Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -3 (51.5) (-155)  Open: -3.0
Louisiana Tech 30 - Southern Miss: 20

 
Golden Eagles (7 - 2) (5 - 3 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (27 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
LT 2nd straight Home Game
LT is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -0  (SP+ LT -2)

Projected Score: USM: 26 - LT: 26 (52)
LT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USM Travel: 212 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 4) (6 - 3 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 28 - 19 (37 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+11.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-13.553.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State+3.055.5W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+3.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-4.555.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern-3.059.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana-4.554.5W 22 - 10UY
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-14.048.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-6.554.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State-5
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama-9.5
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-3.548.5W 30 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-4.546.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky-5.549.5L 27 - 28ON
Fri 10/31 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-16.548.0W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware-5.556.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+3
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty-6
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State-7.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#75 (.17)40% (100)32.339% (111)2.92 (54)13542% (71)2194.2 (41)#18 (.04)39% (32)24.243% (73)35% (15)3.76 (75)49.90.82.1
LT#94 (.13)42% (76)28.144% (63)2.76 (80)15739% (100)1733.42 (105)#11 (.02)37% (18)18.935% (12)38% (38)2.29 (4)661.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense932.326.840%4.20.819354135219454%45%39%42%15%.17
LT Defense918.915.236.6%2.291.7 - - - - - 44%56%35%38%21%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense924.22438.7%3.762.1 - - - - - 54%45%43%35%20%.04
LT Offense928.13742.2%3.421.1183291571734.455%44%44%39%15%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss924:5219.339%55%649.90.82.15.42.4330.9
Louisiana Tech926:2017.641%40%6.8661.11.75.31.4529.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense954% (37)39% (111)34.1134.9413 (78).08 (81)2.92 (54)66% (112)8% (43)0.98 (61)
LT Defense944% (12)35% (12) - - - - -.04 (14)1.77 (4)57% (10)10% (66)1.22 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense954% (108)43% (73) - - - - .13 (95)2.54 (45)84% (129)10% (64)1.01 (91)
LT Offense955% (31)44% (63)35.3156.84.416 (88).08 (80)2.76 (80)75% (47)10% (74)0.91 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense945% (96)42% (71)17.926.7218.78.212.218 (33)4 (34).28 (62)1.6 (29)33% (100)29% (86).33 (65)6% (81)2.2 (18)
LT Defense956% (126)38% (38) - - - - - - 13 (4).11 (23)1.5 (75)35% (17)33% (109).29 (77)11% (1)2 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense945% (24)35% (15) - - - - - - 15 (3)-.01 (6)1.5 (70)33% (53)28% (47).23 (47)10% (2)2.2 (122)
LT Offense944% (108)39% (100)15.423.8172.67.311.27 (121)6 (34).21 (87)1.6 (54)31% (67)25% (114).21 (101)6% (70)2.2 (20)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 1.42  #70
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.93  #75
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 6.51  #66
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1  #70
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #66
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #76

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 1.42   Louisiana Tech: 0.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -1.1   Louisiana Tech: 1.0




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: 0.315  #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 0.17  #126
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 5.54  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #67
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #96
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #41

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 26
Louisiana Tech 26


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana Tech 37
Southern Miss 16

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana Tech 28
Southern Miss 24

Total Points: 52
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Louisiana Tech30Southern Miss20Louisiana Tech -3Louisiana Tech51.5Under
202111/19Louisiana Tech19Southern Miss35Louisiana Tech -15.0Southern Miss47.5Over
202009/19Southern Miss30Louisiana Tech31Southern Mississippi -7Louisiana Tech59.0Over
201910/19Louisiana Tech45Southern Miss30Southern Mississippi -3Louisiana Tech58.5Over
201811/17Southern Miss21Louisiana Tech20Southern Mississippi -2.5Louisiana Tech45.5Under
201710/21Louisiana Tech27Southern Miss34Louisiana Tech -1.5Southern Miss55.5Over
201611/25Southern Miss39Louisiana Tech24Louisiana Tech -13.5Southern Miss71.5Under
201511/28Louisiana Tech24Southern Miss58Louisiana Tech -6.5Southern Miss62.0Over
201410/25Southern Miss20Louisiana Tech31Louisiana Tech -13Southern Miss0
201311/09Louisiana Tech36Southern Miss13Louisiana Tech -14Louisiana Tech0
201109/03Southern Miss19Louisiana Tech17
201009/25Louisiana Tech12Southern Miss13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech555 Overs
Southern Miss753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 52 - 53 - 0
Road Teams6 - 65 - 50 - 35 - 2

