Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -3.0 (59.0) (-175)  Open: -3.5 | 56.5
Georgia Southern 41 - Jacksonville State: 34

 
Gamecocks (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Jacksonville State -2   (SP+ JVST -5)
Projected Score: JVST: 32 - GASO: 30 (61)
GASO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
JVST Travel: 250 miles, 1 hrs behind
Eagles (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (41 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Jacksonville State at UCF+16.553.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+6.050.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/13 Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern+3.059.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Jacksonville State vs Murray State-10.5
Sat 9/27 Jacksonville State at Southern Miss+11
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-3
Wed 10/15 Jacksonville State vs Delaware+2
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee-6.5
Sat 11/8 Jacksonville State at UTEP+8.5
Sat 11/15 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State-8.5
Sat 11/22 Jacksonville State vs Florida International+8
Sat 11/29 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia Southern at Fresno State+2.554.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Georgia Southern at USC+29.061.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 9/13 Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State-3.059.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/20 Georgia Southern vs Maine-5.5
Sat 9/27 Georgia Southern at James Madison+24
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss+10.5
Sat 10/18 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State-5
Sat 10/25 Georgia Southern at Arkansas State+5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 Georgia Southern at App State+10.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina+1.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia Southern at Marshall+7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#83 (.16)40% (97)2645% (61)3.17 (46)24130% (129)1304 (67)#119 (.29)42% (84)27.341% (84)43% (95)2.22 (20)28.30.71.3
GASO#125 ()36% (117)2543% (81)3.76 (12)14833% (116)1953.89 (74)#135 (.54)64% (136)4571% (136)59% (135)5.17 (125)4011.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense3262240%40.7193702411305.666%34%45%30%11%.16
GASO Defense3453464.4%5.171.7 - - - - - 54%44%71%59%8%.54
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense327.32942.3%2.221.3 - - - - - 51%49%41%43%17%.29
GASO Offense3254136.2%3.891213431481954.636%62%43%33%15%

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State329:3919.342%67%3.728.30.71.342029
Georgia Southern327:052141%67%3.74011.740.3124
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense366% (7)45% (61)43240.75.68 (26).28 (34)3.17 (46)64% (99)5% (14)1.36 (14)
GASO Defense354% (101)71% (136) - - - - .48 (136)4.49 (136)89% (119)5% (132)0.99 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense351% (82)41% (84) - - - - .08 (74)2.67 (56)75% (80)11% (52)1.26 (120)
GASO Offense336% (132)43% (81)32148.34.63 (95).11 (82)3.76 (12)100% (1)8% (58)0.64 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense334% (130)30% (129)1322.3129.75.8101 (123)2 (60)-.08 (131)1.2 (119)32% (91)29% (90).23 (96)5% (76)1.8 (97)
GASO Defense344% (27)59% (135) - - - - - - 3 (28).8 (134)1.7 (111)17% (136)57% (136).79 (132)3% (116)1.6 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense349% (64)43% (95) - - - - - - 1 (87).52 (124)2 (131)33% (71)38% (121).63 (125)6% (70)2.2 (105)
GASO Offense362% (7)33% (116)1932.3194.7610.36 (34)2 (60)-.03 (130)1.6 (41)36% (119)24% (114).22 (97)7% (102)2.1 (58)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -17.65   Georgia Southern: -15.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -8.6   Georgia Southern: -13.4




Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -15.32 #136
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 32
Georgia Southern 30


Total Points: 61

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Georgia Southern41Jacksonville State34Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -3.0Georgia Southern59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Southern111 Overs
Jacksonville State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#122) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Option Offense 66%, Pass: 34%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Jacksonville State has won 1 straight
Jacksonville State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Jacksonville State Notes
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
(8/1) This looks like a truly bad season coming
(7/11) Kelly has years of SEC exp. OC Trickett meh
(7/11) Transition year for CUSA champs, rough one
(7/11) Why Pass Heavy Off now? Had good thing
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds

Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Jacksonville State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Jacksonville State commits very few Penalties (#16)

Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State pass game is really bad (#129)
Jacksonville State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#134)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGASOJVST
OverallOver#95#77
OffenseOff#58#65
DefenseDef#108#91
Special TeamsST#56#58
PassingPass#54#67
RushingRush#51#42
Run BlockRBLK#41#31
Pass BlockPBLK#23#78
Route RunningWR Rt#89#102
TacklingTkl#101#63
Run DefenseR Def#113#92
Pass Rush DefPRush#111#46
Coverage DefCov#64#101

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia Southern -3.0 (59.0)
Georgia Southern won vs Jacksonville State this year (41-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | GASO
Depth Chart: JVST | GASO
Rosters: JVST | GASO
(#136) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -15.32 #136
Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129
Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 64%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 71%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia Southern has lost 2 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia Southern Notes
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good

Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern is Undefeated at Home
Georgia Southern is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Georgia Southern has a top Offensive Line (#12)
Georgia Southern commits very few Penalties (#16)
Georgia Southern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern offense is really bad (#117)
Georgia Southern pass game is really bad (#116)
Georgia Southern Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia Southern Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Georgia Southern does not Sack the QB (#130)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)
Georgia Southern Does Not Stuff Runs (#135)
Georgia Southern has a bad defensive line (#136)
Georgia Southern has a bad red zone defense (#125)


  
Jacksonville State's OC Clint Trickett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)376557%369125.7
Cade Backe11100%2002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)6739025.831
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)3516534.744
Andrew Paul139227.142
Caden Creel53006.014
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Rechsteiner8102112.856
Caleb Coombs (Tr)108508.516
Deondre Johnson (Tr)465016.326
Pearson Baldwin65609.332

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevor Woods (Tr)210000
Travis Franklin Jr.130001
Walker O'Steen131000
Tyrin Taylor (Tr)120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo102220
Gharin Stansbury41101
Tae Floyd11100
Chase Alexander52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Nix (Tr)100002
Corbet Mims00001
Gharin Stansbury41101

Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French528760%528526.1
Turner Helton (Tr)4944%24002.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
OJ Arnold3321426.541
David Mbadinga238503.711
Jamarian Samuel772010.336
JC French204612.310
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Camden Brown (Tr)9163418.132
Dalen Cobb15154110.323
Marcus Sanders Jr.784012.018
Josh Dallas86808.517

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tyson (Tr)301010
Brendan Harrington (Tr)190000
Jusfin Meyers170001
Ayden Jackson140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Collier81100
Brandon Tyson (Tr)301010
Phillip Gladney20000
Antavious Murphy20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorrian Smith41002
Jaquari Brown61002
Jusfin Meyers170001