Jacksonville State at Southern Miss - 2025 Matchup Preview
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
M. M. Roberts Stadium - Hattiesburg, MS

 
Gamecocks (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
USM is playing their 5th straight game
JVST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Southern Miss -11   (SP+ JVST -3)

Projected Score: JVST: 22 - USM: 33 (55)
USM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
JVST Travel: 270 miles
Golden Eagles (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Jacksonville State at UCF+16.553.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+6.050.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/13 Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern+3.059.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Jacksonville State vs Murray State-10.5
Sat 9/27 Jacksonville State at Southern Miss+11
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-3
Wed 10/15 Jacksonville State vs Delaware+2
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee-6.5
Sat 11/8 Jacksonville State at UTEP+8.5
Sat 11/15 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State-8.5
Sat 11/22 Jacksonville State vs Florida International+8
Sat 11/29 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+11.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-13.553.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State+3.055.5W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+3.051.5
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern-10.5
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana-3
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-18
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-8
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State+1
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama+2
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy-5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#83 (.16)40% (97)2645% (61)3.17 (46)24130% (129)1304 (67)#119 (.29)42% (84)27.341% (84)43% (95)2.22 (20)28.30.71.3
USM#67 (.2)42% (78)3140% (99)2.91 (76)11745% (56)2343.76 (81)#51 (.07)40% (76)25.347% (106)34% (41)3.39 (64)590.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense3262240%40.7193702411305.666%34%45%30%11%.16
USM Defense325.325.340.4%3.392 - - - - - 49%50%47%34%21%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense327.32942.3%2.221.3 - - - - - 51%49%41%43%17%.29
USM Offense3313142.4%3.760.7203511172343.746%54%40%45%15%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State329:3919.342%67%3.728.30.71.342029
Southern Miss327:1620.346%33%7590.725.73233.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense366% (7)45% (61)43240.75.68 (26).28 (34)3.17 (46)64% (99)5% (14)1.36 (14)
USM Defense349% (64)47% (106) - - - - .29 (126)2.99 (90)69% (63)8% (101)1.16 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense351% (82)41% (84) - - - - .08 (74)2.67 (56)75% (80)11% (52)1.26 (120)
USM Offense346% (94)40% (99)321173.73 (95).04 (99)2.91 (76)71% (67)8% (53)0.91 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense334% (130)30% (129)1322.3129.75.8101 (123)2 (60)-.08 (131)1.2 (119)32% (91)29% (90).23 (96)5% (76)1.8 (97)
USM Defense350% (71)34% (41) - - - - - - 6 (2)-.13 (11)1.4 (37)34% (54)35% (108).37 (96)13% (1)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense349% (64)43% (95) - - - - - - 1 (87).52 (124)2 (131)33% (71)38% (121).63 (125)6% (70)2.2 (105)
USM Offense354% (43)45% (56)23.3342346.9107 (23)2 (60).36 (55)1.6 (55)34% (102)35% (48).33 (70)7% (115)2 (70)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -17.65   Southern Miss: -2.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -8.6   Southern Miss: -11.4




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 33
Jacksonville State 22


Total Points: 55

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Jacksonville State44Southern Miss7Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -6.0Jacksonville State59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss000 Overs
Jacksonville State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#122) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -17.65 #122
Offense Rating: 2.27 #119
Defense Rating: 19.92 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.6 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 386.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Option Offense 66%, Pass: 34%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Jacksonville State has lost 2 straight
Jacksonville State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Jacksonville State Notes
(8/29) QB Wimsatt awful vs UCF, Pass Def really bad
(8/1) This looks like a truly bad season coming
(7/11) Kelly has years of SEC exp. OC Trickett meh
(7/11) Transition year for CUSA champs, rough one
(7/11) Why Pass Heavy Off now? Had good thing
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds

Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Jacksonville State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Jacksonville State commits very few Penalties (#16)

Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State pass game is really bad (#129)
Jacksonville State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#134)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSMJVST
OverallOver#36#77
OffenseOff#66#65
DefenseDef#19#91
Special TeamsST#23#58
PassingPass#53#67
RushingRush#64#42
Run BlockRBLK#89#31
Pass BlockPBLK#52#78
Route RunningWR Rt#41#102
TacklingTkl#21#63
Run DefenseR Def#53#92
Pass Rush DefPRush#25#46
Coverage DefCov#11#101

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Southern Miss last year (44-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | USM
Depth Chart: JVST | USM
Rosters: JVST | USM
(#76) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Southern Miss has lost 1 straight
Southern Miss has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Southern Miss Notes
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
(8/1) New OC Anderson is a great OC, (Ut St HC)
(7/27) More return prod from Marshall than Marshall
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds

Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Southern Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Southern Miss Secondary is very good (#1)
Southern Miss has a great TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#105)


  
Jacksonville State's OC Clint Trickett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)376557%369125.7
Cade Backe11100%2002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)6739025.831
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)3516534.744
Andrew Paul139227.142
Caden Creel53006.014
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Rechsteiner8102112.856
Caleb Coombs (Tr)108508.516
Deondre Johnson (Tr)465016.326
Pearson Baldwin65609.332

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevor Woods (Tr)210000
Travis Franklin Jr.130001
Walker O'Steen131000
Tyrin Taylor (Tr)120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo102220
Gharin Stansbury41101
Tae Floyd11100
Chase Alexander52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Nix (Tr)100002
Corbet Mims00001
Gharin Stansbury41101

Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)689969%692727.0
Landy Lyddy1250%11005.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)2512625.023
Braylon Braxton (Tr)2910503.617
Robert Briggs (Tr)186913.815
Matt Jones (Tr)154002.78
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)10124012.448
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)5116023.241
Carl Chester (Tr)892011.523
Micah Davis (Tr)87439.321

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones301002
Michael Montgomery (Tr)270001
Josh Moten (Tr)240003
Ian Foster (Tr)231003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)153320
Jameer Lewis82100
Josh Battle (Tr)202100
Garrick Ponder52120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Moten (Tr)240003
Ian Foster (Tr)231003
Anthony Richard51003