Georgia State at Troy Game Matchup
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Veterans Memorial Stadium - Troy, AL  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Troy -14.5   (SP+ TROY -8)
Projected Score: GAST: 21 - TROY: 35 (56)
TROY Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
GAST Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia State at Ole Miss+36.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+16
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-7
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+16
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State-0
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+15.5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+8
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall-3
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Troy vs Nicholls-19
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+32.5
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+2
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-8
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-9
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion-3.5
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-14.5
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss-2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)2642% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)28.445% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1223.82441.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15
TROY Defense1228.422.543.3%3.770.7 - - - - - 53%47%45%42%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1233.836.547.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
TROY Offense122629.344.3%4.431.3203701572134.454%46%42%48%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Troy1230:1720.350%47%6.758.81.30.76.31.5227
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)
TROY Defense1253% (89)45% (87) - - - - .12 (68)2.99 (64)71% (52)11% (40)0.91 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
TROY Offense1254% (43)42% (94)36.1157.34.417 (84).11 (82)2.88 (95)76% (49)11% (89)0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)
TROY Defense1247% (48)42% (76) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (79)1.6 (76)29% (107)30% (71).28 (58)5% (91)2 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
TROY Offense1246% (92)48% (15)17.828.3213.17.51221 (51)9 (48).36 (25)1.5 (81)31% (64)35% (32).41 (35)5% (50)1.9 (109)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -18.87 #119
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -18.87   Troy: -1.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -14.3   Troy: -6.0




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -1.845 #74
Troy's Offense Rating: 12.96 #75
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.65 #74
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #86
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #96
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 35
Georgia State 21

Projected Total Points: 56
Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Georgia State7Troy28TroyGeorgia State -1Troy50.5Under
202111/27Georgia State37Troy10Georgia StateGeorgia State -6.5Georgia State49.5Under
202010/24Troy34Georgia State36Georgia StateTroy -1.5Georgia State68.5Over
201910/26Georgia State52Troy33Georgia StateTroy -1Georgia State67.0Over
201810/04Troy37Georgia State20TroyTroy -17Push55.5Over
201710/21Georgia State10Troy34TroyTroy -7Troy51.5Under
201610/15Troy31Georgia State21TroyTroy -16.5Georgia State54.0Under
201511/27Georgia State31Troy21Georgia StateGeorgia State -1Georgia State56.0Under
201411/08Troy45Georgia State21TroyTroy -8.5Troy0
201310/12Georgia State28Troy35TroyTroy -16Georgia State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy633 Overs
Georgia State465 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 45 - 43 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 64 - 51 - 23 - 3

(#119) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.87 #119
Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129
Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) RB Brock back, need new depth. Some options
(3/24) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 7 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(3/24) Def poor LY, only 3 portals? Need #2 CB/S
(3/24) HC McGee adding talent, using Atlanta.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.
Georgia State     Ratings Matchup     Troy
Power #119
#74
Off #112
#75
Def #123
#74
Talent #99
#90
SP+ #114
#86
SP+ Off #91
#96
SP+ Def #129
#81

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia State in 2023 (28-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | TROY
Depth Chart: GAST | TROY
Rosters: GAST | TROY
(#74) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.845 #74
Offense Rating: 12.96 #75
Defense Rating: 15.65 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 560.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Troy Notes
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, 3 portal adds. Bump?
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good
(3/24) 2nd year staff, could have big year w/ roster


  
Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux16629157%204713117.0
Cameran Brown (Tr)4944%11011.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Christian Veilleux287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst56961917.276
Jordan Simmons2118308.752
DJ Riles2017208.627
Jordan Ford662110.319

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
Damaine Wilson391000
Henry Bryant306421
Ian Mathews260042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Marlin Dean (Tr)62240
Jordan Simmons20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
D-Icey Hopkins230003
Ian Mathews260042

Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder446370%547508.7
Tucker Kilcrease274955%373317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tucker Kilcrease3911803.025
Will Crowder176313.712
Tray Taylor (Tr)65809.726
Jordan Lovett175313.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Higgins3130119.737
Tray Taylor (Tr)18262114.659
Ethan Conner1211509.629
Jordan Lovett85607.026

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer778210
Justin Powe672104
Devin Lafayette506031
Jah-Mal Williams291020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Peterson255310
Jordan Stringer778210
Justin Powe672104
Steven Cattledge221110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Powe672104
Trent Henry212002
Devin Lafayette506031