Troy at Clemson - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -31.0 (51.5) (-20000) Open: -32.0 | 51.5
Clemson 27 - Troy: 16

Trojans (8 - 6) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Temp: 90.7° (48% Hum)
CLEM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Clemson -21 (SP+ CLEM -13)
Projected Score: TROY: 15 - CLEM: 36 (51)
CLEM Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
TROY Travel: 268 miles, 1 hrs behind

Tigers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Troy vs Nicholls	-16.5	46.5	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Troy at Clemson	+31.0	51.5	L 16 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Troy vs Memphis	+4.5	51.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/20	Troy at Buffalo	+5.5	43.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Troy vs South Alabama	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Troy at Texas State	+7.5	53.5	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Troy at UL Monroe	-4.5	45.5	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Troy vs Louisiana	-7.0	47.5	W 35 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Troy vs Arkansas State	-7.5	52.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13	Troy at Old Dominion	+9.5	53.5	L 0 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/22	Troy vs Georgia State	-9.5	51.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Troy at Southern Miss	+6.5	50.5	W 28 - 18	U	Y
Fri 12/5	Troy at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Tue 12/16	Troy vs Jacksonville State	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Clemson's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Clemson vs LSU	-3.5	57.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Clemson vs Troy	-31.0	51.5	W 27 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/13	Clemson at Georgia Tech	-2.5	49.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/20	Clemson vs Syracuse	-17.5	53.5	L 21 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Clemson at North Carolina	-15.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Clemson at Boston College	-14.0	54.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Clemson vs SMU	-3.5	49.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Clemson vs Duke	-4.5	55.5	L 45 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/8	Clemson vs Florida State	-1.5	56.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/14	Clemson at Louisville	+1.5	50.5	W 20 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Clemson vs Furman	-41.5	55.5	W 45 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/29	Clemson at South Carolina	+2.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/27	Clemson vs Penn State	-2.5	47.5	L 10 - 22	U	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#111 (.1)	38% (114)	23.5	39% (113)	2.82 (91)	98	38% (105)	209	3.67 (74)	#54 (.12)	40% (53)	23.9	41% (60)	39% (42)	3.17 (31)	52.1	1.3	1.3
CLEM	#57 (.19)	42% (66)	27.2	43% (81)	2.99 (59)	121	43% (56)	253	3.8 (59)	#47 (.11)	37% (20)	20.5	40% (42)	36% (16)	2.68 (9)	41.7	1.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	23.5	23.4	38.2%	3.67	1.3	17	307	98	209	2.8	47%	51%	39%	38%	20%	.1
CLEM Defense	13	20.5	24	37.1%	2.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	40%	36%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	23.9	25.9	40%	3.17	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	41%	39%	16%	.12
CLEM Offense	13	27.2	28	42.4%	3.8	1.2	20	374	121	253	4.1	43%	56%	43%	43%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	29:55	17.3	39%	47%	5.6	52.1	1.3	1.3	6.1	2.6	3	31
Clemson	13	28:57	19.8	34%	58%	4.3	41.7	1.2	1.3	6.1	2.5	1	30.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	47% (85)	39% (113)	35.1	98	2.8	17 (88)	.02 (117)	2.82 (91)	78% (26)	12% (126)	0.87 (114)
CLEM Defense	13	41% (2)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.04 (33)	2.71 (30)	83% (127)	11% (20)	0.95 (65)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	54% (115)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	.1 (67)	3.01 (96)	66% (32)	11% (39)	0.95 (63)
CLEM Offense	13	43% (120)	43% (81)	29.6	121.2	4.1	19 (99)	.1 (76)	2.99 (59)	72% (71)	9% (49)	0.91 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	51% (55)	38% (105)	17.9	30.9	209.2	6.8	11.7	20 (42)	12 (88)	.17 (110)	1.7 (25)	34% (114)	28% (97)	.28 (77)	7% (116)	2.2 (23)
CLEM Defense	13	57% (136)	36% (16)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.19 (49)	1.7 (119)	37% (7)	28% (57)	.24 (54)	8% (10)	2 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	44% (20)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (75)	.17 (39)	1.7 (120)	34% (29)	28% (43)	.23 (45)	6% (76)	2.1 (102)
CLEM Offense	13	56% (19)	43% (56)	22.1	33.4	252.9	7.6	11.5	22 (30)	7 (88)	.28 (58)	1.5 (97)	29% (28)	28% (89)	.21 (101)	6% (84)	1.8 (119)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.83 #93
Troy's Offense Rating: 2.52 #111
Troy's Defense Rating: 9.35 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #82
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.83 Clemson: 15.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -3.2 Clemson: 9.7

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 15.895 #27
Clemson's Offense Rating: 15.65 #37
Clemson's Defense Rating: -1.44 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #32
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #59
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 36
Troy 15

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Clemson 27
Troy 26

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Clemson 27
Troy 23

Total Points: 50

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Clemson	27	Troy	16	Clemson -31.0	Troy	51.5	Under
2016	09/10	Clemson	30	Troy	24	Clemson -34	Troy	62.0	Under
2011	09/03	Clemson	43	Troy	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	3	0	0 Overs
Troy	0	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#93) TROY at (#27) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	CLEM
Power RatePwr	#93	#27
SP+SP+	#83	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#98	#46
OffenseOff	#96	#55
DefenseDef	#81	#34
Spec TeamsST	#67	#31
TalentTal	#100	#12
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#12

