UL Monroe at Southern Miss Game Matchup

UL Monroe Warhawks at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
M. M. Roberts Stadium - Hattiesburg, MS (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#123)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)

ULM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Southern Miss -9 (SP+ ULM -3)
Projected Score: ULM: 22 - USM: 31 (51)
USM Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ULM Travel: 181 miles

Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)	-8.5
Sat 9/6	UL Monroe at Alabama	+47.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	UL Monroe at UTEP	+3.5
Sat 9/27	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	+1.5
Sat 10/4	UL Monroe vs Northwestern	+15.5
Sat 10/11	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+6.5
Sat 10/18	UL Monroe vs Troy	+8
Sat 10/25	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+9
Sat 11/1	UL Monroe vs Old Dominion	+2.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+9.5
Sat 11/22	UL Monroe at Texas State	+13
Sat 11/29	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Southern Miss vs Jackson State	-15
Sat 9/13	Southern Miss vs App State	-8
Sat 9/20	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	-5
Sat 9/27	Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State	-13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Southern Miss at Georgia Southern	+7.5
Sat 10/18	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+4.5
Sat 10/25	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	+0
Sat 11/15	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+1.5
Sat 11/22	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+8.5
Sat 11/29	Southern Miss vs Troy	+2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)	21	40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)	28.8	53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)	15.3	40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)	37.8	45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	21	15.2	37.4%	3.33	1.3	15	308	173	135	4.6	62%	37%	40%	33%	15%	.15
USM Defense	12	37.8	33	44.1%	4.17	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	43%	14%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	28.8	35	46.9%	4.12	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	53%	39%	13%	.2
USM Offense	12	15.3	19.5	34.7%	2.75	2.4	16	284	109	175	3.2	49%	51%	40%	30%	26%

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	30:46	15.3	33%	67%	5.9	43.3	1.3	1.1	4.2	1.5	1	30.3
Southern Miss	12	27:22	15.5	25%	44%	6	48.3	2.4	0.8	5.4	1.7	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	62% (6)	40% (102)	37.8	172.8	4.6	17 (84)	.16 (54)	2.93 (87)	74% (64)	10% (75)	1.12 (15)
USM Defense	12	55% (116)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.27 (129)	3.22 (101)	71% (54)	10% (80)	1.21 (131)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	57% (127)	53% (134)	-	-	-	-	.24 (122)	3.48 (129)	89% (133)	8% (117)	0.89 (26)
USM Offense	12	49% (79)	40% (108)	34.2	109	3.2	13 (105)	.06 (103)	2.59 (126)	61% (124)	18% (133)	1 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	37% (128)	33% (128)	11.2	20.5	134.8	6.6	12.1	11 (122)	12 (85)	.14 (110)	1.9 (8)	34% (118)	28% (106)	.27 (92)	5% (26)	2 (87)
USM Defense	12	45% (20)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.35 (114)	1.7 (114)	31% (77)	35% (114)	.51 (124)	5% (113)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	42% (6)	39% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.17 (38)	1.5 (20)	29% (110)	30% (53)	.27 (50)	5% (111)	1.8 (17)
USM Offense	12	51% (55)	30% (133)	13.8	26.5	174.9	6.6	12.6	7 (130)	17 (127)	-.05 (134)	1.7 (30)	38% (130)	24% (125)	.15 (129)	8% (122)	2.1 (45)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -15.45 #110
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.03 #118
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 21.48 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 318.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #116
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -15.45 Southern Miss: -6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -14.6 Southern Miss: -17.7

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -6.15 #66
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
UL Monroe 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	UL Monroe	38	Southern Miss	21	UL Monroe	UL Monroe -4.5	UL Monroe	41.0	Over
2023	11/04	Southern Miss	24	UL Monroe	7	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -3.0	Southern Miss	56.0	Under
2022	11/26	UL Monroe	10	Southern Miss	20	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -3	Southern Miss	49.5	Under
2018	09/08	Southern Miss	20	UL Monroe	21	UL Monroe	Southern Mississippi -5	UL Monroe	67.5	Under
2017	09/16	UL Monroe	17	Southern Miss	28	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -7	Southern Miss	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	3	3	1 Overs
UL Monroe	2	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	2 - 3	2 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 2	3 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 2

(#110) UL Monroe Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.45 #110
Offense Rating: 6.03 #118
Defense Rating: 21.48 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 318.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UL Monroe Notes
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
(5/19) Def improved LY, return nice pieces. 5 portals
(5/19) Secondary looks decent, glaring need at DT
(5/19) 5-1 start, 0-6 finish. Vincent still OK 1st year
(5/1) RB Martin/McReynolds, watch for Fr RB D Ford

UL Monroe Ratings Matchup Southern Miss

Power #110

#66

Off #118

#85

Def #105

#44

Talent #129

#63

SP+ #116

#128

SP+ Off #126

#114

SP+ Def #99

#126

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Southern Miss last year (38-21)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2023 (24-7)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2022 (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULM | USM
Depth Chart: ULM | USM
Rosters: ULM | USM

(#66) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.15 #66
Offense Rating: 11.31 #85
Defense Rating: 10.91 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #126
Talent Rating: 738.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Southern Miss Notes
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) RB rebuild. 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 4/5 back, 7 portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, complete rebuild. 17 portals, 11 DBs
(3/24) New HC Huff a good one, a steal for S. Miss
(3/24) 1/2 roster is new. CB Moten (Marsh) great add
(3/24) New OC Anderson former Utah St HC.

UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9
Hunter Herring	3	4	75%	17	0	0	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hunter Herring	16	116	2	7.3	44
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)	20	111	1	5.6	24
Aidan Armenta	47	57	1	1.2	43
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)	6	36	1	6.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nic Trujillo (Tr)	16	305	1	19.1	43
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
Tyler Griffin	8	193	1	24.1	40
Javon Campbell	8	176	1	22.0	44

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4
Kevontay Wells	46	10	3	5	0
Tyrese Hopkins	41	2	0	8	1
Billy Pullen	41	6	4	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Billy Pullen	41	6	4	5	1
Tristan Shorter	16	4	3	3	1
Kevontay Wells	46	10	3	5	0
Dylan Howell	23	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	1	4
David Godsey Jr.	39	1	0	4
Korian Wilson	29	0	0	3

Southern Miss's OC Blake Anderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
John White	17	31	55%	240	0	3	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Matt Jones (Tr)	43	211	3	4.9	46
JQ Gray	32	106	0	3.3	19
Robert Briggs (Tr)	9	88	0	9.8	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Grant Page (Tr)	33	281	2	8.5	35
Kyirin Heath	15	210	2	14.0	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	4
Chris Jones	46	3	1	1
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0	0
Jabari Ishmael (Tr)	22	3	2	5	1
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3
Ahmere Foster (Tr)	37	2	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Moten (Tr)	38	0	0	0	5
Ian Foster (Tr)	48	5	0	0	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3