Troy at Old Dominion - 2025 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Thursday, November 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Foreman Field - Norfolk, VA  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (16 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
TROY coming off BYE
ODU coming off BYE
Our Line: Old Dominion -9   (SP+ ODU -4)

Projected Score: TROY: 22 - ODU: 31 (52)
ODU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 653 miles, 1 hrs behind
Monarchs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (54 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+6.042.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+8
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-10.5
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5.5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-16
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-4
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-15.5
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-10.5
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+6.5
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-11.5
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-17
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-14.5
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#101 (.1)38% (110)20.342% (84)3.09 (60)13033% (116)1463.09 (115)#57 (.11)42% (82)2544% (94)40% (67)5.08 (123)72.31.31.3
ODU#9 (.49)51% (29)37.751% (38)3.57 (23)24652% (27)2166.43 (1)#36 (.03)45% (107)19.755% (132)32% (32)2.84 (45)74.71.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense320.31637.5%3.091.3172761301463.949%51%42%33%16%.1
ODU Defense319.7645%2.842 - - - - - 57%43%55%32%21%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense3252742%5.081.3 - - - - - 53%47%44%40%17%.11
ODU Offense337.75450.7%6.431.7224622462167.653%46%51%52%13%.49

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy328:571742%50%7.372.31.31.362.7126.3
Old Dominion325:3721.738%100%7.774.71.7282.3026
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense349% (80)42% (84)331303.92 (109).12 (75)3.09 (60)77% (45)8% (63)0.98 (61)
ODU Defense357% (114)55% (132) - - - - .13 (97)3.26 (116)56% (26)13% (30)0.78 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense353% (96)44% (94) - - - - .04 (62)3.33 (125)77% (98)11% (48)0.81 (36)
ODU Offense353% (56)51% (38)32.3245.77.610 (10).42 (7)3.57 (23)71% (67)8% (62)1.42 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense351% (57)33% (116)1529146.35.19.84 (72)4 (121).08 (119)1.6 (56)36% (121)24% (113).26 (86)8% (128)2.2 (40)
ODU Defense343% (22)32% (32) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (14)1.2 (21)23% (131)31% (81).33 (87)8% (26)1.6 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense347% (44)40% (67) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (58)1.6 (85)30% (105)27% (53).17 (49)5% (85)2.2 (99)
ODU Offense346% (83)52% (27)16.324.3216.38.913.25 (54)3 (92).57 (16)1.6 (44)27% (39)44% (19).67 (21)5% (56)2.2 (37)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.70   Old Dominion: 1.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -7.7   Old Dominion: -3.5




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Troy Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 31
Troy 22


Total Points: 52

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 37.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion000 Overs
Troy000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#97) Troy Info
Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy has lost 8 straight
Troy has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good

Troy Highlights

Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatODUTROY
OverallOver#34#85
OffenseOff#23#79
DefenseDef#62#85
Special TeamsST#66#84
PassingPass#14#92
RushingRush#32#66
Run BlockRBLK#93#44
Pass BlockPBLK#34#48
Route RunningWR Rt#9#93
TacklingTkl#86#96
Run DefenseR Def#89#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#77
Coverage DefCov#17#71

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | ODU
Depth Chart: TROY | ODU
Rosters: TROY | ODU
(#75) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94
Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.43 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.84 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has lost 6 straight
Old Dominion has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Old Dominion Notes
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
(8/1) QB Joseph, like all ODU, must limit TOs
(5/23) ODU was 3-6 in 1 score games LY
(5/16) Best G5 LB core w/ Henderson back from inj?
(3/24) RB rebuild, Duke/Roche have exp. Little depth

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread
Old Dominion is Undefeated at Home
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is efficent (#29)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion has a top Offensive Line (#23)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion defense does not give up big plays (#4)
Old Dominion Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
Old Dominion Secondary is very good (#26)
Old Dominion defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Old Dominion Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Old Dominion has a bad defense (#107)
Old Dominion has a bad defensive line (#116)


  
Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder355860%374436.4
Tucker Kilcrease102935%65012.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows4426916.147
Jordan Lovett208304.215
Will Crowder175313.116
DJ Epps21206.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tray Taylor (Tr)597219.444
Roman Mothershed109019.027
Ethan Conner773110.424
Rara Thomas (Tr)54709.419

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer262100
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith93220
Luis Medina62200
Jah-Mal Williams72210
Devin Lafayette231102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph466868%629539.3
Quinn Henicle3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph29294410.178
Trequan Jones18264414.793
Maurki James237913.410
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)156804.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Cory Thomas11193117.538
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding10140214.044
Tre' Brown III10136113.645
TJ Lott454113.534

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly261011
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Jerome Carter200001
Jahleel Culbreath162110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Javen Gibson62210
Jahleel Culbreath162110
Cole Daniels72101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Botros Alisandro (Tr)160004
Zion Frink90003
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)161002