Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo   Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs  Louisiana Tech logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -3 (51.5) (-155)  Open: -3.0
Louisiana Tech 30 - Southern Miss: 20

 
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
LT 2nd straight Home Game
LT is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Southern Miss -0  (SP+ LT -6)

Projected Score: USM: 26 - LT: 26 (53)
LT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USM Travel: 212 miles
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Southern Miss vs Mississippi State+11.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Southern Miss vs Jackson State-13.553.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Southern Miss vs App State+3.055.5W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/20 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+3.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 9/27 Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State-4.555.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Southern Miss at Georgia Southern-3.059.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/18 Southern Miss at Louisiana-4.554.5W 22 - 10UY
Sat 10/25 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-14.048.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-6.554.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Southern Miss vs Texas State-3.065.5L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/22 Southern Miss at South Alabama-2.553.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Southern Miss vs Troy-6.550.5L 18 - 28UN
Tue 12/23 Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky-3.059.0L 16 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-3.548.5W 30 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-4.546.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky-5.549.5L 27 - 28ON
Fri 10/31 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-16.548.0W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware-5.557.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+10.043.5L 3 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+1.545.5W 34 - 28OY
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State+2.545.0W 42 - 30OY
Tue 12/30 Louisiana Tech vs Coastal Carolina-10.051.0W 23 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)28.840% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)27.445% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)27.337% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)20.839% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1228.828.434.7%2.752.4162841091753.249%51%40%30%26%
LT Defense1320.817.337.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1227.427.644.1%4.170.8 - - - - - 55%45%45%43%14%.3
LT Offense1327.336.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1227:2215.525%44%648.32.40.85.41.7226.5
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1249% (79)40% (108)34.21093.213 (105).06 (103)2.59 (126)61% (124)18% (133)1 (53)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1255% (116)45% (89) - - - - .27 (129)3.22 (101)71% (54)10% (80)1.21 (131)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1251% (55)30% (133)13.826.5174.96.612.67 (130)17 (127)-.05 (134)1.7 (30)38% (130)24% (125).15 (129)8% (122)2.1 (45)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1245% (20)43% (93) - - - - - - 6 (109).35 (114)1.7 (114)31% (77)35% (114).51 (124)5% (113)2.2 (116)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -3.70  #78
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 13.24  #69
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 16.94  #93
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1  #94
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #69
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.70   Louisiana Tech: -5.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -7.1   Louisiana Tech: -1.3




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -5.565  #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 4.42  #120
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 19.25  #100
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3  #77
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #77
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 26
Louisiana Tech 26


Projected Total Points: 53
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Louisiana Tech30Southern Miss20Louisiana Tech -3Louisiana Tech51.5Under
202111/19Louisiana Tech19Southern Miss35Louisiana Tech -15.0Southern Miss47.5Over
202009/19Southern Miss30Louisiana Tech31Southern Mississippi -7Louisiana Tech59.0Over
201910/19Louisiana Tech45Southern Miss30Southern Mississippi -3Louisiana Tech58.5Over
201811/17Southern Miss21Louisiana Tech20Southern Mississippi -2.5Louisiana Tech45.5Under
201710/21Louisiana Tech27Southern Miss34Louisiana Tech -1.5Southern Miss55.5Over
201611/25Southern Miss39Louisiana Tech24Louisiana Tech -13.5Southern Miss71.5Under
201511/28Louisiana Tech24Southern Miss58Louisiana Tech -6.5Southern Miss62.0Over
201410/25Southern Miss20Louisiana Tech31Louisiana Tech -13Southern Miss0
201311/09Louisiana Tech36Southern Miss13Louisiana Tech -14Louisiana Tech0
201109/03Southern Miss19Louisiana Tech17
201009/25Louisiana Tech12Southern Miss13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech555 Overs
Southern Miss753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 52 - 53 - 0
Road Teams6 - 65 - 50 - 35 - 2

