Louisiana at Troy - 2025 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Veterans Memorial Stadium - Troy, AL  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (10 - 52 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Troy -5.5   (SP+ TROY -1)

Projected Score: ULL: 22 - TROY: 28 (50)
TROY Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ULL Travel: 377 miles
Trojans (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (23 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+16
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+3
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+5.5
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+7
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+6
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State-3
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Troy's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy vs Nicholls-16.546.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/6 Troy at Clemson+31.051.5L 16 - 27UY
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Memphis+4.551.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/20 Troy at Buffalo+6.042.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Troy vs South Alabama-1
Sat 10/11 Troy at Texas State+8
Sat 10/18 Troy at UL Monroe-10.5
Sat 10/25 Troy vs Louisiana-5.5
Sat 11/1 Troy vs Arkansas State-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Troy at Old Dominion+9
Sat 11/22 Troy vs Georgia State-16
Sat 11/29 Troy at Southern Miss+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#104 (.1)35% (125)18.746% (59)3.05 (62)19423% (133)593.57 (93)#88 (.17)48% (119)25.352% (127)43% (92)4.06 (92)43.70.71
TROY#101 (.1)38% (110)20.342% (84)3.09 (60)13033% (116)1463.09 (115)#57 (.11)42% (82)2544% (94)40% (67)5.08 (123)72.31.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense318.71035.4%3.570.71525419459656%43%46%23%20%.1
TROY Defense3252442%5.081.3 - - - - - 53%47%44%40%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense325.35248.2%4.061 - - - - - 62%37%52%43%10%.17
TROY Offense320.322.537.5%3.091.3172761301463.949%51%42%33%16%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana325:001532%40%643.70.714.31.7026.6
Troy328:571742%50%7.372.31.31.362.7126.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense356% (34)46% (59)32.7194.365 (62).33 (26)3.05 (62)38% (135)15% (130)1.37 (13)
TROY Defense353% (96)44% (94) - - - - .04 (62)3.33 (125)77% (98)11% (48)0.81 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense362% (127)52% (127) - - - - .24 (115)3.16 (108)78% (100)8% (98)0.99 (80)
TROY Offense349% (80)42% (84)331303.92 (109).12 (75)3.09 (60)77% (45)8% (63)0.98 (61)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense343% (102)23% (133)8.721.359.32.86.91 (123)1 (23)-.2 (134)0.9 (136)35% (113)27% (97).23 (95)5% (68)1.8 (99)
TROY Defense347% (44)40% (67) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (58)1.6 (85)30% (105)27% (53).17 (49)5% (85)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense337% (9)43% (92) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (59)1.2 (19)25% (129)26% (48).13 (37)3% (131)1.6 (26)
TROY Offense351% (57)33% (116)1529146.35.19.84 (72)4 (121).08 (119)1.6 (56)36% (121)24% (113).26 (86)8% (128)2.2 (40)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -11.49 #108
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 17.58 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -11.49   Troy: -4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -8.7   Troy: -7.7




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -4.7 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 28
Louisiana 22


Total Points: 50

Troy Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Louisiana51Troy30LouisianaLouisiana -7.5Louisiana51.5Over
202311/18Troy31Louisiana24TroyTroy -17.5Louisiana47.5Over
202211/05Louisiana17Troy23TroyTroy -3.5Troy42.5Under
202111/13Troy21Louisiana35LouisianaLouisiana -6.5Louisiana48.0Over
201911/23Louisiana53Troy3LouisianaLouisiana -13Louisiana74.5Under
201811/03Troy26Louisiana16TroyTroy -7.5Troy64.5Under
201512/05Louisiana17Troy41TroyLouisiana -2Troy57.0Over
201411/29Troy23Louisiana42LouisianaLouisiana -9.5Louisiana59.5Over
201311/07Louisiana41Troy36LouisianaLouisiana -13Troy0
201209/08Troy24Louisiana37Louisiana
201110/08Louisiana31Troy17Louisiana
201010/16Troy31Louisiana24Troy
200911/28Louisiana31Troy48Troy
200811/22Troy48Louisiana3Troy
200709/22Louisiana31Troy48Troy
200611/04Troy42Louisiana28Troy
200510/29Louisiana31Troy28Louisiana
200411/13Louisiana10Troy13Troy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy1045 Overs
Louisiana853 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 83 - 63 - 30 - 3
Road Teams8 - 106 - 33 - 03 - 3

(#108) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: -11.49 #108
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 17.58 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #95
Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 23%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana has lost 5 straight
Louisiana has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisiana Notes
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
(8/1) Pot. co favs in SB West, but Def must improve
(8/1) QB W Howard (Miss) huge pickup, 5* croot.
(8/1) Def real bad LY, replacing a ton, 1 portal?
(7/13) Little return but only 5 portals. Trust depth

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a really bad Offense
Louisiana offense is really bad (#125)
Louisiana Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#101)
Louisiana pass game is really bad (#133)
Louisiana offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTROYULL
OverallOver#85#106
OffenseOff#79#103
DefenseDef#85#100
Special TeamsST#84#115
PassingPass#92#112
RushingRush#66#24
Run BlockRBLK#44#36
Pass BlockPBLK#48#83
Route RunningWR Rt#93#107
TacklingTkl#96#103
Run DefenseR Def#90#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#77#62
Coverage DefCov#71#71

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Troy last year (51-30)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2023 (31-24)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2022 (23-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULL | TROY
Depth Chart: ULL | TROY
Rosters: ULL | TROY
(#97) Troy Info
Power Rating: -4.7 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy has lost 6 straight
Troy has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good

Troy Highlights

Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)


  
Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Beale153642%91102.5
Walker Howard (Tr)102246%88014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zylan Perry3022617.584
Bill Davis3619125.336
Steven Blanco1310017.734
Walker Howard (Tr)94715.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)563012.625
Kedarius Wade225012.519
Caden Jensen51803.65
Robert Williams21809.09

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger243100
Terrence Williams212100
Jake St. Andre151000
Tyree Skipper140001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger243100
Caleb Kibodi111100
Jaelen Crider41100
Trae Tomlinson (Tr)81110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.80001
Tyree Skipper140001
Jalen Clark121001

Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Crowder355860%374436.4
Tucker Kilcrease102935%65012.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tae Meadows4426916.147
Jordan Lovett208304.215
Will Crowder175313.116
DJ Epps21206.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tray Taylor (Tr)597219.444
Roman Mothershed109019.027
Ethan Conner773110.424
Rara Thomas (Tr)54709.419

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer262100
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donnie Smith93220
Luis Medina62200
Jah-Mal Williams72210
Devin Lafayette231102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Lafayette231102
Jaquez White180002
Taleeq Robbins (Tr)121101