Jacksonville State at UCF Game Matchup

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at UCF Knights

Wednesday, August 27th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
UCF -16.5 (0.0) (0) Open: -16.5
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL

Gamecocks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)

Our Line: UCF -20.5 (SP+ UCF -11)
Projected Score: JVST: 20 - UCF: 40 (60)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
JVST Travel: 450 miles, 1 hrs behind

Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	Jacksonville State at UCF	+16.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+16.5
Sat 9/13	Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern	+18
Sat 9/20	Jacksonville State vs Murray State	-4.5
Sat 9/27	Jacksonville State at Southern Miss	+13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	+4.5
Wed 10/15	Jacksonville State vs Delaware	-0
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+4
Sat 11/8	Jacksonville State at UTEP	+7.5
Sat 11/15	Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State	-4
Sat 11/22	Jacksonville State vs Florida International	+6.5
Sat 11/29	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

UCF's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	UCF vs Jacksonville State	-16.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	UCF vs North Carolina A&T	-22
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UCF vs North Carolina	+0.5
Sat 9/27	UCF at Kansas State	+19
Sat 10/4	UCF vs Kansas	+2.5
Sat 10/11	UCF at Cincinnati	+8
Sat 10/18	UCF vs West Virginia	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UCF at Baylor	+13
Sat 11/8	UCF vs Houston	-0.5
Sat 11/15	UCF at Texas Tech	+16.5
Sat 11/22	UCF vs Oklahoma State	-2
Sat 11/29	UCF at BYU	+14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)	36	49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)	26.1	44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6
UCF	#58 (.21)	46% (28)	30.4	52% (8)	3.62 (2)	248	38% (103)	200	3.75 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (45)	26.9	37% (12)	42% (84)	4.37 (118)	54.4	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	14	36	33.8	45.2%	4.85	1.1	23	443	254	189	5.5	64%	36%	49%	40%	11%	.27
UCF Defense	12	26.9	23	39.9%	4.37	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	42%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	14	26.1	31.2	43.2%	3.81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	43%	16%	.14
UCF Offense	12	30.4	32.9	46.1%	3.75	1.6	24	448	248	200	5.8	58%	41%	52%	38%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	14	26:57	22.6	41%	54%	6	58.4	1.1	1.6	5.6	1.7	1	28.5
UCF	12	28:19	23.6	42%	54%	6.5	54.4	1.6	0.9	6.9	1.8	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	14	64% (4)	49% (18)	45.9	253.6	5.5	51 (1)	.25 (15)	3.36 (17)	67% (107)	8% (23)	1.07 (32)
UCF Defense	12	50% (54)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.07 (39)	2.57 (13)	79% (106)	12% (28)	1.03 (90)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	14	54% (108)	44% (79)	-	-	-	-	.09 (52)	3.01 (72)	63% (20)	10% (59)	0.88 (22)
UCF Offense	12	58% (16)	52% (8)	43	248.1	5.8	33 (12)	.31 (7)	3.62 (2)	72% (80)	10% (66)	1.13 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	14	36% (131)	40% (95)	13.4	22.3	189.4	8.5	14.1	14 (108)	7 (26)	.33 (35)	1.9 (5)	27% (10)	32% (65)	.33 (72)	3% (8)	2.1 (51)
UCF Defense	12	50% (82)	42% (84)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.26 (81)	1.6 (64)	36% (16)	30% (67)	.38 (99)	5% (118)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	14	46% (27)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.21 (55)	1.5 (56)	30% (102)	33% (105)	.36 (92)	6% (63)	2 (45)
UCF Offense	12	41% (121)	38% (103)	15.1	25.8	199.7	7.7	13.2	14 (108)	11 (72)	.1 (123)	1.6 (76)	29% (33)	33% (53)	.16 (122)	5% (48)	1.8 (126)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -27.75 #136
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.13 #129
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 29.88 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 330.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #104
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #105
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -27.75 UCF: 1.185

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -10.4 UCF: 0.4

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.185 #75
UCF's Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 40
Jacksonville State 20

Projected Total Points: 60

UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	0	0	0 Overs
Jacksonville State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#136) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -27.75 #136
Offense Rating: 2.13 #129
Defense Rating: 29.88 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 330.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Jacksonville State Notes
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, shootouts. Least exp'd D in CFB
(3/24) Kelly has years of SEC exp. Good hire
(3/24) CUSA champs likely in for a transition year
(3/24) QB Wimsatt (UK) better improve or not start

Jacksonville State Ratings Matchup UCF

Power #136

#75

Off #129

#82

Def #134

#69

Talent #128

#72

SP+ #104

#61

SP+ Off #105

#57

SP+ Def #99

#61

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | UCF
Depth Chart: JVST | UCF
Rosters: JVST | UCF

(#75) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.185 #75
Offense Rating: 11.99 #82
Defense Rating: 15.02 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #61
Talent Rating: 700.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #27
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCF Notes
(5/23) UCF was 1-3 in 1 score games LY
(4/22) Starting OT Justin Royes (VU) will miss season (inj)
(4/9) QB Fancher (FAU) or Jackson (IU). Rizk portal
(4/7) WR all new. Charles/Jenkins Jr future. 3 portals.
(4/5) Def bad LY, replacing most. 15 portal adds
(4/5) New staff, over 50% new roster. We'll see
(4/5) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds
(3/21) RB Monty back (#2 LY), Nixon (WMU) added
(3/21) New DC Grinch fired from USC
(3/21) HC Frost is back. UCF in new conf/reality

Jacksonville State's OC Clint Trickett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	16	39	41%	287	3	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook (Tr)	119	460	9	3.9	19
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	49	183	2	3.7	24
Andrew Paul	38	166	4	4.4	28
Michael Pettway	5	17	0	3.4	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Pettway	25	454	3	18.2	92
Brock Rechsteiner	16	241	2	15.1	85
Caleb Coombs (Tr)	8	123	0	15.4	27
Cam Cook (Tr)	18	75	0	4.2	12

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Brian Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jawaun Campbell	47	8	2	1	2
Patrick Taylor	34	0	0	0	0
Talan Carter	26	3	1	0	0
Darrell Prater	25	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jawaun Campbell	47	8	2	1	2
Talan Carter	26	3	1	0	0
Travis Franklin Jr.	19	1	1	0	1
Shane Payton Hodges	4	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jawaun Campbell	47	8	2	1	2
Gharin Stansbury	21	2	0	1	1
Travis Franklin Jr.	19	1	1	0	1

UCF's OC Steve Cooper

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Jacurri Brown	34	66	52%	387	1	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon (Tr)	132	874	12	6.6	92
Jacurri Brown	53	401	4	7.6	67
Cam Fancher (Tr)	99	365	3	3.7	76
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Wade (Tr)	29	374	2	12.9	44
Jaden Nixon (Tr)	9	74	0	8.2	16
Marcus Burke (Tr)	8	69	2	8.6	20
Myles Montgomery	3	66	1	22.0	49

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4
Keli Lawson (Tr)	40	2	0	0	4
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Malachi Lawrence	15	6	5	4	1
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Sincere Edwards (Tr)	17	6	3	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jayden Bellamy (Tr)	34	1	6
DJ Bell (Tr)	16	0	5
Keli Lawson (Tr)	40	2	4