Jacksonville State at UTEP - 2025 Matchup Preview
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -1.5 (46.5) (-115)  Open: -1.5
Jacksonville State 30 - UTEP: 27  (Conference USA)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
JVST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -1  (SP+ JVST -11.5)

Projected Score: JVST: 25 - UTEP: 24 (48)
JVST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
JVST Travel: 1211 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Miners (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Jacksonville State at UCF+16.553.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+6.050.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/13 Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern+3.059.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Jacksonville State vs Murray State-35.560.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 9/27 Jacksonville State at Southern Miss+4.555.5L 25 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston-7.053.5W 29 - 27ON
Wed 10/15 Jacksonville State vs Delaware+3.055.5W 38 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee-4.554.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/8 Jacksonville State at UTEP-1.546.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State+3.556.5W 35 - 26OY
Sat 11/22 Jacksonville State at Florida International+2.555.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+1.556.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 12/5 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State+3.062.5L 15 - 19UN
Tue 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Troy-3.047.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTEP at Utah State+3.559.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-7.549.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+39.552.5L 10 - 27UY
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-5.547.5L 25 - 31ON
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+3.548.5L 11 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+1.546.5L 8 - 19UN
Wed 10/15 UTEP vs Sam Houston-3.546.5W 35 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State+12.553.5L 20 - 33UN
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State+1.546.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State+6.547.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-4.044.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware+4.555.5L 31 - 61ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#54 (.19)44% (51)28.147% (34)3.15 (32)24839% (98)1623.73 (65)#67 (.16)42% (74)25.242% (67)42% (69)3.78 (79)56.30.91.7
UTEP#130 (.02)33% (135)23.336% (129)2.14 (133)11631% (135)2163.42 (95)#45 (.11)39% (42)30.437% (14)42% (75)3.85 (88)57.121
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense1428.12443.9%3.730.9214092481625.463%35%47%39%14%.19
UTEP Defense1230.426.839.3%3.851 - - - - - 54%45%37%42%16%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense1425.229.242.1%3.781.7 - - - - - 51%47%42%42%17%.16
UTEP Offense1223.32433%3.422173321162163.744%54%36%31%19%.02

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State1430:2621.239%53%5.756.30.91.75.42128.6
UTEP1225:3816.830%54%5.957.1216.82.3128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense1463% (8)47% (34)46.2247.65.432 (9).21 (26)3.15 (32)68% (95)10% (77)1.1 (17)
UTEP Defense1254% (113)37% (14) - - - - .02 (24)2.63 (22)64% (22)11% (33)0.98 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense1451% (83)42% (67) - - - - .11 (76)2.71 (29)79% (119)10% (47)1.06 (114)
UTEP Offense1244% (113)36% (129)31.3115.63.714 (99).05 (105)2.14 (133)60% (127)11% (106)1.17 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense1435% (129)39% (98)13.923.4161.86.911.613 (128)6 (34).19 (102)1.5 (79)29% (27)31% (59).31 (66)4% (21)2 (75)
UTEP Defense1245% (25)42% (75) - - - - - - 5 (123).24 (64)1.4 (22)32% (51)27% (36).12 (10)5% (110)1.5 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense1447% (45)42% (69) - - - - - - 14 (100).24 (65)1.6 (73)33% (46)30% (80).32 (80)7% (37)2.1 (86)
UTEP Offense1254% (27)31% (135)18.734.2216.36.311.621 (61)20 (136).03 (130)1.7 (17)34% (116)24% (125).21 (103)8% (128)2.1 (31)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -10.41  #111
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 9.79  #63
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 20.20  #131
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00  #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #88
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #56
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -10.41   UTEP: -8.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -5.1   UTEP: -16.6




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -8.91  #91
UTEP's Offense Rating: 0.12  #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 6.34  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6  #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #112
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #125

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 25
UTEP 24


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 26
UTEP 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Jacksonville State 27
UTEP 25

