Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern

Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern - 2025 Matchup Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -3.0 (59.0) (-175) Open: -3.5 | 56.5
Georgia Southern 41 - Jacksonville State: 34

Gamecocks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)

Our Line: Jacksonville State -1.5 (SP+ JVST -6)
Projected Score: JVST: 29 - GASO: 27 (56)
GASO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
JVST Travel: 250 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Jacksonville State at UCF	+16.5	53.5	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+6.0	50.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern	+3.0	59.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/20	Jacksonville State vs Murray State	-35.5	60.5	W 45 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/27	Jacksonville State at Southern Miss	+4.5	55.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston	-7.0	53.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Wed 10/15	Jacksonville State vs Delaware	+3.0	55.5	W 38 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	-4.5	54.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/8	Jacksonville State at UTEP	-1.5	46.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State	+3.5	56.5	W 35 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Jacksonville State at Florida International	+2.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/29	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+1.5	56.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 12/5	Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State	+3.0	62.5	L 15 - 19	U	N
Tue 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Troy	-3.0	47.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia Southern at Fresno State	+2.5	54.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia Southern at USC	+29.0	61.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State	-3.0	59.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-22.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+14.5	54.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss	+3.0	59.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-6.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-1.5	59.5	L 24 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	Georgia Southern at App State	+4.5	62.5	W 25 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	+10.0	62.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/29	Georgia Southern at Marshall	+10.5	61.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Mon 12/29	Georgia Southern vs App State	-10.0	58.5	W 29 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#54 (.19)	44% (51)	28.1	47% (34)	3.15 (32)	248	39% (98)	162	3.73 (65)	#67 (.16)	42% (74)	25.2	42% (67)	42% (69)	3.78 (79)	56.3	0.9	1.7
GASO	#39 (.21)	45% (41)	27.9	46% (43)	3.2 (22)	137	45% (36)	234	4.01 (40)	#133 (.3)	49% (133)	32.3	51% (134)	47% (125)	4.45 (130)	47.3	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)		49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)		44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	14	28.1	24	43.9%	3.73	0.9	21	409	248	162	5.4	63%	35%	47%	39%	14%	.19
GASO Defense	13	32.3	33	49.1%	4.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	51%	47%	15%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	14	25.2	29.2	42.1%	3.78	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	42%	42%	17%	.16
GASO Offense	13	27.9	36.2	45%	4.01	0.9	20	371	137	234	4.2	49%	49%	46%	45%	14%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	14	30:26	21.2	39%	53%	5.7	56.3	0.9	1.7	5.4	2	1	28.6
Georgia Southern	13	27:09	20.4	45%	53%	5	47.3	0.9	1.2	4.3	0.9	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	14	63% (8)	47% (34)	46.2	247.6	5.4	32 (9)	.21 (26)	3.15 (32)	68% (95)	10% (77)	1.1 (17)
GASO Defense	13	51% (86)	51% (134)	-	-	-	-	.28 (135)	3.4 (134)	74% (88)	9% (83)	1.07 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	14	51% (83)	42% (67)	-	-	-	-	.11 (76)	2.71 (29)	79% (119)	10% (47)	1.06 (114)
GASO Offense	13	49% (75)	46% (43)	32.5	136.7	4.2	16 (60)	.16 (45)	3.2 (22)	73% (60)	9% (54)	0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	14	35% (129)	39% (98)	13.9	23.4	161.8	6.9	11.6	13 (128)	6 (34)	.19 (102)	1.5 (79)	29% (27)	31% (59)	.31 (66)	4% (21)	2 (75)
GASO Defense	13	47% (55)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (75)	.37 (117)	1.5 (54)	29% (105)	37% (133)	.36 (101)	6% (73)	1.8 (20)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	14	47% (45)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (100)	.24 (65)	1.6 (73)	33% (46)	30% (80)	.32 (80)	7% (37)	2.1 (86)
GASO Offense	13	49% (66)	45% (36)	19.6	31.1	233.8	7.5	11.9	25 (33)	8 (88)	.3 (48)	1.6 (64)	29% (38)	36% (20)	.46 (17)	5% (30)	2.1 (59)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -10.41 #111
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 9.79 #63
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 20.20 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #88
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #56
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -10.41 Georgia Southern: -9.085

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -5.1 Georgia Southern: -11.3

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -9.085 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 11.75 #53
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 23.62 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #111
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 29
Georgia Southern 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 23
Georgia Southern 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 30
Jacksonville State 29

