Jacksonville State at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, December 16th 2023 (2:15 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -3.5 (58.5) (-160) Open: -3.0 | 56.0
Jacksonville State 34 - Louisiana: 31 (R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl)

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Wind: 14.1 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Jacksonville State -0 (SP+ ULL -1)
Projected Score: JVST: 30 - ULL: 30 (59)
JVST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
JVST Travel: 444 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
JVST Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	.32	47%	36	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	26.1	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0
ULL	.13	40%	30.9	43%	3.2	144	38%	220	3.61	.17	41%	24.1	44%	38%	3.62	55.7	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	1	36	33.8	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32
ULL Defense	13	24.1	25.6	40.5%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	38%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	1	26.1	31.2	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13
ULL Offense	13	30.9	34	40.1%	3.61	1.3	20	364	144	220	4.1	48%	51%	43%	38%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3
Louisiana	13	29:30	19.6	39%	52%	6.5	55.7	1.3	2.2	4.5	2.1	3	31.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15
ULL Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08
ULL Offense	13	48%	43%	35.2	144.4	4.1	10	.1	3.2	61%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2
ULL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	30%	33%	.43	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3
ULL Offense	13	51%	38%	19.4	33.9	219.9	6.5	11.4	27	9	.19	1.5	31%	31%	.33	7%	2

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -2.40 Louisiana: -1.76

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -0.7 Louisiana: 0.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -1.76 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 30
Louisiana 30

Projected Total Points: 59

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/16	Louisiana	31	Jacksonville State	34	Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State -3.5	Louisiana	58.5	Over
2000	11/10	Louisiana	14	Jacksonville State	28	Jacksonville State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	0	1	1 Overs
Jacksonville State	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Jacksonville State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Orleans Bowl	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31

Louisiana Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34
2022	Independence Bowl	Louisiana vs Houston	+5.5	56.5	L 16 - 23
2021	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21
2020	Responder Bowl	Louisiana vs UTSA	-14.0	54.5	W 31 - 24
2019	Lendingtree Bowl	Louisiana vs Miami (OH)	-15.5	55.5	W 27 - 17
2018	Cure Bowl	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41

(#79) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Jacksonville State has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 1)
Jacksonville State has played in 2 Bowls since 2000 (1 - 1)

Jacksonville State Ratings Matchup Louisiana

Power #79

#86

Off #93

#41

Def #13

#107

Talent #133

#93

SP+ #67

#64

SP+ Off #77

#37

SP+ Def #51

#102

Rematch from Week 1
Jacksonville State 3.5 (58.5)
Jacksonville State won at Louisiana this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 60° - Wind: 14 mph
Rain: 0.024

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | ULL
Depth Chart: JVST | ULL
Rosters: JVST | ULL

(#86) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.76 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Louisiana has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 4)
Louisiana has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 5)

Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J'Wan Evans	52	310	2	6.0	60
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Ron Wiggins	6	29	0	4.8	15
Cole Fuller	1	1	1	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sterling Galban	25	210	0	8.4	21
Sean Brown	11	181	3	16.5	56
P.J. Wells	12	72	0	6.0	15
J'Wan Evans	5	33	0	6.6	16

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Chris Hardie	6	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Zeon Chriss	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zeon Chriss	113	381	4	3.4	71
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18
Chandler Fields	26	88	2	3.4	34
Lance LeGendre	1	10	0	10.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52
Tavion Smith	12	168	4	14.0	56
Dalen Cambre	5	46	0	9.2	13

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3