Ohio at Ohio State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -28.0 (49.0) (-20000)  Open: -33.5 | 53.5
Ohio State 37 - Ohio: 9

 
Bobcats (3 - 3) (3 - 2 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (18 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
OSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ohio State -38.5  (SP+ OSU -36)

Projected Score: OHIO: 5 - OSU: 44 (49)
OSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
OHIO Travel: 68 miles
Buckeyes (6 - 0) (5 - 0 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 7 (41 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.5 - 0.5 (#2)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-30.555.0W 52 - 35ON
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-7.549.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-14.052.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-11.541.5
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-6
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-4
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan+3
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-23.5
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ohio State vs Texas-1.546.5W 14 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Ohio State vs Grambling-55.562.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Ohio State vs Ohio-28.049.0W 37 - 9UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Ohio State at Washington-9.552.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/4 Ohio State vs Minnesota-23.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Sat 10/11 Ohio State at Illinois-15.551.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/18 Ohio State at Wisconsin-25.540.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Ohio State vs Penn State-13
Sat 11/8 Ohio State at Purdue-30
Sat 11/15 Ohio State vs UCLA-33
Sat 11/22 Ohio State vs Rutgers-25.5
Sat 11/29 Ohio State at Michigan-6

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#78 (.18)42% (86)26.340% (103)2.99 (70)19645% (56)2143.54 (102)#57 (.14)43% (90)2642% (76)44% (96)2.5 (7)48.311.3
OSU#21 (.32)52% (8)36.842% (89)2.88 (78)16264% (1)2615.42 (3)#5 (-.05)37% (24)6.835% (19)39% (48)2.4 (5)390.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense626.31841.9%3.541224111962145.154%45%40%45%15%.18
OSU Defense66.84.837.2%2.41.2 - - - - - 44%55%35%39%18%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense62630.343%2.51.3 - - - - - 51%50%42%44%16%.14
OSU Offense636.840.852.4%5.420.7224231622614.951%49%42%64%9%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio631:142240%42%5.848.311.35.71.8129
Ohio State632:062254%57%4.5390.71.26.53031.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense654% (39)40% (103)38.5196.35.111 (61).13 (64)2.99 (70)74% (60)9% (56)1.19 (10)
OSU Defense644% (17)35% (19) - - - - -.04 (18)2.46 (22)63% (27)13% (26)0.88 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense651% (78)42% (76) - - - - .11 (78)2.86 (68)67% (43)9% (91)1.04 (95)
OSU Offense651% (64)42% (89)33.3161.74.912 (48).04 (104)2.88 (78)75% (53)5% (2)0.75 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense645% (101)45% (56)17.327.3214.27.812.49 (73)4 (50).29 (66)1.4 (108)33% (93)34% (44).31 (75)6% (83)1.8 (116)
OSU Defense655% (116)39% (48) - - - - - - 3 (93)-.03 (7)1.1 (1)34% (43)21% (10).04 (6)5% (93)1.8 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense650% (59)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (23).18 (48)1.5 (67)29% (106)28% (60).22 (45)7% (51)1.7 (11)
OSU Offense649% (72)64% (1)21.227.2260.89.612.316 (9)3 (26).62 (3)1.4 (115)23% (4)39% (19).58 (15)4% (30)1.9 (95)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.15  #84
Ohio's Offense Rating: 5.51  #102
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.66  #73
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3  #100
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #102
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -3.15   Ohio State: 32.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.3   Ohio State: 27.6




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.955  #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 32.25  #2
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -16.88  #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1144.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #2
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 11.5 - 0.5
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3  #8
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.7  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 44
Ohio 5


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 29
Ohio 20

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 33
Ohio 14

Total Points: 47
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.8
Defense: 6.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 4.8

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Ohio State37Ohio9Ohio State -28.0Push49.0Under
201009/18Ohio State43Ohio7
200809/06Ohio State26Ohio14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State300 Overs
Ohio001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#84) OHIO at (#1) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOOSU
Power RatePwr #84 #1
SP+SP+ #100 #1
Perf GradeGrade #107 #4
OffenseOff #75 #2
DefenseDef #116 #9
Spec TeamsST #108 #58
TalentTal #101 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #2

Ohio Notes
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth

Ohio State Notes
(10/11) OL seems to improve every week. RB Jackson a find
(10/11) CB Igbinosun physical & dares refs to call him on it
(10/6) Def is best unit in CFB. Allowed 25 points in 5 games
(9/29) Run Off is not good, Sayin is accurate but deep ball?
(9/22) Allowed 16 points in 3 games, none in red zone
(8/30) Def dominated Texas. Run game was awful
(8/27) Secondary good, but CB Igbinosun inconsistent
(8/18) QB1 Julian Sayin wins starting job
(7/12) DL issue, smaller, DT. Atkinson (NC) added
(7/12) Lost 14 NFL Draft picks, 2nd most ever
(6/6) RB1 Peoples, Donaldson (WVU), staff high on pos
Ohio on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffOSU Def
Perf GradePerf #75 #9
SuccessSuc #86 #24
ExplosiveExp #48 #2
PPAPPA #78 #5
PowerPwr #102 #1
SP+SP+ #102 #2
Pts POPPO #102 #5
HavocHav #60 #43
Ohio Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #76 #14
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #19
Run ExplRExp #10 #38
PPAExp #64 #18
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #70 #22
Stuff RateStuff #35 #34
TackleTak -  #22
Ohio Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #108 #12
Pass SuccessPSuc #56 #48
Pass ExplPExl #108 #1
PPAExp #66 #7
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #85 #31
F7 HavocF7 #56 #26
DB HavocDB #83 #93
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatOSU OffOHIO Def
Perf GradePerf #2 #116
SuccessSuc #8 #90
ExplosiveExp #122 #85
PPAPPA #21 #57
PowerPwr #2 #73
SP+SP+ #8 #92
Pts POPPO #3 #7
HavocHav #6 #73
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
OSU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #69 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #76
Run ExplRExp #131 #95
PPAExp #104 #78
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLY #78 #68
Stuff RateStuff #78 #51
TackleTak -  #128
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatOSU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #1 #109
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #96
Pass ExplPExl #115 #67
PPAExp #3 #48
Pass Block/RushP Blk #39 #83
F7 HavocF7 #2 #91
DB HavocDB #30 #51
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 85°
Rematch from Week 3
Ohio State -28.0 (49.0)
Ohio State won vs Ohio this year (37-9)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro10015664%1266948.1
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)9948144.932
Parker Navarro6539836.144
Duncan Brune5524144.433
Nick Poulos73204.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks37585415.867
Mason Williams1514029.319
Rodney Harris II11131111.934
Max Rodarte786012.324

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Molnar525223
Adonis Williams Jr.462000
Cameron Hollobaugh (Tr)372130
Jalen Thomeson353000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable186434
Anas Luqman (Tr)157221
Michael Molnar525223
Nehemiah Dukes (Tr)162102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable186434
Tank Pearson250004
Michael Molnar525223

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin12015378%14791539.7
Lincoln Kienholz7888%861010.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson5840727.064
CJ Donaldson (Tr)5823764.127
James Peoples4020205.133
Isaiah West124914.112
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith40505712.687
Carnell Tate28476417.049
Max Klare (Tr)15175111.729
Brandon Inniss118707.912

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arvell Reese385522
Sonny Styles382010
Caden Curry3110621
Caleb Downs282010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Curry3110621
Arvell Reese385522
Kayden McDonald266310
Kenyatta Jackson84221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun261004
Arvell Reese385522
Jermaine Mathews Jr.112102