Total Points: 59

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Georgia Southern	41	Jacksonville State	34	Georgia Southern -3.0	Georgia Southern	59.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	1	1	1 Overs
Jacksonville State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#111) JVST at (#118) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JVST	GASO
Power RatePwr	#111	#118
SP+SP+	#88	#111
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#112
OffenseOff	#86	#61
DefenseDef	#58	#134
Spec TeamsST	#82	#115
TalentTal	#128	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#65

Jacksonville State Notes(12/5) Creel is a RB taking snaps. Just an awful QB
(12/3) Have significant injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat WKU to finish 7-1 in conf, play Kenn St in title game
(10/16) HC Kelly has been so much better than I thought
(10/16) RB Cam Cook a beast and criminally underrated
(10/14) QB1 now Caden Creel, Wimsatt (benched) now QB2
(10/10) OG'd SHSU 500-280, had 370 rush, needed GW FG
(10/8) Fr QB Caden Creel replaced Wimsatt in S Miss game
(10/8) QB1 Competition now, Fr Creel mobile but TO issues
(9/22) Off is 4th in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/11) RB Cam Cook (Tr TCU) has been great so far
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
Jacksonville State Injury Report

Georgia Southern Notes(10/22) DL is statistically bottom 5 in CFB, line yds & havoc
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off Avg
(10/9) French 3 INT, team 12 flags, comeback short vs USM
(8/25) Will stay out West between @ Fresno & USC
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
Georgia Southern Injury Report

Jacksonville State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#86	#134
SuccessSuc	#51	#133
ExplosiveExp	#65	#82
PPAPPA	#54	#133
PowerPwr	#63	#135
SP+SP+	#56	#131
Pts POPPO	#65	#130
HavocHav	#48	#84

Jacksonville State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#39	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#34	#134
Run ExplRExp	#17	#116
PPAExp	#26	#135
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	#32	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#61	#116
TackleTak	-	#79

Jacksonville State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#98	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#79	#54
PPAExp	#102	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#56	#133
F7 HavocF7	#77	#83
DB HavocDB	#21	#73

Georgia Southern on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	JVST Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#58
SuccessSuc	#41	#74
ExplosiveExp	#67	#103
PPAPPA	#39	#67
PowerPwr	#53	#131
SP+SP+	#66	#113
Pts POPPO	#40	#79
HavocHav	#44	#42

Georgia Southern Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	#71	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#43	#67
Run ExplRExp	#87	#114
PPAExp	#45	#76
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	#29
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#47
TackleTak	-	#25

Georgia Southern Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#73
PPAExp	#48	#65
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#48
F7 HavocF7	#54	#47
DB HavocDB	#30	#37

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia Southern -3.0 (59.0)
Georgia Southern won vs Jacksonville State this year (41-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

JVST's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Creel	130	211	62%	1514	9	4	7.2
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	63	112	56%	731	4	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook (Tr)	296	1666	16	5.6	73
Caden Creel	182	1075	7	5.9	73
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	52	263	4	5.1	44
Khristian Lando	51	201	1	3.9	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deondre Johnson (Tr)	30	724	6	24.1	77
Brock Rechsteiner	36	383	5	10.6	56
Pearson Baldwin	26	302	2	11.6	52
Cam Cook (Tr)	30	286	0	9.5	54

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Sanders	83	12	2	5	2
Walker O'Steen	78	6	3	6	1
Trevor Woods (Tr)	64	1	0	0	4
Caleb Nix (Tr)	63	4	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Darrell Prater	21	4	4	0	0
Malcolm Jones	51	5	3	1	0
Isaac Walker (Tr)	31	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Quon Fegans (Tr)	36	2	0	0	9
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Jaheim Jenkins (Tr)	21	0	0	0	5

GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	231	365	63%	2753	19	8	7.5
Turner Helton (Tr)	14	26	54%	74	1	0	2.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
OJ Arnold	133	885	5	6.7	62
JC French	121	277	6	2.3	21
David Mbadinga	49	196	1	4.0	16
Taeo Todd	26	102	0	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camden Brown (Tr)	63	1049	14	16.7	73
Marcus Sanders Jr.	45	725	4	16.1	52
Dalen Cobb	52	471	3	9.1	43
OJ Arnold	17	201	1	11.8	41

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	1	5
Brandon Tyson (Tr)	79	2	6	2
Brendan Harrington (Tr)	77	2	0	3
Ayden Jackson	71	4	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Stroud	31	15	7	6	2
Caleb Moore (Tr)	21	3	2	2	1
CJ Allen	16	2	1	1	0
Devin Collier	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tracy Hill Jr.	39	4	1	0	6
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	0	1	5
Elijah McDowell	8	0	0	0	4