Jacksonville State Gamecocks at UCF Knights
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -16.5 (53.5) (-750) Open: -16.5 | 53.5
UCF 17 - Jacksonville State: 10
Gamecocks (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: UCF -22.5 (SP+ UCF -13)
Projected Score: JVST: 15 - UCF: 37 (52)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
JVST Travel: 450 miles, 1 hrs behind
Projected Score: JVST: 15 - UCF: 37 (52)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
JVST Travel: 450 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 43 - 9 (43 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
| Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Jacksonville State at UCF | +16.5 | 53.5 | L 10 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Jacksonville State vs Liberty | +6.0 | 50.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern | +3.0 | 59.0 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Jacksonville State vs Murray State | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Jacksonville State at Southern Miss | +11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | Jacksonville State at Sam Houston | -3 | |||||
| Wed 10/15 | Jacksonville State vs Delaware | +2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/29 | Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Jacksonville State at UTEP | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Jacksonville State vs Florida International | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky | +7 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| UCF's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | UCF vs Jacksonville State | -16.5 | 53.5 | W 17 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UCF vs North Carolina A&T | -38.0 | 51.0 | W 68 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | UCF vs North Carolina | -6.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UCF at Kansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UCF vs Kansas | +1 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UCF at Cincinnati | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UCF vs West Virginia | -2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | UCF at Baylor | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | UCF vs Houston | -4 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UCF at Texas Tech | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UCF vs Oklahoma State | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UCF at BYU | +9 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST | #83 (.16) | 40% (97) | 26 | 45% (61) | 3.17 (46) | 241 | 30% (129) | 130 | 4 (67) | #119 (.29) | 42% (84) | 27.3 | 41% (84) | 43% (95) | 2.22 (20) | 28.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| UCF | #37 (.32) | 41% (90) | 42.5 | 38% (107) | 2.52 (111) | 233 | 44% (68) | 259 | 4.25 (53) | #25 (-) | 36% (40) | 8.5 | 39% (70) | 31% (21) | 2.13 (18) | 67.5 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | ||
| UCF | #58 (.21) | 46% (28) | 52% (8) | 3.62 (2) | 248 | 38% (103) | 200 | 3.75 (86) | #63 (.16) | 40% (45) | 37% (12) | 42% (84) | 4.37 (118) | 54.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST Offense | 3 | 26 | 22 | 40% | 4 | 0.7 | 19 | 370 | 241 | 130 | 5.6 | 66% | 34% | 45% | 30% | 11% | .16 |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 35.6% | 2.13 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 39% | 31% | 24% | - |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST Defense | 3 | 27.3 | 29 | 42.3% | 2.22 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 41% | 43% | 17% | .29 |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 42.5 | 42.5 | 41% | 4.25 | 0.5 | 22 | 492 | 233 | 259 | 6.9 | 46% | 54% | 38% | 44% | 12% | .32 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State | 3 | 29:39 | 19.3 | 42% | 67% | 3.7 | 28.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| UCF | 2 | 27:58 | 21.5 | 46% | 100% | 7.5 | 67.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 2 | 1 | 32.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST Offense | 3 | 66% (7) | 45% (61) | 43 | 240.7 | 5.6 | 8 (26) | .28 (34) | 3.17 (46) | 64% (99) | 5% (14) | 1.36 (14) |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 60% (125) | 39% (70) | - | - | - | - | .08 (72) | 2.69 (59) | 71% (72) | 16% (12) | 1.22 (114) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST Defense | 3 | 51% (82) | 41% (84) | - | - | - | - | .08 (74) | 2.67 (56) | 75% (80) | 11% (52) | 1.26 (120) |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 46% (95) | 38% (107) | 34 | 233 | 6.9 | 7 (38) | .17 (56) | 2.52 (111) | 75% (52) | 9% (71) | 1.62 (2) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST Offense | 3 | 34% (130) | 30% (129) | 13 | 22.3 | 129.7 | 5.8 | 10 | 1 (123) | 2 (60) | -.08 (131) | 1.2 (119) | 32% (91) | 29% (90) | .23 (96) | 5% (76) | 1.8 (97) |
| UCF Defense | 2 | 39% (12) | 31% (21) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | -.12 (13) | 1 (4) | 36% (40) | 28% (62) | .17 (48) | 9% (19) | 1.4 (9) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVST Defense | 3 | 49% (64) | 43% (95) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .52 (124) | 2 (131) | 33% (71) | 38% (121) | .63 (125) | 6% (70) | 2.2 (105) |
| UCF Offense | 2 | 54% (39) | 44% (68) | 18 | 28.5 | 259 | 9.1 | 14.4 | 2 (102) | 0 (1) | .44 (37) | 1.9 (11) | 34% (106) | 33% (54) | .63 (26) | 3% (30) | 2.5 (12) |
Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -17.65 UCF: 9.51
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -8.6 UCF: 4.5
Jacksonville State: -17.65 UCF: 9.51
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -8.6 UCF: 4.5
UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.51 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UCF's Power Rating: 9.51 #54
UCF's Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
UCF's Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 37
Jacksonville State 15
Total Points: 52
UCF 37
Jacksonville State 15
Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.5
