Nicholls at Troy - 2025 Matchup Preview
Nicholls logo Nicholls Colonels at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -16.5 (46.5) (-2500)  Open: -22.5 | 50.5
Troy 38 - Nicholls: 20

 
Colonels (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (20 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4.5   (SP+ TROY -8)
TROY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
Trojans (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (23 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Nicholls's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Nicholls at Troy+16.546.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Nicholls at Texas State+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nicholls's Schedule
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+6.042.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+8
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-10.5
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5.5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-16
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NICH0%200%000%000%380%0%0000
TROY#101 (.1)38% (110)20.342% (84)3.09 (60)13033% (116)1463.09 (115)#57 (.11)42% (82)2544% (94)40% (67)5.08 (123)72.31.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NICH Offense120200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TROY Defense3252442%5.081.3 - - - - - 53%47%44%40%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NICH Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TROY Offense320.322.537.5%3.091.3172761301463.949%51%42%33%16%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nicholls10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Troy328:571742%50%7.372.31.31.362.7126.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NICH Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TROY Defense353% (96)44% (94) - - - - .04 (62)3.33 (125)77% (98)11% (48)0.81 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NICH Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TROY Offense349% (80)42% (84)331303.92 (109).12 (75)3.09 (60)77% (45)8% (63)0.98 (61)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NICH Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TROY Defense347% (44)40% (67) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (58)1.6 (85)30% (105)27% (53).17 (49)5% (85)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NICH Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TROY Offense351% (57)33% (116)1529146.35.19.84 (72)4 (121).08 (119)1.6 (56)36% (121)24% (113).26 (86)8% (128)2.2 (40)

Nicholls's Power Ratings
Nicholls's Power Rating: #NR
Nicholls's Offense Rating: #NR
Nicholls's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Nicholls's 2025 Expected Record: -
Nicholls's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Nicholls's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Nicholls's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Nicholls:    Troy: -4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nicholls:    Troy: -7.7




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -4.7 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Nicholls Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Nicholls's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 30
Nicholls 23

Total Points: 53

Troy Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Troy38Nicholls20TroyTroy -16.5Troy46.5Over
200109/22Troy26Nicholls0Troy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy211 Overs
Nicholls000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Nicholls Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Nicholls Highlights

Nicholls Deficiencies
Nicholls has a really bad Offense
Nicholls Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTROYNICH
OverallOver#85—
OffenseOff#79—
DefenseDef#85—
Special TeamsST#84—
PassingPass#92—
RushingRush#66—
Run BlockRBLK#44—
Pass BlockPBLK#48—
Route RunningWR Rt#93—
TacklingTkl#96—
Run DefenseR Def#90—
Pass Rush DefPRush#77—
Coverage DefCov#71—

Rematch from Week 1
Troy -16.5 (46.5)
Troy won vs Nicholls this year (38-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NICH | TROY
Depth Chart: NICH | TROY
Rosters: NICH | TROY
(#97) Troy Info
Power Rating: -4.7 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good

Troy Highlights

Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)


  
Nicholls's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan538860%519325.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Poole133102.412
DK Kency51402.86
Scrappy Osby1404.04
Deuce Hogan12-410-3.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Everett Hunter569013.836
Solomon Lewis106006.013
Scrappy Osby96006.717
Jordan Smith (Tr)442010.512

View Nicholls's Full Roster
Nicholls's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Lee120000
Hayden Shaheen110000
Payton Tally80002
Jake Dalmado60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Lovelace51100
Ethan Lee120000
Hayden Shaheen110000
Payton Tally80002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Payton Tally80002
Ethan Lee120000
Hayden Shaheen110000

Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder355860%374436.4
Tucker Kilcrease102935%65012.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows4426916.147
Jordan Lovett208304.215
Will Crowder175313.116
DJ Epps21206.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tray Taylor (Tr)597219.444
Roman Mothershed109019.027
Ethan Conner773110.424
Rara Thomas (Tr)54709.419

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer262100
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith93220
Luis Medina62200
Jah-Mal Williams72210
Devin Lafayette231102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101