Troy at Clemson - 2025 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at Clemson Tigers  Clemson logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -31.0 (51.5) (-20000)  Open: -32.0 | 51.5
Clemson 27 - Troy: 16

 
Trojans (8 - 6) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
CLEM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Clemson -20  (SP+ CLEM -14)

Projected Score: TROY: 15 - CLEM: 35 (51)
CLEM Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
TROY Travel: 268 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+5.543.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama+2.546.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+7.553.5W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-4.545.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-7.047.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-7.552.5L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9.553.5L 0 - 33UN
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-9.551.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+6.550.5W 28 - 18UY
Fri 12/5 Troy at James Madison+24.547.5L 14 - 31UY
Tue 12/16 Troy vs Jacksonville State+3.047.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU-3.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-31.051.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-2.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-17.553.5L 21 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-15.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-14.054.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-3.549.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-4.555.5L 45 - 46ON
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State-1.556.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville+1.550.5W 20 - 19UY
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-41.555.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina+2.545.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 12/27 Clemson vs Penn State-2.547.5L 10 - 22UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)23.542% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)23.945% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)27.250% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)20.543% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1223.523.444.3%4.431.3203701572134.454%46%42%48%16%.22
CLEM Defense1420.52440.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1223.925.943.3%3.770.7 - - - - - 53%47%45%42%17%.18
CLEM Offense1427.22846.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1230:1720.350%47%6.758.81.30.76.31.5227
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1254% (43)42% (94)36.1157.34.417 (84).11 (82)2.88 (95)76% (49)11% (89)0.95 (77)
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1253% (89)45% (87) - - - - .12 (68)2.99 (64)71% (52)11% (40)0.91 (36)
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1246% (92)48% (15)17.828.3213.17.51221 (51)9 (48).36 (25)1.5 (81)31% (64)35% (32).41 (35)5% (50)1.9 (109)
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1247% (48)42% (76) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (79)1.6 (76)29% (107)30% (71).28 (58)5% (91)2 (47)
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.41  #85
Troy's Offense Rating: 7.69  #103
Troy's Defense Rating: 14.10  #72
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8  #87
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #95
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #84

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.41   Clemson: 14.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -4.8   Clemson: 9.5




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 14.54  #24
Clemson's Offense Rating: 17.99  #38
Clemson's Defense Rating: 3.41  #16
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5  #34
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #65
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 35
Troy 15


Projected Total Points: 51
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Clemson27Troy16Clemson -31.0Troy51.5Under
201609/10Clemson30Troy24Clemson -34Troy62.0Under
201109/03Clemson43Troy19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson300 Overs
Troy022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#85) TROY at (#24) CLEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYCLEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #85 #24
SP+SP+ #87 #34
Perf GradeGrade #107 #50
OffenseOff #105 #65
DefenseDef #96 #33
Spec TeamsST #63 #30
TalentTal #100 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #12
Troy Notes
(11/29) Two bounce back wins to get to the SBC Title game
(11/29) Parker & staff incredible job in their 2nd season
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/11) Incredible comeback vs Tx St. 3 game win streak
(10/11) 3 straight wins as underdogs, real SBC threat?
(10/11) QB Kilcrease 415 yds, doubled season total vs Tx St
(9/23) DT Luis Medina huge game vs Buffalo
(9/20) Huge comeback W @ Buf, Def played great
(9/20) BU QB Kilcrease not good, QB3 Ale neither
(9/17) QB Crowder out multiple weeks (shoulder)
(8/30) QB Crowder meh, Run Off good vs Nicholls
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
Troy Injury Report
Clemson Notes
(11/2) Things are getting toxic with HC Swinney
(11/2) 1-4 at home going into FSU game. Beat Troy
(11/2) Off great, Def torched, ST's cost bad in Duke L
(10/21) Top WR Bryant Wesco out for season (back inj)
(10/19) 5 straight losses at home vs FBS after SMU loss
(10/19) QB Vizzina was good, but Run Off putrid in SMU L
(10/16) QB Klubnik apparently injured, may miss SMU
(9/20) Def torched by Cuse. Klubnik can't carry this Off
(9/18) Get LT Leigh, WR Williams, S Barnes back (Cuse)
(9/15) Off just bad, Klubnick asked to carry too much
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
Clemson Injury Report
Troy on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffCLEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #105 #33
SuccessSuc #49 #48
ExplosiveExp #87 #106
PPAPPA #50 #52
PowerPwr #103 #16
SP+SP+ #95 #24
Pts POPPO #22 #48
HavocHav #75 #20
Troy Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #131 #35
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #68
Run ExplRExp #77 #119
PPAExp #82 #84
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #95 #54
Stuff RateStuff #93 #44
TackleTak -  #11
Troy Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #88 #62
Pass SuccessPSuc #15 #36
Pass ExplPExl #81 #60
PPAExp #25 #28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #39
F7 HavocF7 #89 #38
DB HavocDB #50 #20
Clemson on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatCLEM OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #96
SuccessSuc #24 #87
ExplosiveExp #70 #50
PPAPPA #21 #77
PowerPwr #38 #72
SP+SP+ #65 #84
Pts POPPO #29 #65
HavocHav #25 #60
Clemson Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #105 #83
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #87
Run ExplRExp #69 #36
PPAExp #19 #68
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #64
Stuff RateStuff #53 #80
TackleTak -  #101
Clemson Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatCLEM OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #29 #79
Pass SuccessPSuc #36 #76
Pass ExplPExl #79 #76
PPAExp #38 #79
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #90
F7 HavocF7 #40 #40
DB HavocDB #21 #91
Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Clemson -31.0 (51.5)
Clemson won vs Troy this year (27-16)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Troy last year (27-16)

  
TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Kilcrease13022259%1537966.9
Will Crowder11519659%13271156.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows15969564.447
Jordan Lovett8933923.822
Tucker Kilcrease11612651.134
Jarris Williams195713.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rara Thomas (Tr)39629516.175
Tray Taylor (Tr)31513316.560
DJ Epps46498510.848
Ethan Conner31397312.839

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Dontae Wright (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer12312314
Devin Lafayette1133105
Justin Powe751001
Jaquez White6741111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith44141172
Jah-Mal Williams466543
Jamel Fils-Aime244310
Elijah Davis (Tr)446320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquez White6741111
Kaleno Levine (Tr)454005
Devin Lafayette1133105

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik25739266%29431667.5
Christopher Vizzina457163%406415.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Randall168814104.846
Gideon Davidson6026004.328
Chris Denson7108115.450
Cade Klubnik839441.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
T.J. Moore52837416.175
Antonio Williams55604411.064
Bryant Wesco Jr.31537617.373
Adam Randall3625437.135

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Tom Allen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sammy Brown10714665
Wade Woodaz707123
Ronan Hanafin642004
Avieon Terrell485308
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt (Tr)46156102
Sammy Brown10714665
T.J. Parker379571
Jaheim Lawson197443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell485308
Ashton Hampton453108
Sammy Brown10714665