(#78) USM at (#119) LT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMLT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #78 #119
SP+SP+ #94 #77
Perf GradeGrade #35 #83
OffenseOff #78 #108
DefenseDef #10 #37
Spec TeamsST #46 #32
TalentTal #52 #122
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #79
Southern Miss Notes
(12/11) HC Huff left for Memphis after only one season
(12/11) Hired OC Blake Anderson at HC. Decent hire?
(10/19) Run Def suspect vs ULL, allowed 220+. Forced 3 TOs
(10/10) Beat GASO by 3 but needed 3 TOs, 12 flags. Unclear
(10/9) Punter Murley is awful. Will not change the field
(10/9) Nearly blew GASO game, outscored 28-10 but held
(9/21) OG'd La Tech 514-340 & found a way to lose?
(8/30) Outclassed by MSU, Braxton OK, we'll see
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
Southern Miss Injury Report
Louisiana Tech Notes
(11/10) QB1 Blake Baker out for season (torn ACL)
(10/22) Criminal clock management costly vs WKU
(10/22) QB Baker torched WKU for 340 yds and 49 rushing
(10/22) Most penalized team in CUSA, Def good but leaking
(10/21) QB1 Blake Baker, JAG w/ some mobility
(10/10) Give Cumbie 2 weeks he gets routed by Kennesaw St
(10/9) Lead CFB w/ 13 TOs & 5 Def TD. Allow 14 ppg
(9/21) Shockingly good start, box score ugly vs SMiss
(9/21) Off 2-13 on 3rd down, 2.7 ypc vs S Miss and won?
(9/17) Played hard vs LSU, Def great in red zone early
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
Louisiana Tech Injury Report
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffLT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #37
SuccessSuc #130 #13
ExplosiveExp #50 #57
PPAPPA #132 #26
PowerPwr #69 #100
SP+SP+ #69 #68
Pts POPPO #133 #61
HavocHav #133 #76
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffLT Def
Run GameRun #112 #34
Run SuccessRSuc #108 #36
Run ExplRExp #53 #82
PPAExp #103 #54
Run BlockR Blk #117 -
OL YdsOLY #126 #50
Stuff RateStuff #132 #41
TackleTak -  #80
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #36 #25
Pass SuccessPSuc #133 #11
Pass ExplPExl #30 #72
PPAExp #134 #26
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #54 #108
F7 HavocF7 #133 #52
DB HavocDB #122 #112
Louisiana Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatLT OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #108 #10
SuccessSuc #119 #97
ExplosiveExp #113 #124
PPAPPA #130 #125
PowerPwr #120 #93
SP+SP+ #77 #103
Pts POPPO #124 #104
HavocHav #83 #97
Louisiana Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LT OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #33 #21
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #89
Run ExplRExp #134 #131
PPAExp #134 #129
Run BlockR Blk #128 -
OL YdsOLY #125 #101
Stuff RateStuff #119 #60
TackleTak -  #42
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatLT OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #120 #6
Pass SuccessPSuc #111 #93
Pass ExplPExl #35 #114
PPAExp #115 #114
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #15
F7 HavocF7 #116 #80
DB HavocDB #22 #113
Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Louisiana Tech -3.0 (51.5)
Louisiana Tech won vs Southern Miss this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Southern Miss last year (30-20)

  
USM's OC Blake Anderson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)25440064%30532487.6
Landy Lyddy345265%406237.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman (Tr)15669584.525
Matt Jones (Tr)8232544.017
Robert Briggs (Tr)6230414.924
Braylon Braxton (Tr)9821512.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)54683212.676
Carl Chester (Tr)30550618.352
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)24444318.550
Micah Davis (Tr)31429513.898

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones13210402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Corey Myrick (Tr)915014
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Garrick Ponder3712540
Chris Jones13210402
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Moten (Tr)6110010
Anthony Richard271008
Ian Foster (Tr)764127

LT's OC Tony Franklin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Baker10215566%1252538.1
Trey Kukuk6710663%644346.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin13163484.850
Trey Kukuk9860956.258
Andrew Burnette9448695.298
Omiri Wiggins9746844.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley38445011.773
Marlion Jackson20370218.552
Devin Gandy (Tr)21366217.442
Clay Thevenin3326908.230

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Fields903015
Mekhi Mason6215434
Jadon Mayfield619451
Sifa Leota5812478
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Mayfield619451
Sifa Leota5812478
Mekhi Mason6215434
Donovan Rieman295301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.472009
Sifa Leota5812478
Cedric Woods341018