UTSA at Troy - 2022 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo   UTSA Roadrunners vs Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Friday, December 16th 2022 (3:00 PM EST)
Troy -2 (55.5) (100)  Open: -1.5 | 55.0
Troy 18 - UTSA: 12  (Duluth Trading Cure Bowl)

 
Roadrunners (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TROY -1)
Projected Score: UTSA: 26 - TROY: 28 (54)
TROY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UTSA Travel: 1075 miles, 1 hrs behind
Trojans (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UTSA vs Houston+3.561.5L 35 - 37OY
Sat 9/10 UTSA at Army-2.054.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/17 UTSA at Texas+13.057.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 UTSA vs Texas Southern-42.065.5W 52 - 24ON
Fri 9/30 UTSA at Middle Tennessee-4.564.0W 45 - 30OY
Sat 10/8 UTSA vs Western Kentucky-6.572.5W 31 - 28UN
Fri 10/14 UTSA at Florida International-33.064.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 10/22 UTSA vs North Texas-10.073.0W 31 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 UTSA at UAB-2.553.5W 44 - 38OY
Sat 11/12 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech-17.068.5W 51 - 7UY
Sat 11/19 UTSA at Rice-14.056.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 11/26 UTSA vs UTEP-16.556.5W 34 - 31ON
Fri 12/2 UTSA vs North Texas-8.570.0W 48 - 27OY
Fri 12/16 UTSA vs Troy+2.055.5L 12 - 18UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Troy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy at Ole Miss+21.556.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/10 Troy vs Alabama A&M-37.552.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/17 Troy at App State+14.052.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs Marshall+3.051.5W 16 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Western Kentucky+5.055.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Troy vs Southern Miss-7.044.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Texas State-16.547.0W 17 - 14UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama+3.047.0W 10 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy at Louisiana-3.542.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/12 Troy vs Army-8.545.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 11/19 Troy vs UL Monroe-15.048.5W 34 - 16OY
Sat 11/26 Troy at Arkansas State-13.543.5W 48 - 19OY
Sat 12/3 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-7.049.0W 45 - 26OY
Fri 12/16 Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.2745%35.543%3.2118448%2564.37.2143%28.842%44%3.950.90.92.2
TROY.1239%23.537%2.6510041%2392.86.1338%23.938%39%3.8944.51.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1435.521.745.3%4.370.9234391842564.653%47%43%48%14%.27
TROY Defense1223.922.838.4%3.892.3 - - - - - 55%45%38%39%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1428.833.742.8%3.92.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%18%.21
TROY Offense1223.525.339.1%2.861.8183381002393.341%59%37%41%18%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1429:3422.943%57%5.150.90.92.26.32.4430.5
Troy1227:3718.340%63%544.51.82.37.53.2330.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1453%43%39.7183.54.626.173.2166%9%1.02
TROY Defense1255%38% - - - - .062.8491%13%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1448%42% - - - - .13.0469%12%0.91
TROY Offense1241%37%30.599.83.3182.6561%12%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1447%48%20.631.9255.5812.4316.41.627%35%.44%2
TROY Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 16.241.734%25%.255%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1451%44% - - - - - - 12.351.733%31%.346%2.1
TROY Offense1259%41%22.134.9238.76.810.81510.221.532%31%.356%2.2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2022 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #48
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #16
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Troy: 4.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 7.2   Troy: 8.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 4.05 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #44
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #108
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.2  #8

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 28
UTSA 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2022 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202212/16Troy18UTSA12Troy -2Troy55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy110 Overs
UTSA001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

UTSA Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2022Cure Bowl UTSA vs Troy+2.055.5L 12 - 18
2021Frisco Bowl UTSA vs San Diego State+3.048.0L 24 - 38
2020Responder Bowl UTSA vs Louisiana+14.054.5L 24 - 31
2016Mexico Bowl UTSA vs New Mexico+7.554.0L 20 - 23
Troy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2022Cure Bowl Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12
2018General Bowl Troy vs Buffalo+2.050.5W 42 - 32
2017Orleans Bowl Troy vs North Texas-5.561.5W 50 - 30
2016General Bowl Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23
  
(#) UTSA at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSATROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #44
Perf GradeGrade #32 #14
OffenseOff #46 #29
DefenseDef #39 #17
Spec TeamsST #111 #68
TalentTal #76 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #46 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #35 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #112
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #16 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #97 #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #38 #20
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #122
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #11 #68
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Orlando City Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Troy -2.0 (55.5)
Troy won vs UTSA this year (18-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC Will Stein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD