Murray State at Jacksonville State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Murray State Racers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -35.5 (60.5) (0) Open: -35.5 | 60.5
Jacksonville State 45 - Murray State: 10

Racers (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 41 (16 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MURR 2nd straight Road Game
JVST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ JVST -5)
JVST Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%

Gamecocks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
MURR Players
JVST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Murray State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Murray State at Georgia State	+31.5	63.5	L 21 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Murray State at Jacksonville State	+35.5	60.5	L 10 - 45	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule

Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Jacksonville State at UCF	+16.5	53.5	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+6.0	50.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern	+3.0	59.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/20	Jacksonville State vs Murray State	-35.5	60.5	W 45 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/27	Jacksonville State at Southern Miss	+4.5	55.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston	-7.0	53.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Wed 10/15	Jacksonville State vs Delaware	+3.0	55.5	W 38 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	-4.5	54.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/8	Jacksonville State at UTEP	-1.5	46.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State	+3.5	56.5	W 35 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Jacksonville State at Florida International	+2.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/29	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+1.5	56.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 12/5	Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State	+3.0	62.5	L 15 - 19	U	N
Tue 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Troy	-3.0	47.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%	15.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	41	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JVST	#54 (.19)	44% (51)	28.1	47% (34)	3.15 (32)	248	39% (98)	162	3.73 (65)	#67 (.16)	42% (74)	25.2	42% (67)	42% (69)	3.78 (79)	56.3	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)		49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)		44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Offense	2	15.5	15.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
JVST Defense	14	25.2	23	42.1%	3.78	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	42%	42%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Defense	2	41	41	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
JVST Offense	14	28.1	34	43.9%	3.73	0.9	21	409	248	162	5.4	63%	35%	47%	39%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Murray State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Jacksonville State	14	30:26	21.2	39%	53%	5.7	56.3	0.9	1.7	5.4	2	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
JVST Defense	14	51% (83)	42% (67)	-	-	-	-	.11 (76)	2.71 (29)	79% (119)	10% (47)	1.06 (114)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
JVST Offense	14	63% (8)	47% (34)	46.2	247.6	5.4	32 (9)	.21 (26)	3.15 (32)	68% (95)	10% (77)	1.1 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
JVST Defense	14	47% (45)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (100)	.24 (65)	1.6 (73)	33% (46)	30% (80)	.32 (80)	7% (37)	2.1 (86)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
JVST Offense	14	35% (129)	39% (98)	13.9	23.4	161.8	6.9	11.6	13 (128)	6 (34)	.19 (102)	1.5 (79)	29% (27)	31% (59)	.31 (66)	4% (21)	2 (75)

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Jacksonville State: -5.255

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Jacksonville State: -5.1

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -5.255 #111
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 9.79 #63
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 20.20 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #88
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #56
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Murray State Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Murray State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 36
Murray State 19

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 36
Murray State 17

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Jacksonville State 36
Murray State 20

Total Points: 56

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Jacksonville State	45	Murray State	10	Jacksonville State -35.5	Murray State	60.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Jacksonville State	1	0	0 Overs
Murray State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) MURR at (#111) JVST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MURR	JVST
Power RatePwr	NR	#111
SP+SP+	NR	#88
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#81
OffenseOff	NR	#86
DefenseDef	NR	#58
Spec TeamsST	NR	#82
TalentTal	NR	#128
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

Murray State Injury Report

Jacksonville State Notes(12/5) Creel is a RB taking snaps. Just an awful QB
(12/3) Have significant injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat WKU to finish 7-1 in conf, play Kenn St in title game
(10/16) HC Kelly has been so much better than I thought
(10/16) RB Cam Cook a beast and criminally underrated
(10/14) QB1 now Caden Creel, Wimsatt (benched) now QB2
(10/10) OG'd SHSU 500-280, had 370 rush, needed GW FG
(10/8) Fr QB Caden Creel replaced Wimsatt in S Miss game
(10/8) QB1 Competition now, Fr Creel mobile but TO issues
(9/22) Off is 4th in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/11) RB Cam Cook (Tr TCU) has been great so far
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
Jacksonville State Injury Report

Murray State on Offense


CategoryCat	MURR Off	JVST Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#58
SuccessSuc	NR	#74
ExplosiveExp	NR	#103
PPAPPA	NR	#67
PowerPwr	NR	#131
SP+SP+	NR	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	#79
HavocHav	NR	#42

Murray State Run Game


CategoryCat	MURR Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#67
Run ExplRExp	NR	#114
PPAExp	NR	#76
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#29
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#47
TackleTak	-	#25

Murray State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MURR Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#69
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#73
PPAExp	NR	#65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#48
F7 HavocF7	NR	#47
DB HavocDB	NR	#37

Jacksonville State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	MURR Def
Perf GradePerf	#86	NR
SuccessSuc	#51	NR
ExplosiveExp	#65	NR
PPAPPA	#54	NR
PowerPwr	#63	NR
SP+SP+	#56	NR
Pts POPPO	#65	NR
HavocHav	#48	NR

Jacksonville State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	MURR Def
Run GameRun	#39	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#34	NR
Run ExplRExp	#17	NR
PPAExp	#26	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	#32	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#61	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Jacksonville State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	MURR Def
Pass GamePass	#103	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#98	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#79	NR
PPAExp	#102	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#56	NR
F7 HavocF7	#77	NR
DB HavocDB	#21	NR

Program Comparison
JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 86° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Jacksonville State -35.5 (60.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Murray State this year (45-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MURR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jim Ogle	165	276	60%	1767	9	13	6.4
Baxter Wright	69	92	75%	577	2	1	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jawaun Northington	157	765	6	4.9	66
Jordan Washington	86	340	3	4.0	24
Baxter Wright	55	150	2	2.7	11
Tyrell Campbell	26	135	1	5.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Cannon	76	726	3	9.6	65
Lucas Desjardins	45	526	2	11.7	33
J'Kalon Carter	30	371	3	12.4	48
Jordan Washington	22	202	1	9.2	60

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Dylan Rowsey	22	0
Klayton Ingram	12	0
Conlee Crossno	12	1
Shadon Shannon	9	0

Sacks	Tack	PD
Dylan Rowsey	22	0
Tomorris Green	3	0
Jerome Logan	0	1
Jimmy Fomby	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Marion Ponds	7	5
Bryan Pulley	5	3
Jerome Logan	0	1

JVST's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Creel	130	211	62%	1514	9	4	7.2
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	63	112	56%	731	4	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook (Tr)	296	1666	16	5.6	73
Caden Creel	182	1075	7	5.9	73
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	52	263	4	5.1	44
Khristian Lando	51	201	1	3.9	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deondre Johnson (Tr)	30	724	6	24.1	77
Brock Rechsteiner	36	383	5	10.6	56
Pearson Baldwin	26	302	2	11.6	52
Cam Cook (Tr)	30	286	0	9.5	54

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Sanders	83	12	2	5	2
Walker O'Steen	78	6	3	6	1
Trevor Woods (Tr)	64	1	0	0	4
Caleb Nix (Tr)	63	4	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Darrell Prater	21	4	4	0	0
Malcolm Jones	51	5	3	1	0
Isaac Walker (Tr)	31	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Quon Fegans (Tr)	36	2	0	0	9
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Jaheim Jenkins (Tr)	21	0	0	0	5