Liberty at Jacksonville State Game Matchup
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
JSU Stadium - Jacksonville, AL  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Liberty -16.5   (SP+ LIB -9.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 37 - JVST: 21 (58)
LIB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
LIB Travel: 443 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Gamecocks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
 
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Liberty vs Maine-23.5
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-16.5
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-11
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison-0.5
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion-8
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-11.5
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-19
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-21
Sat 11/15 Liberty vs Florida International-12.5
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-14
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State-23.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Jacksonville State at UCF+16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+16.5
Sat 9/13 Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern+18
Sat 9/20 Jacksonville State vs Murray State-4.5
Sat 9/27 Jacksonville State at Southern Miss+13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston+4.5
Wed 10/15 Jacksonville State vs Delaware-0
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee+4
Sat 11/8 Jacksonville State at UTEP+7.5
Sat 11/15 Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State-4
Sat 11/22 Jacksonville State vs Florida International+6.5
Sat 11/29 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)3649% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)26.144% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
JVST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1228.828.849.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26
JVST Defense1426.121.343.2%3.811.6 - - - - - 54%46%44%43%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1223.524.439.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
JVST Offense143639.145.2%4.851.1234432541895.564%36%49%40%11%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
Jacksonville State1426:5722.641%54%658.41.11.65.61.7128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)
JVST Defense1454% (108)44% (79) - - - - .09 (52)3.01 (72)63% (20)10% (59)0.88 (22)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
JVST Offense1464% (4)49% (18)45.9253.65.551 (1).25 (15)3.36 (17)67% (107)8% (23)1.07 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)
JVST Defense1446% (27)43% (85) - - - - - - 12 (39).21 (55)1.5 (56)30% (102)33% (105).36 (92)6% (63)2 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
JVST Offense1436% (131)40% (95)13.422.3189.48.514.114 (108)7 (26).33 (35)1.9 (5)27% (10)32% (65).33 (72)3% (8)2.1 (51)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Liberty's Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Liberty's Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 1.17   Jacksonville State: -16.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -1.1   Jacksonville State: -10.4




Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -16.575 #136
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.13 #129
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 29.88 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 330.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #104
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #105
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 37
Jacksonville State 21


Projected Total Points: 58
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/30Liberty21Jacksonville State31Jacksonville StateLiberty -2.5Jacksonville State64.0Under
202310/10Jacksonville State13Liberty31LibertyLiberty -7Liberty59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Jacksonville State110 Overs
Liberty112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#63) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.17 #63
Offense Rating: 14.42 #66
Defense Rating: 13.25 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #69
Talent Rating: 594.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Liberty Notes
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
(3/22) WR bad LY, 2 portal adds. Lots of Sr's
(3/22) OL decent LY, 3/5 back. 3 portals. Looks good
(3/22) Def best in CUSA, returns a ton. 5 portals.
(3/22) Chadwell good coach, LY went south though
(3/22) 3rd year staff, schedule is a joke
Liberty     Ratings Matchup     Jacksonville State
Power #63
#136
Off #66
#129
Def #61
#134
Talent #84
#128
SP+ #69
#104
SP+ Off #61
#105
SP+ Def #69
#99

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Liberty last year (31-21)
Liberty beat Jacksonville State in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | JVST
Depth Chart: LIB | JVST
Rosters: LIB | JVST
(#136) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.575 #136
Offense Rating: 2.13 #129
Defense Rating: 29.88 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 330.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Jacksonville State Notes
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, shootouts. Least exp'd D in CFB
(3/24) Kelly has years of SEC exp. Good hire
(3/24) CUSA champs likely in for a transition year
(3/24) QB Wimsatt (UK) better improve or not start


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)14827155%21201487.8
Ryan Burger81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ethan Vasko (Tr)10744754.229
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Ryan Burger177014.157
Julian Gray106216.241
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Person (Tr)35373110.760
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
A'Khori Jones535003
Dexter Ricks Jr.392002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Joseph Carter885203
Derrell Farrar (Tr)122110
Donovan Dozier31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003
Amarian Williams140002

Jacksonville State's OC Clint Trickett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)163941%287347.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)11946093.919
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)4918323.724
Andrew Paul3816644.428
Michael Pettway51703.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Pettway25454318.292
Brock Rechsteiner16241215.185
Caleb Coombs (Tr)8123015.427
Cam Cook (Tr)187504.212

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jawaun Campbell478212
Patrick Taylor340000
Talan Carter263100
Darrell Prater252000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jawaun Campbell478212
Talan Carter263100
Travis Franklin Jr.191101
Shane Payton Hodges41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jawaun Campbell478212
Gharin Stansbury212011
Travis Franklin Jr.191101