Ohio State at Purdue - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo (#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (1:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -29.5 (49.5) (-4500)  Open: -28.5
Ohio State 34 - Purdue: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
PUR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -37.5  (SP+ OSU -40)

Projected Score: OSU: 42 - PUR: 5 (47)
OSU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%
OSU Travel: 208 miles
Boilermakers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ohio State vs Texas-1.546.5W 14 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Ohio State vs Grambling-55.562.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Ohio State vs Ohio-28.049.0W 37 - 9UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Ohio State at Washington-9.552.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/4 Ohio State vs Minnesota-23.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Sat 10/11 Ohio State at Illinois-15.551.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/18 Ohio State at Wisconsin-24.541.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Ohio State vs Penn State-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Ohio State at Purdue-29.549.5W 34 - 10UN
Sat 11/15 Ohio State vs UCLA-33.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/22 Ohio State vs Rutgers-29.054.0W 42 - 9UY
Sat 11/29 Ohio State at Michigan-9.543.5W 27 - 9UY
Sat 12/6 Ohio State vs Indiana-5.548.5L 10 - 13UN
Wed 12/31 Ohio State vs Miami-7.539.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Purdue vs Ball State-16.550.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-19.552.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+20.559.5L 17 - 33UY
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+24.551.5L 30 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+7.555.5L 27 - 43ON
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+7.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/18 Purdue at Northwestern+3.047.5L 0 - 19UN
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers-2.560.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+21.048.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+29.549.5L 10 - 34UY
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+14.551.5L 13 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Purdue vs Indiana+28.553.5L 3 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#9 (.33)52% (3)33.446% (44)2.97 (64)15259% (1)2484.99 (2)#3 (-.03)34% (5)9.330% (2)37% (28)2.55 (6)37.40.60.9
PUR#103 (.11)43% (62)18.843% (72)2.94 (69)12643% (53)2173.06 (120)#125 (.27)48% (131)31.849% (128)48% (128)4.03 (105)46.81.80.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1433.430.652.4%4.990.6213991522484.849%50%46%59%11%.33
PUR Defense1231.83048.3%4.030.8 - - - - - 55%43%49%48%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense149.38.233.6%2.550.9 - - - - - 47%51%30%37%17%-.03
PUR Offense1218.820.942.8%3.061.819344126217447%52%43%43%16%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1431:0621.454%65%3.937.40.60.95.32.4129.7
Purdue1228:0119.338%60%4.846.81.80.85.32027.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1449% (67)46% (44)31.9151.64.824 (60).07 (88)2.97 (64)72% (69)7% (10)0.77 (132)
PUR Defense1255% (125)49% (128) - - - - .18 (114)3.25 (122)78% (112)10% (68)0.86 (18)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1447% (42)30% (2) - - - - -.1 (5)2.37 (7)60% (9)12% (18)0.83 (12)
PUR Offense1247% (97)43% (72)31.3126.4411 (78).15 (53)2.94 (69)56% (136)10% (89)1.04 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1450% (65)59% (1)20.826.6247.79.311.932 (22)6 (20).6 (1)1.4 (111)24% (3)40% (5).57 (6)4% (12)1.9 (92)
PUR Defense1243% (13)48% (128) - - - - - - 4 (123).4 (123)1.6 (101)28% (126)32% (98).26 (59)6% (76)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1451% (99)37% (28) - - - - - - 8 (100).03 (5)1.2 (1)38% (5)23% (4).08 (5)5% (101)1.7 (7)
PUR Offense1252% (37)43% (53)19.833.7217.26.51115 (86)13 (132).14 (117)1.4 (117)32% (87)36% (17).36 (50)6% (73)1.9 (97)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 28.45  #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 32.33  #1
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -17.85  #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1144.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4  #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #5
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.0  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 28.45   Purdue: -7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 32.4   Purdue: -7.8




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -7.05  #114
Purdue's Offense Rating: 4.53  #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 15.83  #116
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #96
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #105
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #94

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 42
Purdue 5


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 30
Purdue 14

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 32
Purdue 14

Total Points: 46
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Purdue10Ohio State34Ohio State -29.5Purdue49.5Under
202411/09Ohio State45Purdue0Ohio State -37.5Ohio State55.5Under
202310/14Purdue7Ohio State41Ohio State -17.5Ohio State53.0Under
202111/13Ohio State59Purdue31Ohio State -19Ohio State65.5Over
201810/20Purdue49Ohio State20Ohio State -12Purdue66.0Over
201311/02Purdue0Ohio State56Ohio State -31Ohio State0
201210/20Ohio State29Purdue22
201111/12Purdue26Ohio State23
201010/23Ohio State49Purdue0
200910/17Purdue26Ohio State18
200810/11Ohio State16Purdue3
200710/06Purdue7Ohio State23
200411/13Purdue24Ohio State17
200311/15Ohio State16Purdue13
200211/09Purdue6Ohio State10
200111/10Ohio State35Purdue9
200010/27Purdue31Ohio State27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue522 Overs
Ohio State1243 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 54 - 22 - 02 - 2
Road Teams5 - 122 - 42 - 20 - 2

