Ohio State at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Washington Huskies  Washington logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -9.5 (52.5) (-375)  Open: -13.5
Ohio State 24 - Washington: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
OSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio State -12  (SP+ OSU -11.5)

Projected Score: OSU: 31 - WASH: 19 (50)
OSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
OSU Travel: 2005 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ohio State vs Texas-1.546.5W 14 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Ohio State vs Grambling-55.562.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Ohio State vs Ohio-28.049.0W 37 - 9UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Ohio State at Washington-9.552.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/4 Ohio State vs Minnesota-23.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Sat 10/11 Ohio State at Illinois-15.551.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/18 Ohio State at Wisconsin-24.541.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Ohio State vs Penn State-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Ohio State at Purdue-29.549.5W 34 - 10UN
Sat 11/15 Ohio State vs UCLA-33.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/22 Ohio State vs Rutgers-29.054.0W 42 - 9UY
Sat 11/29 Ohio State at Michigan-9.543.5W 27 - 9UY
Sat 12/6 Ohio State vs Indiana-5.548.5L 10 - 13UN
Wed 12/31 Ohio State vs Miami-7.539.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)33.448% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)9.339% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)34.146% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)18.748% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1633.430.651.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43
WASH Defense1318.719.743.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense169.38.236.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
WASH Offense1334.136.747%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (19)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (48)7% (7)1.11 (16)
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1653% (90)39% (26) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (48)67% (33)13% (16)0.87 (20)
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (7)37% (12).55 (6)5% (42)2.1 (41)
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (28)32% (74)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (6)
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 29.56  #2
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.53  #10
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -5.04  #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1144.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.1  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #13
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.7  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 29.56   Washington: 17.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 30.1   Washington: 18.4




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 17.59  #35
Washington's Offense Rating: 18.70  #35
Washington's Defense Rating: 6.92  #30
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4  #13
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #20
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Washington 19


Projected Total Points: 50
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Washington6Ohio State24Ohio State -9.5Ohio State52.5Under
201801/01Ohio State28Washington23Ohio State -5.5Washington55.5Under
200709/15Washington14Ohio State33
200308/30Ohio State28Washington9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington010 Overs
Ohio State412 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#2) OSU at (#35) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUWASH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #2 #35
SP+SP+ #2 #13
Perf GradeGrade #2 #15
OffenseOff #2 #19
DefenseDef #3 #31
Spec TeamsST #21 #68
TalentTal #1 #23
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #27
Ohio State Notes
(11/15) WR2 Carnell Tate out for season (calf injury)
(10/11) OL seems to improve every week. RB Jackson a find
(10/11) CB Igbinosun physical & dares refs to call him on it
(10/6) Def is best unit in CFB. Allowed 25 points in 5 games
(9/29) Run Off is not good, Sayin is accurate but deep ball?
(9/22) Allowed 16 points in 3 games, none in red zone
(8/30) Def dominated Texas. Run game was awful
(8/27) Secondary good, but CB Igbinosun inconsistent
(8/18) QB1 Julian Sayin wins starting job
(7/12) DL issue, smaller, DT. Atkinson (NC) added
(7/12) Lost 14 NFL Draft picks, 2nd most ever
(6/6) RB1 Peoples, Donaldson (WVU), staff high on pos
Ohio State Injury Report
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffWASH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2 #31
SuccessSuc #3 #83
ExplosiveExp #17 #17
PPAPPA #1 #54
PowerPwr #10 #30
SP+SP+ #13 #9
Pts POPPO #15 #95
HavocHav #14 #107
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #24 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #116
Run ExplRExp #16 #31
PPAExp #8 #106
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #114
Stuff RateStuff #48 #123
TackleTak -  #14
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #1 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #31
Pass ExplPExl #70 #40
PPAExp #1 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #36
F7 HavocF7 #7 #131
DB HavocDB #42 #32
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #3
SuccessSuc #21 #7
ExplosiveExp #119 #15
PPAPPA #32 #2
PowerPwr #35 #1
SP+SP+ #20 #1
Pts POPPO #102 #1
HavocHav #74 #22
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #13 #2
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #26
Run ExplRExp #123 #20
PPAExp #78 #15
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #48
Stuff RateStuff #17 #97
TackleTak -  #3
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #41 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #8
Pass ExplPExl #117 #28
PPAExp #22 #2
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #44
F7 HavocF7 #101 #16
DB HavocDB #35 #61
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Ohio State 9.5 (52.5)
Ohio State won at Washington this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Washington last year (24-6)

  
OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin30139177%36103289.2
Lincoln Kienholz111479%139109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson179109066.164
CJ Donaldson (Tr)96361103.827
James Peoples6134435.649
Isaiah West5931025.338
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith8712431214.387
Carnell Tate51875917.257
Max Klare (Tr)43448210.439
Brandon Inniss3627137.529

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sonny Styles837143
Arvell Reese6910752
Caleb Downs685111
Caden Curry66171182
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Curry66171182
Kenyatta Jackson2811722
Arvell Reese6910752
Eddrick Houston214310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun521006
Sonny Styles837143
Jaylen McClain530003

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30652588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156758154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628811114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706123
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen512101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock481007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006