(#70) USM at (#90) LT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMLT
Power RatePwr #70 #90
SP+SP+ #70 #67
Perf GradeGrade #37 #57
OffenseOff #60 #78
DefenseDef #21 #34
Spec TeamsST #44 #38
TalentTal #52 #122
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #79
Southern Miss Notes
(10/19) Run Def suspect vs ULL, allowed 220+. Forced 3 TOs
(10/10) Beat GASO by 3 but needed 3 TOs, 12 flags. Unclear
(10/9) Punter Murley is awful. Will not change the field
(10/9) Nearly blew GASO game, outscored 28-10 but held
(9/21) OG'd La Tech 514-340 & found a way to lose?
(8/30) Outclassed by MSU, Braxton OK, we'll see
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
Southern Miss Injury Report
Louisiana Tech Notes
(10/22) Criminal clock management costly vs WKU
(10/22) QB Baker torched WKU for 340 yds and 49 rushing
(10/22) Most penalized team in CUSA, Def good but leaking
(10/21) QB1 Blake Baker, JAG w/ some mobility
(10/10) Give Cumbie 2 weeks he gets routed by Kennesaw St
(10/9) Lead CFB w/ 13 TOs & 5 Def TD. Allow 14 ppg
(9/21) Shockingly good start, box score ugly vs SMiss
(9/21) Off 2-13 on 3rd down, 2.7 ypc vs S Miss and won?
(9/17) Played hard vs LSU, Def great in red zone early
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
Louisiana Tech Injury Report
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
USM OffLT Def
Perf GradePerf #60 #34
SuccessSuc #100 #18
ExplosiveExp #39 #127
PPAPPA #75 #11
PowerPwr #75 #55
SP+SP+ #66 #41
Pts POPPO #41 #4
HavocHav #58 #6
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
USM OffLT Def
Run GameRun #101 #24
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #12
Run ExplRExp #61 #132
PPAExp #81 #14
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #4
Stuff RateStuff #57 #11
TackleTak -  #64
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
USM OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #49 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #38
Pass ExplPExl #29 #75
PPAExp #62 #23
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #20 #109
F7 HavocF7 #43 #66
DB HavocDB #81 #1
Louisiana Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatLT OffUSM Def
Perf GradePerf #78 #21
SuccessSuc #76 #32
ExplosiveExp #105 #62
PPAPPA #94 #18
PowerPwr #126 #66
SP+SP+ #96 #76
Pts POPPO #105 #75
HavocHav #70 #10
Louisiana Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
LT OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #14 #53
Run SuccessRSuc #63 #73
Run ExplRExp #90 #91
PPAExp #80 #95
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLY #80 #45
Stuff RateStuff #76 #111
TackleTak -  #63
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatLT OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #111 #19
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #15
Pass ExplPExl #54 #70
PPAExp #87 #6
Pass Block/RushP Blk #69 #9
F7 HavocF7 #74 #64
DB HavocDB #70 #2
Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89°
Rematch from Week 4
Louisiana Tech -3.0 (51.5)
Louisiana Tech won vs Southern Miss this year (30-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC Blake Anderson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)17926667%21861958.2
Landy Lyddy5863%1391117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)11349464.425
Matt Jones (Tr)6827344.017
Robert Briggs (Tr)4723214.924
Braylon Braxton (Tr)7922012.819
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)30425114.276
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)17344220.250
Micah Davis (Tr)24330413.898
Carl Chester (Tr)19317316.742

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones907402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)874202
Ian Foster (Tr)522126
Corey Myrick (Tr)524014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)478571
Chris Jones907402
Garrick Ponder248440
Jameer Lewis234310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Moten (Tr)440007
Anthony Richard191007
Ian Foster (Tr)522126

LT's OC Tony Franklin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Baker9814866%1211538.2
Trey Kukuk294367%235225.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin8443965.250
Omiri Wiggins7436244.937
Blake Baker7126133.738
Andrew Burnette3718435.066
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley25334013.473
Devin Gandy (Tr)18312217.342
Marlion Jackson15264117.642
Marques Singleton Jr.2114116.715

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Fields552003
Sifa Leota407146
Mekhi Mason4010403
Kolbe Fields393210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason4010403
Jadon Mayfield324330
Kolbe Fields393210
Donovan Rieman214201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.282009
Sifa Leota407146
Cedric Woods191005