Ohio State at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -25.5 (40.5) (-3600) Open: -28.5
Camp Randall Stadium - Madison, WI (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (6 - 0) (5 - 0 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 7 (29 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.5 - 0.5 (#2)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

OSU 2nd straight Road Game
WIS 2nd straight Home Game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -28.5 (SP+ OSU -28)
Projected Score: OSU: 34 - WIS: 6 (40)
OSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
OSU Travel: 393 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (2 - 4) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 16 - 23 (17 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.7 - 9.3 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Ohio State vs Texas	-1.5	46.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Ohio State vs Grambling	-55.5	62.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Ohio State vs Ohio	-28.0	49.0	W 37 - 9	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Ohio State at Washington	-9.5	52.5	W 24 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-23.5	42.5	W 42 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Ohio State at Illinois	-15.5	51.5	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-25.5	40.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Ohio State vs Penn State	-13
Sat 11/8	Ohio State at Purdue	-30
Sat 11/15	Ohio State vs UCLA	-33
Sat 11/22	Ohio State vs Rutgers	-25.5
Sat 11/29	Ohio State at Michigan	-6

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)	-17.5	40.5	W 17 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/6	Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee	-28.5	45.5	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Wisconsin at Alabama	+17.5	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/20	Wisconsin vs Maryland	-10.5	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wisconsin at Michigan	+17.5	42.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Wisconsin vs Iowa	+5.5	37.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/18	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+25.5	40.5
Sat 10/25	Wisconsin at Oregon	+32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Wisconsin vs Washington	+18
Sat 11/15	Wisconsin at Indiana	+31.5
Sat 11/22	Wisconsin vs Illinois	+9
Sat 11/29	Wisconsin at Minnesota	+8.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#21 (.32)	52% (8)	36.8	42% (89)	2.88 (78)	162	64% (1)	261	5.42 (3)	#5 (-.05)	37% (24)	6.8	35% (19)	39% (48)	2.4 (5)	39	0.7	1.2
WIS	#122 (.07)	40% (103)	15.5	39% (106)	3.19 (41)	116	42% (76)	180	2.52 (134)	#99 (.22)	45% (111)	22.7	45% (99)	46% (114)	3.26 (30)	32.5	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	6	36.8	29	52.4%	5.42	0.7	22	423	162	261	4.9	51%	49%	42%	64%	9%	.32
WIS Defense	6	22.7	18.5	45.3%	3.26	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	46%	12%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	6	6.8	11	37.2%	2.4	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	39%	18%	-.05
WIS Offense	6	15.5	17.3	40.5%	2.52	1.5	17	296	116	180	3.3	53%	47%	39%	42%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	6	32:06	22	54%	57%	4.5	39	0.7	1.2	6.5	3	0	31.5
Wisconsin	6	32:58	17.3	38%	64%	3.5	32.5	1.5	0.7	4.2	1.8	1	26.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	6	51% (64)	42% (89)	33.3	161.7	4.9	12 (48)	.04 (104)	2.88 (78)	75% (53)	5% (2)	0.75 (131)
WIS Defense	6	47% (38)	45% (99)	-	-	-	-	.06 (51)	3.04 (96)	72% (75)	8% (121)	0.84 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	6	44% (17)	35% (19)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (18)	2.46 (22)	63% (27)	13% (26)	0.88 (38)
WIS Offense	6	53% (51)	39% (106)	35.3	115.5	3.3	5 (115)	.11 (80)	3.19 (41)	73% (69)	9% (66)	0.93 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	6	49% (72)	64% (1)	21.2	27.2	260.8	9.6	12.3	16 (9)	3 (26)	.62 (3)	1.4 (115)	23% (4)	39% (19)	.58 (15)	4% (30)	1.9 (95)
WIS Defense	6	52% (94)	46% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (62)	.39 (121)	1.5 (68)	29% (112)	35% (119)	.43 (118)	4% (121)	1.8 (27)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	6	55% (116)	39% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (93)	-.03 (7)	1.1 (1)	34% (43)	21% (10)	.04 (6)	5% (93)	1.8 (30)
WIS Offense	6	47% (89)	42% (76)	16.7	26.8	180.3	6.7	10.8	6 (110)	8 (125)	.05 (128)	1.4 (122)	31% (65)	26% (108)	.19 (107)	7% (103)	2 (73)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 33.31 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 32.25 #2
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -16.88 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1144.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #2
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 11.5 - 0.5
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #8
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.7 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 33.31 Wisconsin: 2.01

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 27.6 Wisconsin: -0.3

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 2.01 #76
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 4.54 #106
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 5.22 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 2.7 - 9.3
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #72
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #103
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #42

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 6.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 11

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 34
Wisconsin 6

Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 32
Wisconsin 8

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 27
Wisconsin 13

Total Points: 40

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.3
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Wisconsin	10	Ohio State	24	Ohio State -14.5	Wisconsin	48.0	Under
2022	09/24	Ohio State	52	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State -19	Ohio State	56.5	Over
2019	12/07	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -17	Wisconsin	58.0	Under
2019	10/26	Ohio State	38	Wisconsin	7	Ohio State -14.5	Ohio State	47.0	Under
2017	12/02	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -3.5	Ohio State	51.5	Under
2016	10/15	Wisconsin	23	Ohio State	30	Ohio State -9.5	Wisconsin	46.0	Over
2014	12/06	Ohio State	59	Wisconsin	0	Wisconsin -3	Ohio State	0
2013	09/28	Ohio State	31	Wisconsin	24	Ohio State -7	Push	0
2012	11/17	Wisconsin	14	Ohio State	21
2011	10/29	Ohio State	33	Wisconsin	29
2010	10/16	Wisconsin	31	Ohio State	18
2009	10/10	Ohio State	31	Wisconsin	13
2008	10/04	Wisconsin	17	Ohio State	20
2007	11/03	Ohio State	38	Wisconsin	17
2004	10/09	Ohio State	13	Wisconsin	24
2003	10/11	Wisconsin	17	Ohio State	10
2002	10/19	Wisconsin	14	Ohio State	19
2001	10/13	Ohio State	17	Wisconsin	20
2000	10/06	Wisconsin	7	Ohio State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	4	3	2 Overs
Ohio State	15	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 10	6 - 1	2 - 0	4 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 9	1 - 6	1 - 4	0 - 2

(#1) OSU at (#76) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	WIS
Power RatePwr	#1	#76
SP+SP+	#1	#72
Perf GradeGrade	#4	#84
OffenseOff	#2	#113
DefenseDef	#9	#65
Spec TeamsST	#58	#30
TalentTal	#1	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#24

Ohio State Notes
(10/11) OL seems to improve every week. RB Jackson a find
(10/11) CB Igbinosun physical & dares refs to call him on it
(10/6) Def is best unit in CFB. Allowed 25 points in 5 games
(9/29) Run Off is not good, Sayin is accurate but deep ball?
(9/22) Allowed 16 points in 3 games, none in red zone
(8/30) Def dominated Texas. Run game was awful
(8/27) Secondary good, but CB Igbinosun inconsistent
(8/18) QB1 Julian Sayin wins starting job
(7/12) DL issue, smaller, DT. Atkinson (NC) added
(7/12) Lost 14 NFL Draft picks, 2nd most ever
(6/6) RB1 Peoples, Donaldson (WVU), staff high on pos

Wisconsin Notes
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(10/4) Fickell quit the UM game. Cowardly and fireable
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?

Ohio State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#2	#65
SuccessSuc	#8	#111
ExplosiveExp	#122	#49
PPAPPA	#21	#99
PowerPwr	#2	#53
SP+SP+	#8	#42
Pts POPPO	#3	#30
HavocHav	#6	#130

Ohio State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#69	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#99
Run ExplRExp	#131	#25
PPAExp	#104	#51
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#75
TackleTak	-	#92

Ohio State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#1	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#68
PPAExp	#3	#121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#36
F7 HavocF7	#2	#121
DB HavocDB	#30	#121

Wisconsin on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#113	#9
SuccessSuc	#103	#24
ExplosiveExp	#117	#2
PPAPPA	#122	#5
PowerPwr	#106	#1
SP+SP+	#103	#2
Pts POPPO	#134	#5
HavocHav	#82	#43

Wisconsin Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#91	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	#19
Run ExplRExp	#84	#38
PPAExp	#80	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#34
TackleTak	-	#22

Wisconsin Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#76	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#122	#1
PPAExp	#128	#7
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#31
F7 HavocF7	#66	#26
DB HavocDB	#103	#93

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2022 (52-21)

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Julian Sayin	120	153	78%	1479	15	3	9.7
Lincoln Kienholz	7	8	88%	86	1	0	10.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bo Jackson	58	407	2	7.0	64
CJ Donaldson (Tr)	58	237	6	4.1	27
James Peoples	40	202	0	5.1	33
Isaiah West	12	49	1	4.1	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	40	505	7	12.6	87
Carnell Tate	28	476	4	17.0	49
Max Klare (Tr)	15	175	1	11.7	29
Brandon Inniss	11	87	0	7.9	12

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Arvell Reese	38	5	5	2	2
Sonny Styles	38	2	0	1	0
Caden Curry	31	10	6	2	1
Caleb Downs	28	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Curry	31	10	6	2	1
Arvell Reese	38	5	5	2	2
Kayden McDonald	26	6	3	1	0
Kenyatta Jackson	8	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davison Igbinosun	26	1	0	0	4
Arvell Reese	38	5	5	2	2
Jermaine Mathews Jr.	11	2	1	0	2

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Danny O'Neil (Tr)	60	85	71%	640	5	5	7.5
Hunter Simmons	33	59	56%	329	1	3	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dilin Jones	68	286	2	4.2	16
Darrion Dupree	44	169	0	3.8	17
Trech Kekahuna	7	83	1	11.9	61
Cade Yacamelli	24	82	0	3.4	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vinny Anthony	24	274	1	11.4	31
Lance Mason (Tr)	18	236	2	13.1	34
Jayden Ballard (Tr)	7	150	2	21.4	58
Trech Kekahuna	12	143	0	11.9	45

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Alliegro	37	4	2	0	1
Tackett Curtis	22	1	1	0	1
Matthew Jung	20	0	0	0	0
Mason Reiger (Tr)	18	3	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Alliegro	37	4	2	0	1
Mason Reiger (Tr)	18	3	2	2	0
Tackett Curtis	22	1	1	0	1
Sebastian Cheeks	13	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ricardo Hallman	12	0	0	3
Austin Brown	14	0	0	2
Christian Alliegro	37	4	2	1