Defense: 8.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/28 | UCF | 17 | Jacksonville State | 10 | UCF | UCF -16.5 | Jacksonville State | 53.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 1 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Jacksonville State | 0 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#122) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Team Profile
Option Offense 66%, Pass: 34%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Jacksonville State Notes
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
(8/1) This looks like a truly bad season coming
(7/11) Kelly has years of SEC exp. OC Trickett meh
(7/11) Transition year for CUSA champs, rough one
(7/11) Why Pass Heavy Off now? Had good thing
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Jacksonville State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Jacksonville State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State pass game is really bad (#129)
Jacksonville State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#134)
Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Team Profile
Option Offense 66%, Pass: 34%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Jacksonville State Notes
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
(8/1) This looks like a truly bad season coming
(7/11) Kelly has years of SEC exp. OC Trickett meh
(7/11) Transition year for CUSA champs, rough one
(7/11) Why Pass Heavy Off now? Had good thing
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Jacksonville State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Jacksonville State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State pass game is really bad (#129)
Jacksonville State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#134)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UCF | JVST |
| OverallOver | #28 | #77 |
| OffenseOff | #52 | #65 |
| DefenseDef | #29 | #91 |
| Special TeamsST | #3 | #58 |
| PassingPass | #71 | #67 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #42 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #57 | #31 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #57 | #78 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #67 | #102 |
| TacklingTkl | #53 | #63 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #31 | #92 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #6 | #46 |
| Coverage DefCov | #66 | #101 |
(#54) UCF Info
Power Rating: 9.51 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated
UCF is Undefeated at Home
UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)
Power Rating: 9.51 #54
Offense Rating: 12.94 #68
Defense Rating: 3.42 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 706.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(8/29) Run game alarmingly bad in opener vs Jax St
(8/21) QB1 Fancher (FAU) wins starting job in camp
(7/30) New staff, over 70 newcomers, big mystery
(7/22) UCF 13th in YPP margin, +108 YPG in '24
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
UCF Highlights
UCF in Undefeated
UCF is Undefeated at Home
UCF offense is explosive (#3)
UCF offense is good on 3rd downs
UCF defense is really good in red zone (#18)
UCF has a good pass defense (#21)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Secondary is very good (#19)
UCF has a great TO Margin (#11)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#108)
UCF run game is really bad (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Wimsatt (Tr) | 37 | 65 | 57% | 369 | 1 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Cade Backe | 1 | 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cook (Tr) | 67 | 390 | 2 | 5.8 | 31 |
| Gavin Wimsatt (Tr) | 35 | 165 | 3 | 4.7 | 44 |
| Andrew Paul | 13 | 92 | 2 | 7.1 | 42 |
| Caden Creel | 5 | 30 | 0 | 6.0 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Rechsteiner | 8 | 102 | 1 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Caleb Coombs (Tr) | 10 | 85 | 0 | 8.5 | 16 |
| Deondre Johnson (Tr) | 4 | 65 | 0 | 16.3 | 26 |
| Pearson Baldwin | 6 | 56 | 0 | 9.3 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Woods (Tr) | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis Franklin Jr. | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Walker O'Steen | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrin Taylor (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Oybadejo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Gharin Stansbury | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tae Floyd | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Alexander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Nix (Tr) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Corbet Mims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gharin Stansbury | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayven Jackson (Tr) | 29 | 45 | 64% | 471 | 2 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 5 | 9 | 56% | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Nixon (Tr) | 6 | 150 | 2 | 25.0 | 87 |
| Myles Montgomery | 29 | 114 | 0 | 3.9 | 15 |
| Jacurri Brown | 5 | 106 | 2 | 21.2 | 60 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 4 | 39 | 0 | 9.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Thomas Jr. (Tr) | 7 | 117 | 0 | 16.7 | 41 |
| Myles Montgomery | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 64 |
| DJ Black | 6 | 86 | 1 | 14.3 | 33 |
| Dylan Wade (Tr) | 4 | 54 | 1 | 13.5 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Kozlowski (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antoine Jackson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lewis Carter (Tr) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Lora (Tr) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Horace Lockett (Tr) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nyjalik Kelly | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Bell (Tr) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Cole Kozlowski (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |