Troy at UL Monroe - 2025 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Malone Stadium - Monroe, LA  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (16 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
TROY 2nd straight Road Game
ULM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Troy -10.5   (SP+ TROY -12.5)

Projected Score: TROY: 31 - ULM: 20 (51)
TROY Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TROY Travel: 361 miles
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (29 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+6.042.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+8
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-10.5
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5.5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-16
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+22.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+10.5
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+18
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+12
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+21
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#101 (.1)38% (110)20.342% (84)3.09 (60)13033% (116)1463.09 (115)#57 (.11)42% (82)2544% (94)40% (67)5.08 (123)72.31.31.3
ULM#46 (.29)35% (127)14.538% (105)3.14 (52)20232% (121)893.88 (75)#127 (.37)51% (130)36.553% (128)50% (120)6.6 (136)4320.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense320.31637.5%3.091.3172761301463.949%51%42%33%16%.1
ULM Defense236.536.550.7%6.60.5 - - - - - 44%55%53%50%9%.37
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense3252742%5.081.3 - - - - - 53%47%44%40%17%.11
ULM Offense214.52934.7%3.88216291202895.456%41%38%32%26%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy328:571742%50%7.372.31.31.362.7126.3
UL Monroe228:1715.542%67%4.54320.53.51.5028
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense349% (80)42% (84)331303.92 (109).12 (75)3.09 (60)77% (45)8% (63)0.98 (61)
ULM Defense244% (28)53% (128) - - - - .19 (107)3.64 (134)100% (127)6% (125)0.71 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense353% (96)44% (94) - - - - .04 (62)3.33 (125)77% (98)11% (48)0.81 (36)
ULM Offense256% (39)38% (105)37.52025.42 (109).38 (14)3.14 (52)100% (1)20% (135)1.49 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense351% (57)33% (116)1529146.35.19.84 (72)4 (121).08 (119)1.6 (56)36% (121)24% (113).26 (86)8% (128)2.2 (40)
ULM Defense255% (103)50% (120) - - - - - - 1 (87).54 (125)1.5 (60)23% (132)35% (108).65 (126)3% (128)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense347% (44)40% (67) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (58)1.6 (85)30% (105)27% (53).17 (49)5% (85)2.2 (99)
ULM Offense241% (112)32% (121)1222894.17.42 (102)2 (60).2 (90)1.8 (16)41% (134)35% (43).64 (24)6% (89)2.3 (27)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.70   UL Monroe: -17.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -7.7   UL Monroe: -20.2




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.75 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Troy Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 31
UL Monroe 20


Total Points: 51

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.5

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Troy9UL Monroe13UL MonroeTroy -6UL Monroe46.0Under
202311/11UL Monroe14Troy45TroyTroy -23.5Troy47.5Over
202211/19Troy34UL Monroe16TroyTroy -15Troy48.5Over
202109/25UL Monroe29Troy16UL MonroeTroy -23.5UL Monroe49.5Under
201809/22UL Monroe27Troy35TroyTroy -4.5Troy59.0Over
201511/07Troy51UL Monroe14TroyTroy -5Troy52.0Over
201409/27UL Monroe22Troy20UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -10.5Troy0
201310/31Troy37UL Monroe49UL MonroeTroy -3UL Monroe0
201110/15Troy10UL Monroe38UL Monroe
201010/30UL Monroe28Troy14UL Monroe
200910/31Troy42UL Monroe21Troy
200811/01UL Monroe31Troy30UL Monroe
200709/29Troy24UL Monroe7Troy
200610/14Troy24UL Monroe19Troy
200510/15UL Monroe27Troy3UL Monroe
200311/22Troy28UL Monroe24Troy
200111/10UL Monroe12Troy44Troy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe834 Overs
Troy952 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 63 - 52 - 31 - 2
Road Teams6 - 115 - 32 - 13 - 2

(#97) Troy Info
Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy has lost 5 straight
Troy has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good

Troy Highlights

Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULMTROY
OverallOver#68#85
OffenseOff#48#79
DefenseDef#77#85
Special TeamsST#97#84
PassingPass#47#92
RushingRush#47#66
Run BlockRBLK#32#44
Pass BlockPBLK#33#48
Route RunningWR Rt#90#93
TacklingTkl#60#96
Run DefenseR Def#86#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#77
Coverage DefCov#83#71

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Troy last year (13-9)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2023 (45-14)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2022 (34-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | ULM
Depth Chart: TROY | ULM
Rosters: TROY | ULM
(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -17.75 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UL Monroe has lost 5 straight
UL Monroe has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe is Undefeated at Home

UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)


  
Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder355860%374436.4
Tucker Kilcrease102935%65012.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows4426916.147
Jordan Lovett208304.215
Will Crowder175313.116
DJ Epps21206.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tray Taylor (Tr)597219.444
Roman Mothershed109019.027
Ethan Conner773110.424
Rara Thomas (Tr)54709.419

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer262100
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith93220
Luis Medina62200
Jah-Mal Williams72210
Devin Lafayette231102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101

UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta203754%123123.3
Landon Graves4757%55107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)1813707.674
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)135304.119
Dorian Lewis95205.821
Aidan Armenta74316.132
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Griffin554110.819
JP Coulter43007.511
Rico Powers Jr.32809.318
Jacob Godfrey32107.025

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Korian Wilson111000
Noah Flemmings101001
Kam Canterbury100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Dylan Howell31110
Davin Anderson20000
Julian Nixon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen20001
Noah Flemmings101001
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200