Memphis at Troy - 2025 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Veterans Memorial Stadium - Troy, AL

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
MEM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Memphis -3.5   (SP+ MEM -8)
Projected Score: MEM: 31 - TROY: 27 (57)
MEM Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 326 miles
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#55)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-25
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-15.5
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-3.5
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+5.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-13
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-13.5
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-3.5
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-16
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-0.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-6.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-19
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+32.5
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+3.5
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+2
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-8
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-9
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion-3.5
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-14.5
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss-2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)2642% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)28.445% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1335.733.543.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27
TROY Defense1228.422.543.3%3.770.7 - - - - - 53%47%45%42%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.83440%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
TROY Offense122629.344.3%4.431.3203701572134.454%46%42%48%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Troy1230:1720.350%47%6.758.81.30.76.31.5227
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)
TROY Defense1253% (89)45% (87) - - - - .12 (68)2.99 (64)71% (52)11% (40)0.91 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
TROY Offense1254% (43)42% (94)36.1157.34.417 (84).11 (82)2.88 (95)76% (49)11% (89)0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)
TROY Defense1247% (48)42% (76) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (79)1.6 (76)29% (107)30% (71).28 (58)5% (91)2 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
TROY Offense1246% (92)48% (15)17.828.3213.17.51221 (51)9 (48).36 (25)1.5 (81)31% (64)35% (32).41 (35)5% (50)1.9 (109)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 1.02 #63
Memphis's Offense Rating: 17.20 #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 16.18 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 1.02   Troy: -1.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.1   Troy: -6.0




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -1.845 #71
Troy's Offense Rating: 12.96 #75
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.65 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #86
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #96
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 31
Troy 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Memphis38Troy17MemphisMemphis -18.5Memphis57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy000 Overs
Memphis111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#63) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.02 #63
Offense Rating: 17.20 #46
Defense Rating: 16.18 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94
Talent Rating: 690.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Memphis Notes
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new
(3/22) QB Lewis a real weapon (Nev), huge add
Memphis     Ratings Matchup     Troy
Power #63
#71
Off #46
#75
Def #76
#71
Talent #71
#89
SP+ #53
#86
SP+ Off #23
#96
SP+ Def #94
#81

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Troy last year (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | TROY
Depth Chart: MEM | TROY
Rosters: MEM | TROY
(#71) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.845 #71
Offense Rating: 12.96 #75
Defense Rating: 15.65 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 568.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Troy Notes
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, 3 portal adds. Bump?
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good
(3/24) 2nd year staff, could have big year w/ roster


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)21131268%22901677.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendon Lewis (Tr)15777584.967
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Makari Bodiford1510617.140
Frank Peasant (Tr)104924.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Marcello Bussey10147114.736
Brady Kluse590018.034
Jadon Thompson (Tr)688214.733

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Cam Burden (Tr)573002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Isaiah Green (Tr)283240
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Logan (Tr)232003
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Chris Bracy (Tr)180002

Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder446370%547508.7
Tucker Kilcrease274955%373317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tucker Kilcrease3911803.025
Will Crowder176313.712
Tray Taylor (Tr)65809.726
Jordan Lovett175313.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Higgins3130119.737
Tray Taylor (Tr)18262114.659
Ethan Conner1211509.629
Jordan Lovett85607.026

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer778210
Justin Powe672104
Devin Lafayette506031
Jah-Mal Williams291020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Peterson255310
Jordan Stringer778210
Justin Powe672104
Steven Cattledge221110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Powe672104
Trent Henry212002
Devin Lafayette506031