Total Points: 52
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08UTEP27Jacksonville State30Jacksonville State -1.5Jacksonville State46.5Over
202308/26Jacksonville State17UTEP14UTEP -1.5Jacksonville State54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP001 Overs
Jacksonville State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#111) JVST at (#91) UTEP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJVSTUTEP
Power RatePwr #111 #91
SP+SP+ #88 #129
Perf GradeGrade #81 #126
OffenseOff #86 #131
DefenseDef #58 #106
Spec TeamsST #82 #110
TalentTal #128 #82
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/5) Creel is a RB taking snaps. Just an awful QB
(12/3) Have significant injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat WKU to finish 7-1 in conf, play Kenn St in title game
(10/16) HC Kelly has been so much better than I thought
(10/16) RB Cam Cook a beast and criminally underrated
(10/14) QB1 now Caden Creel, Wimsatt (benched) now QB2
(10/10) OG'd SHSU 500-280, had 370 rush, needed GW FG
(10/8) Fr QB Caden Creel replaced Wimsatt in S Miss game
(10/8) QB1 Competition now, Fr Creel mobile but TO issues
(9/22) Off is 4th in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/11) RB Cam Cook (Tr TCU) has been great so far
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
Jacksonville State Injury Report
UTEP Notes
(10/29) Even game w/ Kenn St, St's & 2-16 3rd down killed
(10/8) This offense is pathetic. New OC Mark Cala a disaster
(9/29) QB Nelson benched, Skyler Locklear will take over
(9/28) Off is near worst in CFB. QB Nelson a disaster so far
(9/25) 20 1st Half points in 3 games vs FBS teams
(9/21) Ugly L vs ULM, Run Def mauled, Run Off shit
(9/17) Patchwork OL might be OK once in CUSA play
(9/13) Great fight at Tex, Def played hard, QB OK
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
UTEP Injury Report
Jacksonville State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffUTEP Def
Perf GradePerf #86 #106
SuccessSuc #51 #42
ExplosiveExp #65 #47
PPAPPA #54 #45
PowerPwr #63 #55
SP+SP+ #56 #125
Pts POPPO #65 #88
HavocHav #48 #67
Jacksonville State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #39 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #34 #14
Run ExplRExp #17 #79
PPAExp #26 #24
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLY #32 #22
Stuff RateStuff #61 #20
TackleTak -  #30
Jacksonville State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat
JVST OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #103 #112
Pass SuccessPSuc #98 #75
Pass ExplPExl #79 #22
PPAExp #102 #64
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #56 #97
F7 HavocF7 #77 #33
DB HavocDB #21 #110
UTEP on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatUTEP OffJVST Def
Perf GradePerf #131 #58
SuccessSuc #135 #74
ExplosiveExp #2 #103
PPAPPA #130 #67
PowerPwr #128 #131
SP+SP+ #112 #113
Pts POPPO #95 #79
HavocHav #123 #42
UTEP Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffJVST Def
Run GameRun #96 #42
Run SuccessRSuc #129 #67
Run ExplRExp #5 #114
PPAExp #105 #76
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #29
Stuff RateStuff #124 #47
TackleTak -  #25
UTEP Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatUTEP OffJVST Def
Pass GamePass #127 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #135 #69
Pass ExplPExl #17 #73
PPAExp #130 #65
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #48
F7 HavocF7 #106 #47
DB HavocDB #128 #37
Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 81° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Jacksonville State 1.5 (46.5)
Jacksonville State won at UTEP this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat UTEP in 2023 (17-14)

  
JVST's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Creel13021162%1514947.2
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)6311256%731426.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)2961666165.673
Caden Creel182107575.973
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)5226345.144
Khristian Lando5120113.917
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deondre Johnson (Tr)30724624.177
Brock Rechsteiner36383510.656
Pearson Baldwin26302211.652
Cam Cook (Tr)3028609.554

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Sanders8312252
Walker O'Steen786361
Trevor Woods (Tr)641004
Caleb Nix (Tr)634003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Darrell Prater214400
Malcolm Jones515310
Isaac Walker (Tr)316331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Quon Fegans (Tr)362009
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Jaheim Jenkins (Tr)210005

UTEP's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear11721156%141813116.7
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashten Emory11956944.856
Skyler Locklear10339683.863
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)4622514.994
Kenny Odom135704.413
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wondame Davis Jr.25604624.275
Kenny Odom6258269.474
Eric Willis III27290210.743
Josh Schuchts21232311.064

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Davey (Tr)1148130
Jayden Wilson (Tr)928160
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Kadarion Johnson5510451
Elijah Baldwin236444
Ashaad Hall (Tr)244371
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Content586016
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114