Troy at Clemson - 2025 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Clemson Tigers(#8)Clemson logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -31.0 (51.5) (-20000)  Open: -32.0 | 51.5
Clemson 27 - Troy: 16

 
Trojans (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (16 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
CLEM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Clemson -25.5   (SP+ CLEM -19)

Projected Score: TROY: 10 - CLEM: 36 (46)
CLEM Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
TROY Travel: 268 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 19 - 19 (19 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+6.042.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+8
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-10.5
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5.5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-16
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU-3.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-31.051.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-2.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-17.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-6
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-13
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State+1.5
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville+3
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-39.5
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina-0.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#101 (.1)38% (110)20.342% (84)3.09 (60)13033% (116)1463.09 (115)#57 (.11)42% (82)2544% (94)40% (67)5.08 (123)72.31.31.3
CLEM#100 (.11)42% (84)19.346% (58)3.02 (65)10838% (99)2113.4 (101)#55 (.1)41% (78)1941% (80)41% (78)2.22 (20)37.31.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense320.31637.5%3.091.3172761301463.949%51%42%33%16%.1
CLEM Defense31916.540.8%2.221.7 - - - - - 50%49%41%41%14%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense3252742%5.081.3 - - - - - 53%47%44%40%17%.11
CLEM Offense319.318.542%3.41.7163191082113.848%52%46%38%14%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy328:571742%50%7.372.31.31.362.7126.3
Clemson325:5415.741%50%3.737.31.71.74.72029.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense349% (80)42% (84)331303.92 (109).12 (75)3.09 (60)77% (45)8% (63)0.98 (61)
CLEM Defense350% (71)41% (80) - - - - .01 (49)2.51 (44)76% (96)9% (85)0.89 (56)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense353% (96)44% (94) - - - - .04 (62)3.33 (125)77% (98)11% (48)0.81 (36)
CLEM Offense348% (86)46% (58)28.7108.33.84 (79).1 (85)3.02 (65)77% (45)6% (16)0.72 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense351% (57)33% (116)1529146.35.19.84 (72)4 (121).08 (119)1.6 (56)36% (121)24% (113).26 (86)8% (128)2.2 (40)
CLEM Defense349% (67)41% (78) - - - - - - 3 (28).19 (60)1.5 (69)34% (58)34% (100).31 (80)6% (76)1.9 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense347% (44)40% (67) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (58)1.6 (85)30% (105)27% (53).17 (49)5% (85)2.2 (99)
CLEM Offense352% (50)38% (99)17.329.32117.212.23 (90)3 (92).12 (112)1.6 (51)26% (33)26% (103).17 (106)8% (122)1.9 (80)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.70   Clemson: 18.365

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -7.7   Clemson: 11.4




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 18.365 #29
Clemson's Offense Rating: 17.75 #39
Clemson's Defense Rating: -2.58 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #38
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Troy Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 36
Troy 10


Total Points: 46

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Clemson27Troy16ClemsonClemson -31.0Troy51.5Under
201609/10Clemson30Troy24ClemsonClemson -34Troy62.0Under
201109/03Clemson43Troy19Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson300 Overs
Troy022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#97) Troy Info
Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good

Troy Highlights

Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCLEMTROY
OverallOver#54#85
OffenseOff#72#79
DefenseDef#45#85
Special TeamsST#36#84
PassingPass#39#92
RushingRush#76#66
Run BlockRBLK#72#44
Pass BlockPBLK#75#48
Route RunningWR Rt#79#93
TacklingTkl#22#96
Run DefenseR Def#24#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#77
Coverage DefCov#70#71

Rematch from Week 2
Clemson -31.0 (51.5)
Clemson won vs Troy this year (27-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | CLEM
Depth Chart: TROY | CLEM
Rosters: TROY | CLEM
(#29) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 18.365 #29
Offense Rating: 17.75 #39
Defense Rating: -2.58 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #30
Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Clemson has lost 1 straight
Clemson has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Clemson Notes
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
(6/4) Can OC Riley & OL Matt Luke fix the run game?
(6/4) OL has #2 most exp in P4, OL coach Luke year 2
(5/23) CB duo of Terrelll & Hampton a top unit in CFB
(4/7) DL Parker, Woods PFF top 10, +Heldt (Pur) CFB best
(4/7) Clemson clear ACC #1, nat'l title contender
(4/5) RB biggest ? Sr WR Randall moved to RB TY
(4/5) HC Swinney one of the best. Portaling now
(4/4) OT Blake Miller a top OT via PFF

Clemson Highlights
Clemson defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Clemson Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#29)
Clemson commits very few Penalties (#16)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson has a really bad Offense
Clemson has a really bad Offense at Home
Clemson has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Clemson Can Not Run the Ball (#118)
Clemson offense is not Explosive (#101)
Clemson offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)


  
Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder355860%374436.4
Tucker Kilcrease102935%65012.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows4426916.147
Jordan Lovett208304.215
Will Crowder175313.116
DJ Epps21206.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tray Taylor (Tr)597219.444
Roman Mothershed109019.027
Ethan Conner773110.424
Rara Thomas (Tr)54709.419

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer262100
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith93220
Luis Medina62200
Jah-Mal Williams72210
Devin Lafayette231102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik528859%633337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Randall4120835.130
Cade Klubnik305912.013
Tyler Brown333011.013
Gideon Davidson31103.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryant Wesco Jr.18310317.273
Tyler Brown109509.523
T.J. Moore772010.326
Josh Sapp238019.031

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronan Hanafin281002
Wade Woodaz252000
Sammy Brown193110
Avieon Terrell163101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt (Tr)125200
Sammy Brown193110
Avieon Terrell163101
T.J. Parker101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronan Hanafin281002
Ashton Hampton70002
Jaheim Lawson41001