(#1) OSU at (#114) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUPUR
Power RatePwr #1 #114
SP+SP+ #1 #96
Perf GradeGrade #2 #125
OffenseOff #2 #113
DefenseDef #3 #130
Spec TeamsST #22 #6
TalentTal #1 #65
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #88
Ohio State Notes
(11/15) WR2 Carnell Tate out for season (calf injury)
(10/11) OL seems to improve every week. RB Jackson a find
(10/11) CB Igbinosun physical & dares refs to call him on it
(10/6) Def is best unit in CFB. Allowed 25 points in 5 games
(9/29) Run Off is not good, Sayin is accurate but deep ball?
(9/22) Allowed 16 points in 3 games, none in red zone
(8/30) Def dominated Texas. Run game was awful
(8/27) Secondary good, but CB Igbinosun inconsistent
(8/18) QB1 Julian Sayin wins starting job
(7/12) DL issue, smaller, DT. Atkinson (NC) added
(7/12) Lost 14 NFL Draft picks, 2nd most ever
(6/6) RB1 Peoples, Donaldson (WVU), staff high on pos
Ohio State Injury Report
Purdue Notes
(12/18) DC Mike Scherer fired after one season
(11/28) Lost 10 straight to finish, only 3 one score games. Woof
(11/5) 0-17 vs P4 since 2024, 3 of last 4 by one score
(11/3) RB1 Devin Mockobee out for season (ankle)
(10/24) QB R. Browne doubtful vs Rutgers, Singleton meh
(9/22) Punter McAllister is a weapon, one of CFB best
(9/21) Off is fiesty, QB Brown is good. Def outmatched
(8/30) Brown torched Ball St 300+, Run Off awful
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
Purdue Injury Report
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffPUR Def
Perf GradePerf #2 #130
SuccessSuc #3 #131
ExplosiveExp #125 #49
PPAPPA #9 #125
PowerPwr #1 #116
SP+SP+ #5 #94
Pts POPPO #2 #105
HavocHav #5 #77
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #25 #129
Run SuccessRSuc #44 #128
Run ExplRExp #132 #18
PPAExp #88 #114
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #64 #122
Stuff RateStuff #89 #81
TackleTak -  #125
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #1 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #128
Pass ExplPExl #111 #101
PPAExp #1 #123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #31 #116
F7 HavocF7 #10 #68
DB HavocDB #12 #76
Purdue on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatPUR OffOSU Def
Perf GradePerf #113 #3
SuccessSuc #62 #5
ExplosiveExp #75 #2
PPAPPA #103 #3
PowerPwr #94 #1
SP+SP+ #105 #1
Pts POPPO #120 #6
HavocHav #79 #53
Purdue Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #97 #2
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #2
Run ExplRExp #41 #12
PPAExp #53 #5
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLY #69 #7
Stuff RateStuff #76 #9
TackleTak -  #5
Purdue Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatPUR OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #77 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #28
Pass ExplPExl #117 #1
PPAExp #117 #5
Pass Block/RushP Blk #116 #42
F7 HavocF7 #89 #18
DB HavocDB #73 #101
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52°
Rematch from Week 11
Ohio State 29.5 (49.5)
Ohio State won at Purdue this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Purdue last year (45-0)
Ohio State beat Purdue in 2023 (41-7)

  
OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin27935678%33233169.3
Lincoln Kienholz111479%139109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson168103556.264
James Peoples6134435.649
CJ Donaldson (Tr)89330103.727
Isaiah West5931025.338
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith8010861113.687
Carnell Tate48838917.557
Max Klare (Tr)43448210.439
Brandon Inniss3223737.429

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sonny Styles815143
Arvell Reese6210742
Caleb Downs605111
Caden Curry60171162
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Curry60171162
Arvell Reese6210742
Kenyatta Jackson2711722
Kayden McDonald578320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun421006
Sonny Styles815143
Jaylen McClain500003

PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)19933859%21539106.4
Malachi Singleton (Tr)386459%439526.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee12552144.232
Antonio Harris6930524.441
Malachi Thomas (Tr)5324304.657
Ryan Browne (Tr)6620643.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Jackson III (Tr)6357019.031
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)34505414.936
E.J. Horton (Tr)27289110.728
Corey Smith (Tr)14237116.960

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)1103005
Mani Powell (Tr)11012532
Charles Correa (Tr)778342
Myles Slusher632103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)11012532
C.J. Nunnally4211581
Charles Correa (Tr)778342
Jamarrion Harkless132340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hudauri Hines322008
Smiley Bradford305026
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)1103005