Jacksonville State at Florida International - 2025 Matchup Preview
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Florida International -2.5 (55.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5
Florida International 27 - Jacksonville State: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
FIU 2nd straight Home Game
FIU is playing their 6th straight game
JVST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -2.5  (SP+ JVST -4)

Projected Score: JVST: 27 - FIU: 29 (56)
FIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
JVST Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Jacksonville State at UCF+16.553.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+6.050.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/13 Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern+3.059.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Jacksonville State vs Murray State-35.560.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 9/27 Jacksonville State at Southern Miss+4.555.5L 25 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston-7.053.5W 29 - 27ON
Wed 10/15 Jacksonville State vs Delaware+3.055.5W 38 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee-4.554.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/8 Jacksonville State at UTEP-1.546.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State+3.556.5W 35 - 26OY
Sat 11/22 Jacksonville State at Florida International+2.555.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+1.556.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 12/5 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State+3.062.5L 15 - 19UN
Tue 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Troy-3.047.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)28.149% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)25.244% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)28.537% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)3044% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense1428.12445.2%4.851.1234432541895.564%36%49%40%11%.27
FIU Defense12302841.2%3.491.3 - - - - - 56%44%44%37%12%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense1425.229.243.2%3.811.6 - - - - - 54%46%44%43%16%.14
FIU Offense1228.530.539.2%4.441.6183511222293.752%48%37%42%16%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State1426:5722.641%54%658.41.11.65.61.7128.5
Florida International1228:4017.931%54%5.547.41.61.33.91.5229.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense1464% (4)49% (18)45.9253.65.551 (1).25 (15)3.36 (17)67% (107)8% (23)1.07 (32)
FIU Defense1256% (122)44% (81) - - - - .17 (95)3.18 (95)71% (57)7% (129)1.03 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense1454% (108)44% (79) - - - - .09 (52)3.01 (72)63% (20)10% (59)0.88 (22)
FIU Offense1252% (58)37% (125)32.9121.73.716 (90)- (124)2.48 (130)58% (128)11% (90)0.9 (101)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense1436% (131)40% (95)13.422.3189.48.514.114 (108)7 (26).33 (35)1.9 (5)27% (10)32% (65).33 (72)3% (8)2.1 (51)
FIU Defense1244% (14)37% (30) - - - - - - 11 (52).05 (5)1.3 (7)28% (114)25% (5).11 (4)5% (108)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense1446% (27)43% (85) - - - - - - 12 (39).21 (55)1.5 (56)30% (102)33% (105).36 (92)6% (63)2 (45)
FIU Offense1248% (78)42% (64)17.227.8229.48.213.424 (38)11 (72).29 (48)1.6 (40)32% (79)27% (107).27 (93)5% (46)2 (71)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -17.49  #126
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 8.92  #92
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 26.41  #134
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00  #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7  #92
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #67
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -17.49   Florida International: -9.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -6.7   Florida International: -10.5




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -9.765  #116
Florida International's Offense Rating: 6.54  #111
Florida International's Defense Rating: 20.57  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #74
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 29
Jacksonville State 27


Projected Total Points: 56
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Florida International27Jacksonville State21Florida International -2.5Florida International55.5Under
202411/16Jacksonville State34Florida International31Jacksonville State -12.5Florida International58.5Over
202310/25Florida International16Jacksonville State41Jacksonville State -9Jacksonville State48.0Over
202010/23Florida International10Jacksonville State19Florida International -10.5Jacksonville State55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International122 Overs
Jacksonville State322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams2 - 23 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#126) JVST at (#116) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJVSTFIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #126 #116
SP+SP+ #92 #107
Perf GradeGrade #69 #85
OffenseOff #76 #75
DefenseDef #44 #79
Spec TeamsST #107 #77
TalentTal #128 #107
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/5) Creel is a RB taking snaps. Just an awful QB
(12/3) Have significant injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat WKU to finish 7-1 in conf, play Kenn St in title game
(10/16) HC Kelly has been so much better than I thought
(10/16) RB Cam Cook a beast and criminally underrated
(10/14) QB1 now Caden Creel, Wimsatt (benched) now QB2
(10/10) OG'd SHSU 500-280, had 370 rush, needed GW FG
(10/8) Fr QB Caden Creel replaced Wimsatt in S Miss game
(10/8) QB1 Competition now, Fr Creel mobile but TO issues
(9/22) Off is 4th in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/11) RB Cam Cook (Tr TCU) has been great so far
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
Jacksonville State Injury Report
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Jacksonville State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffFIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #76 #79
SuccessSuc #35 #62
ExplosiveExp #30 #20
PPAPPA #22 #37
PowerPwr #92 #113
SP+SP+ #67 #124
Pts POPPO #3 #39
HavocHav #7 #129
Jacksonville State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #39 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #81
Run ExplRExp #32 #93
PPAExp #15 #95
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #95
Stuff RateStuff #31 #101
TackleTak -  #63
Jacksonville State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #84 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #95 #30
Pass ExplPExl #5 #7
PPAExp #35 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #26 #88
F7 HavocF7 #23 #129
DB HavocDB #8 #108
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFIU OffJVST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #75 #44
SuccessSuc #111 #84
ExplosiveExp #65 #27
PPAPPA #101 #55
PowerPwr #111 #134
SP+SP+ #74 #102
Pts POPPO #21 #70
HavocHav #70 #66
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffJVST Def
Run GameRun #94 #36
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #79
Run ExplRExp #101 #22
PPAExp #124 #52
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #72
Stuff RateStuff #131 #63
TackleTak -  #22
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFIU OffJVST Def
Pass GamePass #87 #64
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #85
Pass ExplPExl #40 #56
PPAExp #48 #55
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109 #60
F7 HavocF7 #90 #59
DB HavocDB #46 #63
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Florida International -2.5 (55.5)
Florida International won vs Jacksonville State this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Jacksonville State last year (27-21)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2024 (34-31)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2023 (41-16)

  
JVST's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Creel13021162%1514947.2
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)6311256%731426.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)2961666165.673
Caden Creel182107575.973
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)5226345.144
Khristian Lando5120113.917
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deondre Johnson (Tr)30724624.177
Brock Rechsteiner36383510.656
Pearson Baldwin26302211.652
Cam Cook (Tr)3028609.554

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Sanders8312252
Walker O'Steen786361
Trevor Woods (Tr)641004
Caleb Nix (Tr)634003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Darrell Prater214400
Isaac Walker (Tr)316331
Malcolm Jones515310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Quon Fegans (Tr)362009
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Jaheim Jenkins (Tr)210005

FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004