Troy Notes(11/29) Two bounce back wins to get to the SBC Title game
(11/29) Parker & staff incredible job in their 2nd season
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/11) Incredible comeback vs Tx St. 3 game win streak
(10/11) 3 straight wins as underdogs, real SBC threat?
(10/11) QB Kilcrease 415 yds, doubled season total vs Tx St
(9/23) DT Luis Medina huge game vs Buffalo
(9/20) Huge comeback W @ Buf, Def played great
(9/20) BU QB Kilcrease not good, QB3 Ale neither
(9/17) QB Crowder out multiple weeks (shoulder)
(8/30) QB Crowder meh, Run Off good vs Nicholls
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
Troy Injury Report

Clemson Notes(11/2) Things are getting toxic with HC Swinney
(11/2) 1-4 at home going into FSU game. Beat Troy
(11/2) Off great, Def torched, ST's cost bad in Duke L
(10/21) Top WR Bryant Wesco out for season (back inj)
(10/19) 5 straight losses at home vs FBS after SMU loss
(10/19) QB Vizzina was good, but Run Off putrid in SMU L
(10/16) QB Klubnik apparently injured, may miss SMU
(9/20) Def torched by Cuse. Klubnik can't carry this Off
(9/18) Get LT Leigh, WR Williams, S Barnes back (Cuse)
(9/15) Off just bad, Klubnick asked to carry too much
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
Clemson Injury Report

Troy on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	CLEM Def
Perf GradePerf	#96	#34
SuccessSuc	#114	#20
ExplosiveExp	#39	#122
PPAPPA	#111	#47
PowerPwr	#111	#26
SP+SP+	#82	#26
Pts POPPO	#74	#9
HavocHav	#128	#10

Troy Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#129	#40
Run SuccessRSuc	#113	#42
Run ExplRExp	#114	#65
PPAExp	#117	#33
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#91	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#126	#22
TackleTak	-	#9

Troy Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#76	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	#105	#16
Pass ExplPExl	#25	#119
PPAExp	#110	#49
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#108	#40
F7 HavocF7	#126	#20
DB HavocDB	#116	#10

Clemson on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	TROY Def
Perf GradePerf	#55	#81
SuccessSuc	#66	#53
ExplosiveExp	#72	#86
PPAPPA	#57	#54
PowerPwr	#37	#77
SP+SP+	#59	#81
Pts POPPO	#59	#31
HavocHav	#60	#55

Clemson Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#107	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	#81	#60
Run ExplRExp	#89	#63
PPAExp	#76	#67
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#51	#59
TackleTak	-	#113

Clemson Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#97	#120
PPAExp	#58	#39
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#87	#75
F7 HavocF7	#49	#39
DB HavocDB	#84	#76

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Clemson -31.0 (51.5)
Clemson won vs Troy this year (27-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tucker Kilcrease	130	222	59%	1537	9	6	6.9
Will Crowder	115	196	59%	1327	11	5	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tae Meadows	159	695	6	4.4	47
Jordan Lovett	89	339	2	3.8	22
Tucker Kilcrease	116	126	5	1.1	34
Jarris Williams	19	57	1	3.0	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rara Thomas (Tr)	39	629	5	16.1	75
Tray Taylor (Tr)	31	513	3	16.5	60
DJ Epps	46	498	5	10.8	48
Ethan Conner	31	397	3	12.8	39

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Dontae Wright (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Stringer	123	12	3	1	4
Devin Lafayette	113	3	1	0	5
Justin Powe	75	1	0	0	1
Jaquez White	67	4	1	1	11

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donnie Smith	44	14	11	7	2
Jah-Mal Williams	46	6	5	4	3
Jamel Fils-Aime	24	4	3	1	0
Elijah Davis (Tr)	44	6	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaquez White	67	4	1	1	11
Devin Lafayette	113	3	1	0	5
Kaleno Levine (Tr)	45	4	0	0	5

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	257	392	66%	2943	16	6	7.5
Christopher Vizzina	45	71	63%	406	4	1	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Adam Randall	168	814	10	4.8	46
Gideon Davidson	60	260	0	4.3	28
Chris Denson	7	108	1	15.4	50
Cade Klubnik	83	94	4	1.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
T.J. Moore	52	837	4	16.1	75
Antonio Williams	55	604	4	11.0	64
Bryant Wesco Jr.	31	537	6	17.3	73
Adam Randall	36	254	3	7.1	35

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Tom Allen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sammy Brown	105	14	6	6	5
Wade Woodaz	70	7	1	2	3
Ronan Hanafin	64	2	0	0	4
Avieon Terrell	48	5	3	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Heldt (Tr)	46	15	6	10	2
Sammy Brown	105	14	6	6	5
T.J. Parker	37	9	5	7	1
Jaheim Lawson	19	7	4	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avieon Terrell	48	5	3	0	8
Ashton Hampton	45	3	1	0	8
Sammy Brown	105	14	6	6	5