Ohio State at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers  Wisconsin logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -24.5 (41.5) (-2800)  Open: -28.5
Ohio State 34 - Wisconsin: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
OSU 2nd straight Road Game
WIS 2nd straight Home Game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -28  (SP+ OSU -34.5)

Projected Score: OSU: 34 - WIS: 6 (39)
OSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
OSU Travel: 393 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ohio State vs Texas-1.546.5W 14 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Ohio State vs Grambling-55.562.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Ohio State vs Ohio-28.049.0W 37 - 9UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Ohio State at Washington-9.552.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/4 Ohio State vs Minnesota-23.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Sat 10/11 Ohio State at Illinois-15.551.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/18 Ohio State at Wisconsin-24.541.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Ohio State vs Penn State-17.545.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Ohio State at Purdue-29.549.5W 34 - 10UN
Sat 11/15 Ohio State vs UCLA-33.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/22 Ohio State vs Rutgers-29.054.0W 42 - 9UY
Sat 11/29 Ohio State at Michigan-9.543.5W 27 - 9UY
Sat 12/6 Ohio State vs Indiana-5.548.5L 10 - 13UN
Wed 12/31 Ohio State vs Miami-7.539.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-10.544.5L 10 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+17.542.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+5.537.5L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+24.541.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+31.544.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+10.544.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+28.543.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+8.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota-2.538.5L 7 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)33.448% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)9.339% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)12.846% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)21.645% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1633.430.651.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43
WIS Defense1221.618.343.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense169.38.236.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
WIS Offense1212.815.642.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (19)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (48)7% (7)1.11 (16)
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1653% (90)39% (26) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (48)67% (33)13% (16)0.87 (20)
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (7)37% (12).55 (6)5% (42)2.1 (41)
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (28)32% (74)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (6)
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 29.56  #2
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.53  #10
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -5.04  #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1144.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73%  #2
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.1  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #13
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.7  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 29.56   Wisconsin: 1.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 30.1   Wisconsin: -4.4




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 1.745  #55
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 10.00  #87
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 7.11  #31
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #85
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 34
Wisconsin 6


Projected Total Points: 39
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Wisconsin0Ohio State34Ohio State -24.5Ohio State41.5Under
202310/28Wisconsin10Ohio State24Ohio State -14.5Wisconsin48.0Under
202209/24Ohio State52Wisconsin21Ohio State -19Ohio State56.5Over
201912/07Wisconsin21Ohio State34Ohio State -17Wisconsin58.0Under
201910/26Ohio State38Wisconsin7Ohio State -14.5Ohio State47.0Under
201712/02Wisconsin21Ohio State27Ohio State -3.5Ohio State51.5Under
201610/15Wisconsin23Ohio State30Ohio State -9.5Wisconsin46.0Over
201412/06Ohio State59Wisconsin0Wisconsin -3Ohio State0
201309/28Ohio State31Wisconsin24Ohio State -7Push0
201211/17Wisconsin14Ohio State21
201110/29Ohio State33Wisconsin29
201010/16Wisconsin31Ohio State18
200910/10Ohio State31Wisconsin13
200810/04Wisconsin17Ohio State20
200711/03Ohio State38Wisconsin17
200410/09Ohio State13Wisconsin24
200310/11Wisconsin17Ohio State10
200210/19Wisconsin14Ohio State19
200110/13Ohio State17Wisconsin20
200010/06Wisconsin7Ohio State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin432 Overs
Ohio State1655 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 116 - 22 - 04 - 2
Road Teams11 - 92 - 62 - 40 - 2

(#2) OSU at (#55) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #2 #55
SP+SP+ #2 #85
Perf GradeGrade #2 #101
OffenseOff #2 #125
DefenseDef #3 #43
Spec TeamsST #21 #22
TalentTal #1 #35
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #24
Ohio State Notes
(11/15) WR2 Carnell Tate out for season (calf injury)
(10/11) OL seems to improve every week. RB Jackson a find
(10/11) CB Igbinosun physical & dares refs to call him on it
(10/6) Def is best unit in CFB. Allowed 25 points in 5 games
(9/29) Run Off is not good, Sayin is accurate but deep ball?
(9/22) Allowed 16 points in 3 games, none in red zone
(8/30) Def dominated Texas. Run game was awful
(8/27) Secondary good, but CB Igbinosun inconsistent
(8/18) QB1 Julian Sayin wins starting job
(7/12) DL issue, smaller, DT. Atkinson (NC) added
(7/12) Lost 14 NFL Draft picks, 2nd most ever
(6/6) RB1 Peoples, Donaldson (WVU), staff high on pos
Ohio State Injury Report
Wisconsin Notes
(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2 #43
SuccessSuc #3 #88
ExplosiveExp #17 #11
PPAPPA #1 #80
PowerPwr #10 #31
SP+SP+ #13 #34
Pts POPPO #15 #105
HavocHav #14 #124
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #24 #38
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #86
Run ExplRExp #16 #60
PPAExp #8 #81
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #105
Stuff RateStuff #48 #86
TackleTak -  #66
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #1 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #81
Pass ExplPExl #70 #5
PPAExp #1 #76
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #36
F7 HavocF7 #7 #130
DB HavocDB #42 #92
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #125 #3
SuccessSuc #73 #7
ExplosiveExp #130 #15
PPAPPA #97 #2
PowerPwr #87 #1
SP+SP+ #122 #1
Pts POPPO #57 #1
HavocHav #90 #22
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #122 #2
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #26
Run ExplRExp #129 #20
PPAExp #75 #15
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #48
Stuff RateStuff #43 #97
TackleTak -  #3
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #135 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #8
Pass ExplPExl #100 #28
PPAExp #102 #2
Pass Block/RushP Blk #84 #44
F7 HavocF7 #37 #16
DB HavocDB #132 #61
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Ohio State 24.5 (41.5)
Ohio State won at Wisconsin this year (34-0)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Wisconsin last year (34-0)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)

  
OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin30139177%36103289.2
Lincoln Kienholz111479%139109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson179109066.164
CJ Donaldson (Tr)96361103.827
James Peoples6134435.649
Isaiah West5931025.338
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith8712431214.387
Carnell Tate51875917.257
Max Klare (Tr)43448210.439
Brandon Inniss3627137.529

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sonny Styles837143
Arvell Reese6910752
Caleb Downs685111
Caden Curry66171182
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caden Curry66171182
Kenyatta Jackson2811722
Arvell Reese6910752
Eddrick Houston214310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun521006
Sonny Styles837143
Jaylen McClain530003

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Simmons6211853%664275.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Dilin Jones7630023.916
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Trech Kekahuna1412919.261
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance Mason (Tr)30398413.345
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Trech Kekahuna2621108.145
Jayden Ballard (Tr)7150221.458

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Christian Alliegro488401
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson3312733
Mason Reiger (Tr)326541
Mason Posa574424
Christian Alliegro488401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman271005
Mason Posa574424
Austin Brown410003