Nicholls at Troy - 2025 Matchup Preview
Nicholls logo Nicholls Colonels at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -16.5 (46.5) (-2500)  Open: -22.5 | 50.5
Troy 38 - Nicholls: 20

 
Colonels (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 37 (12 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ TROY -3)
TROY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
Trojans (8 - 6) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 5.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Nicholls's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Nicholls at Troy+16.546.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Nicholls at Texas State+32.557.0L 3 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nicholls's Schedule
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+5.543.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama+2.546.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+7.553.5W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-4.545.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-7.047.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-7.552.5L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9.553.5L 0 - 33UN
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-9.551.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+6.550.5W 28 - 18UY
Fri 12/5 Troy at James Madison+24.547.5L 14 - 31UY
Tue 12/16 Troy vs Jacksonville State+3.047.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NICH0%11.50%000%000%36.50%0%0000
TROY#111 (.1)38% (114)23.539% (113)2.82 (91)9838% (105)2093.67 (74)#54 (.12)40% (53)23.941% (60)39% (42)3.17 (31)52.11.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NICH Offense211.511.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TROY Defense1423.922.840%3.171.3 - - - - - 54%44%41%39%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NICH Defense236.536.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TROY Offense1423.525.338.2%3.671.317307982092.847%51%39%38%20%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nicholls20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Troy1429:5517.339%47%5.652.11.31.36.12.6331
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NICH Offense20%0%000000%0%0
TROY Defense1454% (115)41% (60) - - - - .1 (67)3.01 (96)66% (32)11% (39)0.95 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NICH Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TROY Offense1447% (85)39% (113)35.1982.817 (88).02 (117)2.82 (91)78% (26)12% (126)0.87 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NICH Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
TROY Defense1444% (20)39% (42) - - - - - - 10 (75).17 (39)1.7 (120)34% (29)28% (43).23 (45)6% (76)2.1 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NICH Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TROY Offense1451% (55)38% (105)17.930.9209.26.811.720 (42)12 (88).17 (110)1.7 (25)34% (114)28% (97).28 (77)7% (116)2.2 (23)

Nicholls's Power Ratings
Nicholls's Power Rating: NR
Nicholls's Offense Rating: NR
Nicholls's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nicholls's 2025 Expected Record: -
Nicholls's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Nicholls's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Nicholls's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nicholls:    Troy: -2.515

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nicholls:    Troy: -3.2




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -2.515  #93
Troy's Offense Rating: 2.52  #111
Troy's Defense Rating: 9.35  #77
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 5.4
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #83
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nicholls Scoring
Offense: 11.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.5
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Nicholls's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 34
Nicholls 19

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 39
Nicholls 19

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Troy 30
Nicholls 18

Total Points: 48
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Troy38Nicholls20Troy -16.5Troy46.5Over
200109/22Troy26Nicholls0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy211 Overs
Nicholls000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) NICH at (#93) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNICHTROY
Power RatePwrNR #93
SP+SP+NR #83
Perf GradeGradeNR #98
OffenseOffNR #96
DefenseDefNR #81
Spec TeamsSTNR #67
TalentTalNR #100
Blue ChipsBC%NR #65
Troy Notes
(11/29) Two bounce back wins to get to the SBC Title game
(11/29) Parker & staff incredible job in their 2nd season
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/11) Incredible comeback vs Tx St. 3 game win streak
(10/11) 3 straight wins as underdogs, real SBC threat?
(10/11) QB Kilcrease 415 yds, doubled season total vs Tx St
(9/23) DT Luis Medina huge game vs Buffalo
(9/20) Huge comeback W @ Buf, Def played great
(9/20) BU QB Kilcrease not good, QB3 Ale neither
(9/17) QB Crowder out multiple weeks (shoulder)
(8/30) QB Crowder meh, Run Off good vs Nicholls
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
Troy Injury Report
Nicholls on Offense
CategoryCat
NICH OffTROY Def
Perf GradePerfNR #81
SuccessSucNR #53
ExplosiveExpNR #86
PPAPPANR #54
PowerPwrNR #77
SP+SP+NR #81
Pts POPPONR #31
HavocHavNR #55
Nicholls Run Game
CategoryCat
NICH OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNR #70
Run SuccessRSucNR #60
Run ExplRExpNR #63
PPAExpNR #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #96
Stuff RateStuffNR #59
TackleTak -  #113
Nicholls Pass Game
CategoryCat
NICH OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNR #70
Pass SuccessPSucNR #42
Pass ExplPExlNR #120
PPAExpNR #39
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #75
F7 HavocF7NR #39
DB HavocDBNR #76
Troy on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTROY OffNICH Def
Perf GradePerf #96NR
SuccessSuc #114NR
ExplosiveExp #39NR
PPAPPA #111NR
PowerPwr #111NR
SP+SP+ #82NR
Pts POPPO #74NR
HavocHav #128NR
Troy Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TROY OffNICH Def
Run GameRun #129NR
Run SuccessRSuc #113NR
Run ExplRExp #114NR
PPAExp #117NR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLY #91NR
Stuff RateStuff #126NR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTROY OffNICH Def
Pass GamePass #76NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #105NR
Pass ExplPExl #25NR
PPAExp #110NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #108NR
F7 HavocF7 #126NR
DB HavocDB #116NR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

NICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Troy -16.5 (46.5)
Troy won vs Nicholls this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan12019861%1046455.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Warren Jr.137916.147
Jordan Poole133102.412
DK Kency71402.06
Damondrick Blackburn3602.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Scrappy Osby3629508.222
Everett Hunter24283311.836
Solomon Lewis1810605.915
Jordan Smith (Tr)442010.512

View Nicholls's Full Roster

NICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Lee190000
Hayden Shaheen170000
Ty Marsh131010
Laurence Sullivan Jr.130000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Lovelace91100
Ethan Lee190000
Hayden Shaheen170000
Ty Marsh131010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Payton Tally90012
Ethan Lee190000
Hayden Shaheen170000

TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Kilcrease13022259%1537966.9
Will Crowder11519659%13271156.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows15969564.447
Jordan Lovett8933923.822
Tucker Kilcrease11612651.134
Jarris Williams195713.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rara Thomas (Tr)39629516.175
Tray Taylor (Tr)31513316.560
DJ Epps46498510.848
Ethan Conner31397312.839

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Dontae Wright (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer12312314
Devin Lafayette1133105
Justin Powe751001
Jaquez White6741111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith44141172
Jah-Mal Williams466543
Jamel Fils-Aime244310
Elijah Davis (Tr)446320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquez White6741111
Devin Lafayette1133105
Kaleno Levine (Tr)454005