44.3%	4.43	1.3	20	370	157	213	4.4	54%	46%	42%	48%	16%	.22
USM Defense	12	37.8	33	44.1%	4.17	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	43%	14%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	12	28.4	34.3	43.3%	3.77	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	42%	17%	.18
USM Offense	12	15.3	19.5	34.7%	2.75	2.4	16	284	109	175	3.2	49%	51%	40%	30%	26%

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	12	30:17	20.3	50%	47%	6.7	58.8	1.3	0.7	6.3	1.5	2	27
Southern Miss	12	27:22	15.5	25%	44%	6	48.3	2.4	0.8	5.4	1.7	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	12	54% (43)	42% (94)	36.1	157.3	4.4	17 (84)	.11 (82)	2.88 (95)	76% (49)	11% (89)	0.95 (77)
USM Defense	12	55% (116)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.27 (129)	3.22 (101)	71% (54)	10% (80)	1.21 (131)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	12	53% (89)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.12 (68)	2.99 (64)	71% (52)	11% (40)	0.91 (36)
USM Offense	12	49% (79)	40% (108)	34.2	109	3.2	13 (105)	.06 (103)	2.59 (126)	61% (124)	18% (133)	1 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	12	46% (92)	48% (15)	17.8	28.3	213.1	7.5	12	21 (51)	9 (48)	.36 (25)	1.5 (81)	31% (64)	35% (32)	.41 (35)	5% (50)	1.9 (109)
USM Defense	12	45% (20)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.35 (114)	1.7 (114)	31% (77)	35% (114)	.51 (124)	5% (113)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	12	47% (48)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.25 (79)	1.6 (76)	29% (107)	30% (71)	.28 (58)	5% (91)	2 (47)
USM Offense	12	51% (55)	30% (133)	13.8	26.5	174.9	6.6	12.6	7 (130)	17 (127)	-.05 (134)	1.7 (30)	38% (130)	24% (125)	.15 (129)	8% (122)	2.1 (45)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -2.69 #74
Troy's Offense Rating: 12.96 #75
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.65 #74
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #86
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #96
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -2.69 Southern Miss: -6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.0 Southern Miss: -17.7

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -6.15 #66
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 28
Southern Miss 26

Projected Total Points: 54

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Troy	52	Southern Miss	20	Troy	Troy -17.5	Troy	48.5	Over
2023	11/25	Southern Miss	17	Troy	35	Troy	Troy -16.5	Troy	48.5	Over
2022	10/08	Troy	27	Southern Miss	10	Troy	Troy -7	Troy	44.0	Under
2021	09/18	Southern Miss	9	Troy	21	Troy	Troy -11	Troy	49.0	Under
2019	09/14	Troy	42	Southern Miss	47	Southern Miss	Troy -3	Southern Miss	49.0	Over
2016	09/17	Southern Miss	31	Troy	37	Troy	Southern Mississippi -11.5	Troy	61.0	Over
2008	12/21	Troy	27	Southern Miss	30	Southern Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	2	1	4 Overs
Troy	5	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	2 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 2	4 - 2	2 - 0	2 - 2

(#74) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.69 #74
Offense Rating: 12.96 #75
Defense Rating: 15.65 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 560.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy Notes
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, 3 portal adds. Bump?
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good
(3/24) 2nd year staff, could have big year w/ roster

Troy Ratings Matchup Southern Miss

Power #74

#66

Off #75

#85

Def #74

#44

Talent #90

#63

SP+ #86

#128

SP+ Off #96

#114

SP+ Def #81

#126

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | USM
Depth Chart: TROY | USM
Rosters: TROY | USM

(#66) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.15 #66
Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126
Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Southern Miss Notes
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) RB rebuild. 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 4/5 back, 7 portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, complete rebuild. 17 portals, 11 DBs
(3/24) New HC Huff a good one, a steal for S. Miss
(3/24) 1/2 roster is new. CB Moten (Marsh) great add
(3/24) New OC Anderson former Utah St HC.

Troy's OC Sean Reagan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Crowder	44	63	70%	547	5	0	8.7
Tucker Kilcrease	27	49	55%	373	3	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tucker Kilcrease	39	118	0	3.0	25
Will Crowder	17	63	1	3.7	12
Tray Taylor (Tr)	6	58	0	9.7	26
Jordan Lovett	17	53	1	3.1	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Peyton Higgins	31	301	1	9.7	37
Tray Taylor (Tr)	18	262	1	14.6	59
Ethan Conner	12	115	0	9.6	29
Jordan Lovett	8	56	0	7.0	26

View Troy's Full Roster

Troy's DC Dontae Wright

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Devin Lafayette	50	6	0	3	1
Jah-Mal Williams	29	1	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Julian Peterson	25	5	3	1	0
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Steven Cattledge	22	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Trent Henry	21	2	0	0	2
Devin Lafayette	50	6	0	3	1

Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
John White	17	31	55%	240	0	3	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Matt Jones (Tr)	43	211	3	4.9	46
JQ Gray	32	106	0	3.3	19
Robert Briggs (Tr)	9	88	0	9.8	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Grant Page (Tr)	33	281	2	8.5	35
Kyirin Heath	15	210	2	14.0	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	4
Chris Jones	46	3	1	1
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0	0
Jabari Ishmael (Tr)	22	3	2	5	1
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3
Ahmere Foster (Tr)	37	2	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	0	5
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	0	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3